Two Directors at Kofola Ceskoslovensko A.S. bought 2,240 shares at between 330.000CZK and 335.000CZK. The significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direc...
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
HEADLINES: • Saudi Arabian tech: from oil to data and beyond (initiating on Solutions by STC with a BUY, and Jahez with a HOLD) • Motor Oil Hellas: motoring beyond oil (stays BUY) • Kofola: 3Q22 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Photon Energy: increases stake in Lerta, plans to take full control by the year-end • PKO BP: Puls Biznesu on potential changes in management board NEGATIVE • Shoper: key takeaways from the PAP interview with the CEO on the 2023E outlook NEUTRAL • Alrosa: Mir mine p...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: double-digit sustainable ROE for 0.7x P/BV (stays BUY) • Motor Oil Hellas: announces new strategy and acquisition of waste management company Thalis • Kofola: 3Q22 financial results NEUTRAL • Turkey macro: CBT ends rate cut cycle; but will continue with other tools • STS Group: key takeaways from the 3Q22 management call POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 3Q22 earnings call NEGATIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 3Q22 earnings call NEUTRAL • KG...
HEADLINES: • ADNOC Distribution: pumped for growth (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Bank of Cyprus: strong ROTE uplift on the cards already (stays BUY) • OPAP: 3Q22 review - solid set of results, driven by strong online presence • Public Power Corporation: 3Q keeps company on track to meet FY22E guidance NEUTRAL • Fourlis: 3Q22 review - decent quarter and gross margin recovery • Huuuge Games: adjusted 3Q22 EBITDA in line with the preliminary figure, supportive FY guidance NEUTRAL • Warsaw St...
EME Equity Market – September 2022 Market performance – in a rough month for the markets, Turkey emerges as the top-performing region, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 8.3% mom in EUR terms and 10.7% mom in USD in September; while the ISE index outperformed all the other indices once again, but with a muted performance this time, adding just 1.0% mom in EUR terms and 0.1% in local currency terms. All the other indices recorded negative performances, with the Czech PX Index losing 4....
HEADLINES: • Turkish oil and gas: margin calls (Tupras stays BUY, Petkim downgraded to HOLD) • Hungary macro: MPC raises the policy rate to 13.00% and signals a shift of focus • mBank: to book PLN 2.3bn in FX mortgage litigation risk provisions in 3Q22E NEUTRAL • Echo: 2Q22 results - strong margin on apartments handed over, low overheads, small revaluation loss POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 2Q22 earnings call POSITIVE • Kofola: key takeaways from the Seznam Zprav interview wi...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: darkest before the dawn (stays BUY) • Turkish Airlines: firing on all cylinders (upgraded to HOLD) • Aegean Airlines: increasing our 2022E on strong summer traffic (stays BUY) • Kofola: cost pressures remain high (stays HOLD) • EMEA airlines: 8M22 traffic, gains from strong summer uneven, attention turns towards winter POSITIVE • OMV Petrom/Romgaz: potential impact of 33% tax on excess profits • Tauron: Treasury offers PLN 1 for Tauron's mining unit POSITIVE • Polish ...
We maintain our HOLD recommendation on Kofola, cutting our price target (PT) by 4%, to CZK 293. Despite increasing our revenue forecasts, we see that high market interest rates and inflation environment feed through to higher costs, and some of the benefits are eaten away at the EBITDA level. Although we have increased our 2022E EBITDA forecast by 9%, thanks to higher inflation-driven revenue growth than expected previously, we remain a notch below management’s target. We continue to believe tha...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: forecasts - Gazprom does not restart pipeline as planned • Romanian energy: changes in energy regulations and impact on our coverage • Kofola: 2Q22 conference call takeaways - slightly negative NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: plans to reveal "what's next" for Cyberpunk in a livestream tomorrow NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: real users numbers in August 2022 NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: ADA releases August light vehicle sales data NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: weak 2Q22E results o...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: hitch your wagon to the rate hikes (stays BUY) • AmRest: 2Q22 miss; bottom line hit by EUR 53m impairment of Russian KFC business NEGATIVE • AmRest: founders return to the industry NEGATIVE • AUGA Group: 2Q22 results review - strong numbers, improved outlook POSITIVE • Kofola: 2Q22 financial results review NEUTRAL • Romanian energy: government adopts changes in energy regulations NEGATIVE • Poland macro: heated election campaign adds to inflation challenges • 4iG: ...
