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Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Metso Outotec (Buy, TP: EUR7.50) - Focus on orders and targets

Ahead of the Q3 results due on 27 October (no details announced), our estimates are unchanged, and we reiterate our BUY and EUR7.5 target price. We recently updated our case (“Higher ambitions”, published on 29 September). Apart from key elements (orders, earnings and outlook), we will focus on potential new financial targets in connection with the report.

Alexander Aukner ... (+5)
  • Alexander Aukner
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Patrik Ling
  • Simen Mortensen
  • Tomi Railo
Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Metso Outotec (Buy, TP: EUR7.50) - Higher ambitions

We have raised our 2020–2022e illustrative clean EBITA by c8% on average. We reiterate our EUR7.5 target price and our BUY. We expect Metso Outotec to announce its new strategy and financial targets during the autumn, revealing higher ambitions, strong earnings, and potential for stock price appreciation.

Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Metso Outotec (Buy, TP: EUR7.50) - Q2 beat from right sources

Following a pre-release stronger than our estimates and consensus, the full Q2 report showed positive surprises in Minerals’ orders, Minerals and Processing’s clean EBITA and Service sales, and higher cost synergies and faster implementation schedule. We have raised our illustrative 2020–2022e clean EBITA by c10% on average. We reiterate our BUY and EUR7.5 target price.

Håkon Astrup ... (+5)
  • Håkon Astrup
  • Mats Bye
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Tomi Railo
Martin Arnell ... (+4)
  • Martin Arnell
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Patrik Ling
  • Tomi Railo
Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Metso Outotec (Buy, TP: EUR7.50) - Strong Q2 pre-released

Metso Outotec this morning released preliminary Q2 headline results well above our estimates and said this was better than market expectations. There is no detailed consensus (Vara), but orders are 19% above our estimate and clean EBITA 57% above, or c4% and c11% on annual basis, respectively. We expect a very positive share reaction.

Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Metso Outotec (Buy, TP: EUR7.50) - Attractively valued new combination

We initiate coverage of the newly merged Metso Outotec with a BUY and EUR7.5 target price, which suggests c50% upside potential from the current share price. We forecast strong profit growth for 2020–2022, driven by an improved offering in healthy markets and merger synergies. In our view, Metso Outotec is an attractive combination, with healthy financials and potential dividend returns.

Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

Metso Outotec (Buy, TP: EUR7.50) - Attractively valued new combination

We initiate coverage of the newly merged Metso Outotec with a BUY and EUR7.5 target price, which suggests c50% upside potential from the current share price. We forecast strong profit growth for 2020–2022, driven by an improved offering in healthy markets and merger synergies. In our view, Metso Outotec is an attractive combination, with healthy financials and potential dividend returns.

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