reports
- Chris Hoare
- Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
- Benyamin Mikael
- Chong Lee Len
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Lester Siew
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, January 21, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Per capita tourism spending weakens further despite a yoy increase in visitor numbers; 2025 will continue to be a challenging year. Update Jiumaojiu International Holdings (9922 HK/BUY/HK$2.74/Target: HK$4.00): Business operations deteriorate in 4Q24; being cautious on new store openings; continuous closures of underperforming stores may happen in 2025. INDONESIA Sector Property: Undemanding valuation amid increased uncertainty. MALAYSIA Update Hap Seng Plantati...
- Chong Lee Len
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP) - On Track To Continue Driving Sh...
In line with Singtel’s ST28 growth plan, its value-unlocking initiatives remain on track which we reckon would come from paring down stakes in its regional associates and non-core fixed assets, likely leading to higher VRDs in the next 3-5 years. The group continues to improve its ROIC through better core operational performance while also doubling down on its future growth drivers, NCS and Nxera. In view of a decent dividend yield of 5.2%, we maintain BUY with the same target price of S$3.58.
- Chong Lee Len
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Llelleythan Tan Tan
Singapore Daily - Tuesday, January 21, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$3.15/Target: S$3.58) Driving shareholder value through active capital management and operational efficiency, particularly in Australia. Venture Corporation (VMS SP/BUY/S$12.71/Target: S$15.55) Remain focused and cautiously optimistic for the medium term. TRADERS' CORNER Singapore Post (SPOST SP): Trading BUY DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP): Trading ...
- Chris Hoare
Indian Telcos & Towers News reports that the Indian government may vo...
Indian press is reporting that the Indian government is planning to cut AGR liabilities for the industry by around INR 1 trn (c. $12bn), by cutting 50% of interest and 100% of penalties and interest on penalties relating to the AGR fines. Implication would be a c. INR 520bn (US$ 6.2bn) reduction in liabilities for Vodafone IDEA and around INR 380bn (US $4.5bn) for Bharti.
- Chris Hoare
ASEAN Telcos Outlook 2025; Singtel and TRUE remain our top picks reg...
2024 saw good performance from the Thai telcos and Singtel and more mixed in Malaysia and Indonesia. In 2025, we think the benefit of consolidation should be more apparent in the latter. Singtel and TRUE remain our top picks in the region.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
African & EMEA Telcos & Towers Outlook 2025; Catching back what was l...
The last 2 years have been tough for African Telcos, with strong macro headwinds driving currency weakness and cost pressures. However, we exited 2024 with some signs that trends are inflecting. AAF remains our top pick in Africa as it offers Bharti-style execution at a fraction of the multiple, and VEON our top pick overall.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Introducing the NSR Global EM Telco & Tower...
In a separate note published last week we introduced the NSR GEM-Top 8. However, many of the stocks in that list are not liquid and so, given the tailwinds we now see in the Telco industry we introduce a second list – the GEM Telco & Towers Liquid Compounders; large cap, well-managed telcos in attractive markets at cheap valuations that are likely to generate market-beating returns over time. These are the best large cap investments in the Global EM Telco & Towers space we think.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Themes and Top picks for 2025
We remain constructive on EM Telcos despite the major stocks generally performing well through 2023 and 2024. As the long telco cycle inflects, and the industry consolidates, conditions still seem ripe for GDP+ revenue growth and rising ROIC we think. In this note, we run through the themes we think investors should follow in 2025. In a separate note, also published today we introduce the NSR EM Telco – Top 8, our top EM picks in the Telco and Towers space.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Introducing the NSR Global EM Telco & Tower...
This note introduces the NSR GEM-Top 8, which will be a regularly updated list of our preferred Telcos and Towers in Global Emerging Markets. In a separate note out today, we run through the key themes that we see driving the EM Telco and Towers sector in 2025
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Sub-Saharan African Telecoms Solid quarter; Q3 24 review
Q3 was a solid quarter for the Sub-Saharan African (SSA) operators. Airtel Africa continued to outperform peers from an EBITDA and capex perspective. We recently wrote on AAF’s strength of execution (HERE) where we also highlighted the extent of its outperformance which may surprise investors.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Singtel (Buy, TP: S$4.6, +51%) Feedback from NDR: Positive
We hosted a brief NDR in London with Singtel Group CFO, Arthur Lang, last week. The backdrop to meetings was once again positive given strong performance in H1, upgraded guidance and a positive market response to the new Value Realisation Dividend.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Singapore Research Team
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
2GB 2G ENERGY AG
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Singapore Research Team
Market Strategy For 1H25 - Opportunities Abound Despite Muted Earnings...
For 1H25, we believe that a number of stocks within our universe should deliver strong returns in the near to medium term, backed by sustainable dividend yields despite our modest below-consensus 1.2% EPS growth forecast for our covered STI stocks in 2025. We forecast a 2025 year-end target of 4,115 for the STI, implying a 10% upside from current levels. Our top picks are BAL, CD, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, ST, STE, VMS and YZJSGD. For the small/mid caps, we like CENT, CSE, MPM, SSG and VALUE.
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Singapore Research Team
Market Strategy - Opportunities Abound Despite Muted Earnings Growth I...
Our modest below-consensus 1.2% EPS growth forecast for our covered STI stocks for 2025 belies the fact that there are a number of stocks within our universe that should deliver strong returns in the near to medium term, backed by sustainable dividend yields. We forecast a 2025 year-end target of 4,115 for the STI, implying 10% upside from current levels, with the index’s current valuation looking inexpensive at 2025F PE and P/B of 11.5x and 1.2x respectively.
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
Singapore Telecommunications Ltd: 1 director
A director at Singapore Telecommunications Ltd bought 20,000 shares at 3.010SGD and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...
- Chris Hoare
Indian Mobile Quick thoughts on the bank guarantees waiver
India’s Union Cabinet has approved the waiver of the bank guarantees related to spectrum acquired by the operators before 2022. Vodafone Idea was the key beneficiary of this news as it owed INR 247bn versus Bharti (INR 30bn) and Jio (INR 40bn). As a result, VIL shares rose sharply today. Our brief thoughts below.
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