HEADLINES: • Motor Oil Hellas: 2Q22 results - beat on net income • Asseco Poland: 2Q22 review - net profit up 1% yoy, to PLN 141m, in line with preliminary estimate NEUTRAL • Enea: 2Q22 prelims - weak, due to the provision announced shortly before the results • Fondul Proprietatea: Hidroelectrica's 2Q22 net profit up 45% yoy, 15% below our estimate NEUTRAL • JSW: 2Q22 results - in line with expectations, but production outlook disappointing • Purcari Wineries: takeaways from the 2Q22 earnings...
HEADLINES: • Greek Oil & Gas: a cracking good market (Motor Oil Hellas and Hellenic Petroleum stay BUYs) • PKN Orlen and Grupa Lotos agree on the merger price • Romania macro: 1% tax on turnover for companies with sales above EUR 100m again in discussions • OMV Petrom: the Energy Ministry is planning to sell 0.67% of the company to former Petrom employees • Romgaz: new wells put into operation, generating 230kcm/day, or 1.7% of 2021 production NEUTRAL • Kofola: 1Q22 conference call takeaway...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: the draft bill on mortgagors' aid is proceeding in the Parliamentary Commission • Kofola: 1Q22 financial results review POSITIVE • AUGA Group: 1Q22 review - good results, 2022 outlook remains solid • Ciech: tax office challenges PLN 2.7m tax settlement NEUTRAL • DataWalk: sales to an e-commerce platform and the BC Assembly of First Nations NEUTRAL • DataWalk: announces new incentive scheme NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: May bookings estimate down 6% mom, but flat in flagsh...
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
HEADLINES: • Duna House: broking loans and selling sunsets (initiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: slower growth and higher rates • OPAP: 1Q22 review - strong run rates post reopening, in line with expectations • 4iG: 1Q22 results review - solid quarter, but broadly in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: management call takeaways - migration to UE5 may take until 2/3Q22E NEUTRAL • Immofinanz: CPI increases its stake to 76.9% in the extended offer period NEUTRAL • Poland mac...
HEADLINES: • Turkish automotive: ready for the ride (Ford Otosan and Tofas stay BUY, Dogus Otomotiv stays HOLD) • Ten Square Games: 1Q22 adjusted EBITDA in line with our and market's expectations NEUTRAL • Famur: 1Q22 EBITDA in line with expectations NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q22 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Fondul Proprietatea: takeaways from the call with Hidroelectrica's management NEUTRAL • Kofola: key takeaways from CEO interview with Seznam Zpravy NEUTRAL • Cyf...
HEADLINES: • Kofola: a good drink, but for another time (HOLD - re-initiation of coverage) • Komercni Banka: solid 1Q22, strong ground for 2022E delivery NEUTRAL • BRD-GSG: 1Q22 - good start to 2022 • Shoper: preliminary 1Q22 sales up by a strong 67% yoy, but material margin dilution NEUTRAL • CCC: 1Q22 prelims ahead of expectations, but leverage remains excessive POSITIVE • Vestel Beyaz: 1Q22 results - better-than-expected bottom line POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: US - Fed reinforces hawkish...
We re-initiate coverage of Kofola with a HOLD recommendation and a 12M price target (PT) of CZK 306, offering almost no upside (1%). Although the company has a stable industry position, with the potential to grow its market share further in some segments, as well as an established brand, we believe that the current inflationary environment will affect its profitability negatively in 2022-23E, thus making its investment case less attractive in the near future. We expect the company to continue pa...
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