What’s new: KE Holdings results beat consensus and our expectations. Guidance implies sequential recovery in property market amid supportive policies including reduction in DP, lowering mortgage rates, and easing homebuying restrictions. We maintain our PT at USD 22. Analysts: Jin Yoon
GREATER CHINA Results KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$39.40/Target: HK$58.00): 3Q23: Earnings beat; poised for meaningful recovery in 4Q23. LINK REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$38.40/Target: HK$50.70): 1HFY24: Results in line; ready for unit buyback. INDONESIA Sector Banking: Acceleration in government spending to support earnings in 4Q23. MALAYSIA Results Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings (MMHE MK/BUY/RM0.49/Target: RM0.65): 3Q23: Another lumpy provision recognised, but inevitably means MMHE...
Beike’s 3Q23 earnings came in above expectations. 3Q23 revenue edged up 1% yoy to Rmb17.8b, 11.6% above consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit improved 14% yoy to Rmb2.2b due to increased operational efficiency, well above consensus estimate. Non- GAAP net margin expanded 1.4ppt yoy to 12% in 3Q23. Beike guided a 7.5-10.5% yoy recovery in 4Q23 revenue growth to Rmb18b-18.5b, 4% below our forecast. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$58.00 (US$21.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$39.40/Target: HK$58.00) 3Q23: Earnings beat; poised for meaningful recovery in 4Q23. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$38.40/Target: HK$50.70) 1HFY24: Results in line; ready for unit buyback. TRADERS’ CORNER China Literature Limited (772 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$29.00-30.20 Anta Sports Products Ltd. (2020 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$90.00-92.00
China’s internet sector delivered solid 2Q23 results with an earnings beat but this was followed by lukewarm 3Q23 guidance from most companies navigating macro uncertainty. In view of the intense competition and saturated growth, internet companies are ramping up AIGC investment and cross border expansion against a favourable regulatory backdrop. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the internet sector due to heavy investment in new initiatives leading to margin erosion.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We focus on stocks with pricing power or sustainable margins against a weakening macro backdrop. Add Giordano, KE Holdings and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Aug 23: Our picks: MYOR, BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, SMGR and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Warming Up For Better Months Ahead: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in Aug 23. Sep 23 picks: BUY BURSA, HAPL, HUME, MAHB, Mr DIY, My EG Servi...
Both the MSCI China and HSI fell about 8.5% in August as the lack of significant stimulus announcements dampened market sentiment. The August earnings season also saw relatively conservative management guidance and emphasis on cost efficiencies and asset light strategies. Against this backdrop, we focus on stocks with pricing power or sustainable margins; we add Giordano, KE Holdings and Trip.com to our BUY list.
What’s new: KE Holdings reported top-line results were largely in-line with consensus and above our expectations. While guidance reflects challenging housing market, transaction volume could sequentially recover driven by supportive measures such as uniformly lowering DP for first and second-time buyers. We maintain our PT at USD 22. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Beike’s 2Q23 earnings came in above expectations. 2Q23 revenue soared 41% yoy to Rmb19.5b, 7.8% above consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit improved to Rmb2.4b due to increased operational efficiency, 6.8% above consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net margin expanded 16.6ppt yoy to 12% in 3Q23 vs -4.5% in 2Q22. In 3Q23, the company announced a special dividend along with the upsizing and extension of its share repurchase program. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$64.00 (US$23.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Further moderation in manufacturing contraction; policy support necessary Sector Aviation Airlines still loss-making but improving; expecting a turnaround in 2H23. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Internet China e-commerce seeking growth through international market expansion. Property Demand-side policy easing more strongly than expected; top pick: COLI. Results Baoshan Iron & Steel (600019 CH/BUY/Rmb6.11/Target: Rmb7.10) 1H23: Below expectations; gearing up for the grow...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We expect further supportive policies to be rolled out and are adding potential beneficiaries like Baidu, COPH, CR Beer, CR Land, Ping An Insurance and Sands China to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Again, An Outperformance In Jul 23: Our picks: MYOR, BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, SMGR, MAPI; short ADRO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Warming Up For Better Months Ahead: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the FBMKLCI in Jul 23. Au...
Beike will report its 2Q23 results in late-Aug 23. We expect Beike’s 2Q23 results to be solid and forecast revenue to grow 36% yoy to Rmb18.7b. Non-GAAP net profit should improve to Rmb1.6b (from a loss of Rmb622m in 2Q22) due to increased operational efficiency, translating to non-GAAP net margin of 8.6% in 2Q23 (vs -4.5% in 2Q22). We think Beike is a key proxy to the property market recovery. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$63.00 (US$22.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls We expect further supportive policies to be rolled out and are adding potential beneficiaries like Baidu, COPH, CR Beer, CR Land, Ping An Insurance and Sands China to our BUY list. Results Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,880.00/Target: Rmb2,520.00) 2Q23: Stronger profitability; growing importance of i-Moutai app. Update KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$44.80/Target: HK$63.00) 2Q23 preview: Solid top-line growth; moderate growth i...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We expect further supportive policies to be rolled out and are adding potential beneficiaries like Baidu, COPH, CR Beer, CR Land, Ping An Insurance and Sands China to our BUY list. Results Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,880.00/Target: Rmb2,520.00): 2Q23: Stronger profitability; growing importance of i-Moutai app. Update KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$44.80/Target: HK$63.00): 2Q23 preview: Solid top-line growth; moderate growth in...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: We expect stimulus to be announced in July, and add CG Services and Li Auto to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In Jun 23: Our picks are BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: More Re-energised in July: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in Jun 23. Jul 23 picks: BUY BAT, Malaysia Airports, Mr DIY, My EG Services, NationGate and Yinson. SINGAPORE ...
Chinese equities rebounded more than 3% in June on hopes of a new round of stimulus. We do expect further support from the government, given the weak economic confidence. China risks sliding into a vicious cycle if households and the private sector continue to deleverage. We add CG Services and Li Auto to our BUY list.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: We like oversold sectors like consumer and TMT. Add COSCO Shipping Port, KE Holdings, Kuaishou and Kweichow Moutai to our BUY list and Great Wall Motor to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in May 23: Our picks are BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Anticipating A Lull June: Our Alpha Picks slightly underperformed the FBMKLCI in May 23. June 23 picks: BUY B...
China’s internet sector had delivered better-than-expected 1Q23 result with earnings beat and solid 2Q23 guidance from most companies. Online ad, food delivery and property transaction services are among the key beneficiaries upon the resumption of offline activities. Online games’ 1Q23 results were largely in line with Netease as the top performer. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the internet sector due to heavy investment in new initiatives leading to margin erosion.
After a steeper-than-expected pullback in May, MSCI China‘s and HSI’s 12-month forward PE have fallen to a relatively attractive 9.7x and 8.7x respectively. As the nonmanufacturing PMI remains in expansionary zone, we expect better macro data ahead to provide the catalyst for a rebound. Overall, we increase exposure to oversold sectors, ie consumer and TMT; add COSCO Shipping Port, KE Holdings, Kuaishou and Kweichow Moutai to our BUY list and Great Wall Motor to our SELL list.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: We like oversold sectors like consumer and TMT. Add COSCO Shipping Port, KE Holdings, Kuaishou and Kweichow Moutai to our BUY list and Great Wall Motor to our SELL list. Sector Property Management: GFA expansion largely on track; weak economic recovery weighing on community value-added service. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in May 23: Our picks are BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. SINGAPORE Stra...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.