In the run-up to the 2024 Summer Olympic Games and Euro 2024 football tournament, we have identified six stocks to favour: JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and easyJet. While these two major sporting events are not expected to have a significant impact on the host economies in the medium term, the microeconomic and sectoral impacts should be more marked. The tourism, transport, beverages and consumer goods sectors are expected to be the main winners. Some med...
En amont des Jeux Olympiques d’été et de l’Euro de football 2024, nous identifions 6 valeurs à privilégier : JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield et easyJet. Alors que ces deux évènements sportifs majeurs ne devraient pas avoir d’impact significatif sur les économies hôtes à moyen terme, les impacts microéconomiques et sectoriels devraient être plus marqués. Les secteurs du tourisme, des transports, des boissons et des biens de consommation devraient être les pr...
>Update on the macroeconomic and banking situation in Italy - The latest statistics from the Italian Banking Association (ABI), covering March 2024, confirm the recent trend, with the overall situation remaining fragile albeit more resilient than initially expected in view of the recent indicators (GDP, industrial production, business confidence, etc.) and given the uncertainties in the short to medium term. Lending stayed on a negative trend in March 2024 after ...
>Point sur la situation macroéconomique et bancaire en Italie - Les dernières données de l’Association Bancaire Italienne (ABI), couvrant mars 2024, confirment la tendance récente, avec une situation globale demeurant fragile bien que plus résiliente qu’initialement attendu au regard des indicateurs récents (PIB, production industrielle, climat de confiance…) et compte tenu des incertitudes à CMT. L’activité de crédit reste négativement orientée en mars 2024 aprè...
Swiss finance minister supports substantially higher capital requirements for UBS. Rabobank tender for participation notes to result in a limited dent in its MDA headroom, Intesa Sanpaolo calls AT1. The Council of the EU adopts the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive recast. Equitable Bank is in the market with an inaugural social covered bond. Monte dei Paschi di Siena returns in CPT covered bond format
Swiss finance minister supports substantially higher capital requirements for UBS. Rabobank tender for participation notes to result in a limited dent in its MDA headroom, Intesa Sanpaolo calls AT1. The Council of the EU adopts the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive recast. Equitable Bank is in the market with an inaugural social covered bond. Monte dei Paschi di Siena returns in CPT covered bond format
A director at Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. sold 100,000 shares at 3.351EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
Commercial real estate remains one of the key risk areas for European banks in our view. We take a look at where to hide from potential further CRE worries in the banking sector and see that for many of the names with more limited CRE exposures this is already reflected in relatively tighter spread levels.
We are upgrading the energy sector to Overweight vs Neutral (excluding Oil Services, already on Overweight). The recent rebound in oil prices is set to continue, driven by short, medium and long-term factors: value, cyclical, little debt and good shareholder returns. Technical analysis reveals a strong trend that is only just beginning. GALP enters our Large Caps list; CellNex exits it. - ...
We are upgrading the energy sector to Overweight vs Neutral (excluding Oil Services, already on Overweight). The recent rebound in oil prices is set to continue, driven by short, medium and long-term factors: value, cyclical, little debt and good shareholder returns. Technical analysis reveals a strong trend that is only just beginning. GALP enters our Large Caps list; CellNex exits it. - ...
Nous upgradons le secteur énergie à Surpondérer vs Neutre (hors Oil Services déjà à Surpondérer). Le rebond récent des prix du pétrole va se poursuivre, soutenu par des facteurs à court, moyen et long terme. Le secteur dispose en outre de 4 atouts dans la configuration de marché actuelle : value, cyclique, peu endetté et bon retour à l’actionnaire. L’analyse technique révèle une tendance forte qui ne fait que commencer. GALP fait son entrée dans notre liste Large Caps ; CellNex en so...
Nous upgradons le secteur énergie à Surpondérer vs Neutre (hors Oil Services déjà à Surpondérer). Le rebond récent des prix du pétrole va se poursuivre, soutenu par des facteurs à court, moyen et long terme. Le secteur dispose en outre de 4 atouts dans la configuration de marché actuelle : value, cyclique, peu endetté et bon retour à l’actionnaire. L’analyse technique révèle une tendance forte qui ne fait que commencer. GALP fait son entrée dans notre liste Large Caps ; CellNex en so...
>Update on macroeconomic and banking situation in Italy - The latest figures from the Italian Banking Association (ABI), for February 2024, confirm the recent trend, with the overall situation remaining fragile but more resilient than initially expected in view of the recent indicators (GDP, industrial production, confidence climate, etc.) and given the uncertainties in the short to medium term. Lending may have ended its downward trend in February 2024 after a c...
>Point sur la situation macroéconomique et bancaire en Italie - Les dernières données de l’Association Bancaire Italienne (ABI), couvrant février 2024, confirment la tendance récente, avec une situation globale demeurant fragile bien que plus résiliente qu’initialement attendu au regard des indicateurs récents (PIB, production industrielle, climat de confiance…) et compte tenu des incertitudes à CMT. L’activité de crédit a peut-être interrompu sa tendance baissiè...
Banks tick all the boxes in the market’s current configuration: search for discounted sectors, cyclical momentum, sectors driven by long-term interest rates that remain high and shareholder returns through very high dividend yields. Technical analysis reveals a strong conviction since early March, and this should continue. We prefer banks in southern Europe, where the macro outlook is brighter. Alongside CaixaBank, which we are maintaining in our list of European Large Cap stocks, we ...
Banks tick all the boxes in the market’s current configuration: search for discounted sectors, cyclical momentum, sectors driven by long-term interest rates that remain high and shareholder returns through very high dividend yields. Technical analysis reveals a strong conviction since early March, and this should continue. We prefer banks in southern Europe, where the macro outlook is brighter. Alongside CaixaBank, which we are maintaining in our list of European Large Cap stocks, we ...
Les banques cochent toutes les cases de la configuration de marché actuelle : recherche de secteurs décotés, momentum cyclique, secteurs portés par des taux longs qui restent hauts, retour à l’actionnaire via un très haut dividend yield. L’analyse technique montre une forte conviction depuis début mars, qui devrait se poursuivre. Nous favorisons les banques du sud de l’Europe, à la macro plus avenante. Aux côtés de CaixaBank, que nous conservons dans notre liste de valeurs Large Caps ...
>What are the main lessons from Q4/FY 2023 earnings? - Q4 earnings release have confirmed our view on the sector detailed early December. We expected net interest income to be this year relatively flattish in Italy and Spain, to decrease on some names in the Benelux (ING) and to increase for French banks, which is consistent with 2024 outlook given by banks. We therefore did not play a country rotation in favour of North European banks vs South European banks, and we ...
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