reports
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls
Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Jacobson, JBM Healthcare and PICC P&C.
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09999 NETEASE INC
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
02015 LI AUTO INC
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: 3Q25 Results Recap: Strong AI Cloud Top-line Growth; L...
China’s internet companies reported resilient 3Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement in the online gaming and OTA sectors, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. Margin pressure in e-commerce due to the intense on-demand delivery competition is likely to ease in 4Q25, but could persist into 2026 given the continuous investment and tough comparison base boosted by the trade-in programme in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Alibaba, Tencent, TCOM, TME, Ne...
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Market Strategy: 2026 Year Ahead: Global easing continue...
Highlights We expect global liquidity cycle to remain strong for at least 1H26, following the Fed’s return to policy easing in Sep 25, benefitting emerging market assets and commodities. Chinese equities are likely to rally further, and our index target for MSCI China index target is at 104 pts based on 16.3x 12-month forward PE and 6% EPS growth assumption. We prefer exposure to growth industries like AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics, ADAS and innovative drugs and liquidity proxies ...
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02208 XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS H
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Jin Yoon
BABA FY2Q26 Results: Cloud Rev Growth Could Remain Resilient in the Ne...
What’s new: Alibaba’s reported FY2Q26 revs that were above consensus and largely in line with our expectations. Cloud rev growth momentum could continue in the CY4Q25 as demand continues to outpace supply of compute. Quick commerce could also meaningfully narrow losses sequentially partly driven by further improvement in unit economics. We maintain our PT at USD200. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 2QFY26: Solid CMR And Accelerating Cloud Reve...
Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued strong cloud revenue growth. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$206.00 (US$206....
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
Top Stories Company Results | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$157.80/Target: HK$206.00) Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued str...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Malaysia Research Team
- Ming San Soong
- Philip Wong
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
Greater China Company Results | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$157.80/Target: HK$206.00) Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued st...
- Jin Yoon
NTES 3Q25 Results: Online Games Continue to Remain Resilient
What’s new: NetEase’s reported 3Q25 revs that were below consensus estimates and our expectations. Gaming rev growth could remain resilient partly driven by the launch of new titles and recovery of legacy titles. We maintain our PT at USD150. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
NetEase (9999 HK): 3Q25: Earnings In Line; Encouraging Deferred Revenu...
NetEase’s 3Q25 results were largely within expectations. Revenue grew 8.2% yoy to Rmb28.4b, 3% below consensus forecast. Gross profit jumped 10.3% yoy to Rmb18.2b, with gross margin rising 1ppt yoy to 64%. Non-GAAP operating profit increased 10% yoy to Rmb8.9b. Non-GAAP net profit rose 26.7% yoy to Rmb9.5b, in line with consensus estimate. Net margin expanded 5ppt yoy to 34% in 3Q25. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$276.00 (US$170.00).
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Joyce Chu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Sunny Chen
Greater China Daily: Friday, November 21, 2025
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Res...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
JD.com (9618 HK): 3Q25: Solid Revenue Growth; Investment In FD To Ease...
JD’s 3Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 15% yoy to Rmb299.1b, 2-3% above our and consensus estimates. in line with its previously guided double-digit growth. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped 98% yoy to Rmb211m, translating to a non-GAAP operating margin of 0.07%. Non-GAAP net profit fell 56% yoy to Rmb5.8b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 2%. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$166.00 (US$46.00).
- Jin Yoon
JD 3Q25 Results: Outlook Remains Intact
What’s new: JD’s reported 3Q25 results that were above consensus and our expectations. JD Retail could continue to be supported by resiliency in general merchandise which partly offset the tougher comps from home appliances and consumer electronics. Investments in food delivery could continue to sequentially decline in 4Q. We maintain our PT at USD42. Analysts: Jin Yoon
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Ejann Hiew
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Friday, November 14, 2025
Top Stories Economics | Money Supply M1 growth fell to 6.2% yoy in October, short of expectations, while M2 growth eased to 8.2% yoy. New bank loans dropped sharply to Rmb0.22t, and new TSF fell to Rmb0.81t, both below forecasts. Outstanding TSF and bank loan growth moderated to 8.5% (-0.2ppt mom) and 6.5% yoy (-0.1ppt mom) respectively, with the decline led by household loans. The numbers are not encouraging. Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV retail sales basically remained flat yoy in Oc...
JD.com Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results
JD.com Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results BEIJING, Nov. 13, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter), the “Company” or “JD.com”), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced its unaudited financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2025. Third Quarter 2025 Highlights Net revenues were RMB299.1 billion (US$142.0 billion) for the third quarter of 2025, an increase of 14.9% from the third quarter of 2024.Net income attributable to the Company’s ordinary shareholders was RMB5.3 b...
JD.com to Report Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on November 13, ...
JD.com to Report Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on November 13, 2025 BEIJING, Oct. 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it plans to release its unaudited third quarter 2025 financial results on Thursday, November 13, 2025, before the U.S. market opens. JD.com’s management will hold a conference call at 7:00 am, Eastern Time on November 13, 2025, (8:00 pm, Beijing/Hong Kong Time on November 13, 2025) to discuss the third quarter 2...
- Pelham Smithers
NEH NETEASE INC. SPONSORED ADR
DIS WALT DISNEY COMPANY
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
9697 CAPCOM CO. LTD.
9468 KADOKAWA CORPORATION
7974 NINTENDO CO. LTD.
6758 SONY CORPORATION
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
6460 JP SEGA SAMMY
GRVY GRAVITY CO. LTD. ADS
78320 BANDAI NAMCO
7844 JT MARVELOUS INC
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Key Battlefield For Instant Retail; Embedding AI Into ...
Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are Alibaba and Kuaishou.
- Pelham Smithers
PSA Macro: China Data Shows Country Desperate to Export Way Out of Pro...
Pelham Smithers notes that although there are reasons for thinking that the Chinese economy is producing “real” growth of around +5% for CY25, there are several structural problems that need to be considered and the implications for Japan.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
JD.com (9618 HK): 3Q25 Results Preview: Top-line Growth Moderates; Pro...
JD’s 3Q25 top-line growth remains solid and was guided to grow at low teens, moderating from 2Q25 revenue growth of 22.4% yoy, due to the high base effect last year. Management guided easing FD investment intensity in 3Q25 alongside order volume expansion. Meanwhile, 4Q25 promotions are expected to further boost cross-channel synergies between retail and food delivery. Management targets breakeven in food delivery in the medium term. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$167.00 (US$43.00).
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 2QFY26 Results Preview: Solid Revenue Growth ...
We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite margin erosion led by instant delivery competition. We remain optimistic on Alibaba’s core commerce and cloud strategy, which leaves it well-positioned to become a technology platform centred on AI + Cloud and a consumer ecosystem integrating shopping and lifestyle services. Its intensified investment in AI and instant retail reinforces its long-term strategic value and growth flywheel. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$203.00 (US$203.00).
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