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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN Group (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +43%) Q4 25: Improved shareholder remuner...

MTN has reported a good set of Q4 results and announced an increased dividend for 2025 and a positive shareholder remuneration over the medium term.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +54%) MTN Uganda – Q4 25: Decent quarter; MT gu...

MTN Uganda reported a decent set of Q4 results today. Trends slightly decelerated vs. Q3 but remained good.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +52%) MTN Rwanda – Q4 25: Decent quarter; Focus...

MTN Rwanda has reported a decent set of Q4 results. Top line trends remained robust, but EBITDA trends slowed. The company has maintained its medium-term guidance for service revenue growth and EBITDA margins but has cut its capex guide and although net income is back into positive territory this year, the BoD has recommended no dividends for 2025.

Ameerat Adamu
  • Ameerat Adamu

AIRTELAFRI 9M:2026 | Robust Growth Amid Currency Tailwinds; Reaffirmin...

Note: Airtel Africa Plc’s 9M:2026 results cover the period from April to December 2025, as the company’s financial year runs from April to March. Airtel Africa’s 9M:2026 results confirm sustained operational strength and improved financial resilience. Below are the key highlights:  Accelerating revenue with FX boost: Revenue rose 28.3% YoY to USD4.67bn, driven by strong data growth (+39.7% YoY) and mobile money (+34.9% YoY). Customer base expanded 10%, while ARPU increased 16.7% YoY to USD...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers The impossible dream – NSR GEM Top-10 March...

2025 was such a strong year for EM Telcos with the result that while remaining bullish we thought it was not plausible that 2026 would be as strong. Yet if anything the year has started better than 2025, with our picks up 18% ytd already, and up 113% since the start of 2025.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +33%) MTN Nigeria – Q4 25: Strong quarter and s...

MTN Nigeria has reported another strong set of results. The company has maintained its MT guidance for service revenue growth (“at least the low 20%”) and upgraded its MT guidance for EBITDA margins, from “53-55%” to “mid to high 50%”

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Telcos Pricing power returns; where best; why (some) EM Telcos’ mu...

The resumption of pricing power is one of the key drivers of the rally in EM Telcos and perhaps the area where consensus is most sceptical. In this note we analyse which markets have the greatest potential for sustained pricing power, looking at key issues: affordability and regulatory and competitive structure.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy: ZAR280, +43%) IHS Towers (Neutral, TP: $8.50, +5%) was Buy (...

Double announcement from IHS today: 1) the sale of its LatAm business to Macquarie (excluding i-Systems which is being sold to TIM Brasil) and 2) the proposed sale to MTN for $6.2bn ($8.50 per share).

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +58%) IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $10, +26%) MTN / IHS...

MTN announced today that it is at an advanced stage of discussions with IHS to acquire the 75% shares in IHS it does not already own.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers – Strong start – NSR GEM Top-10 February ‘26...

Our portfolio of Top Picks has started 2026 strongly, up 6% ytd already. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Tower Trends Q3 CY25 review: Solid quarter, especially in Africa

Tower revenue trends were slightly slower across the board except for Indus Towers as it benefited again from VIL’s network catch up spend. EBITDA margins were roughly stable across EM except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation. Africa continue to perform well and the LatAm Towers space had a decent Q3.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Sub-Saharan African Telecoms Another great quarter, upgrade AAF, MTN,...

Q3 was another great quarter for the Sub-Saharan African (SSA) operators with YoY service revenue growth in USD reaching >30% and rising EBITDA margins.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Nigerian Telcos Q3 25 review: Real revenue growth remains 40%

Q3 was another very strong quarter for the Nigerian Telco market with EBITDA more than doubling in local and real revenue growth stable at 40%.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

African & EMEA Telcos & Towers Outlook 2026; expecting another good y...

2025 was a very strong year for African Telcos, as macro stabilized and pricing recovered across the continent but especially in Nigeria. We think 2026 should be more of the same as stocks re-rate due to strength in the core coupled with exposure to digital. Very strong performance by Airtel Africa means Vodacom becomes our top pick in Africa, and VEON our top pick overall.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers 2025 wrapped. NSR GEM 2026 Top-10 unveiled:...

2025 was when the EM Telco bull market really took off. Two of our top picks returned >100% and four more 50%+. We make one change to our top picks for 2026 from 2025, introducing Megacable in exchange for IHS Towers. In a separate note out today we run through the Themes that we think will drive performance in 2026.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Themes and Top picks for 2026

EM Telcos have been strong for some time, but 2025 was a banner year. Multiples have expanded somewhat, but we remain bullish, as we think EM Telcos operate on a long cycle driven by market structure which has now definitively turned up We therefore see EM Telcos in a true stealth bull market as conditions still seem ripe for the best to exhibit pricing power and hence GDP+ revenue growth and rising ROIC. This note explains the key themes we see for 2026.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos Fish in a barrel? 8 Themes that drove EM Telcos in 2...

2025 was a banner year for EM Telcos, following on from a good 2023 and 2024. As we head towards the New Year we thought it might be useful to highlight a few of the thematic pieces we wrote last year that we think help to highlight why EM Telcos are in a clear and sustained bull market and why therefore we are confident that 2026 will be another good year for investors in the space, as fundamentals continue to look much stronger than in the past. I hope you enjoy reading these and happy holiday...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Japan DC exposure, future developments and valuati...

EM & Japanese Telcos have more DC capacity than those in other regions. In this short note, we look at the current and future Data Center (DC) capacity for the telcos in our coverage as well as the potential valuation for these assets, in an attempt to contextualise this exposure.

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