2024 saw the best outperformance for the telecoms sector since 2013 (and the third best since 2000) and ironically this came in a year with one of the lowest announced M&A volumes. We believe this is a testament to improved perception of the underlying fundamentals.
Q3 was a solid quarter for the Sub-Saharan African (SSA) operators. Airtel Africa continued to outperform peers from an EBITDA and capex perspective. We recently wrote on AAF’s strength of execution (HERE) where we also highlighted the extent of its outperformance which may surprise investors.
>H1 2025 EBITDA in line with expectations - Q2 2025 group sales were up 4.6% y-o-y to € 9,240m, above expectations (consensus € 9,071m, ODDO BHF € 9,226m), and still helped by hyperinflation in Turkey (sales +89% y-o-y). H1 2025 EBITDAaL was up 2.5% y-o-y to € 2,730m. The targets for 2025 were confirmed (as expected): Vodafone is targeting adjusted pro forma EBITDAaL of € 11bn and adjusted FCF of at least € 2.4bn (consensus: € 2.47bn). These pro forma targets are...
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