Memory: China XPU ban lifted. Samsung most exposed. All benefit

Nvidia announced it can resume shipping XPUs to China. We’ve prepared a one-slider summarising the implications for memory vendors.

Weekly bulletin - 23 June - 27 June 2025

Green color and huge weekly turnover set SOFIX at 1025.22 (+1.8%) – level we haven’t seen since September 2008. Weekly turnover tripled and reached BGN 44m., compared to the average one YTD of BGN 15.6m. Main distributors for the increased volume were Doverie Unted Holding’s buy-back and Sopharma’s sales of its treasury shares. The week was highlighted also by the first IPO this year of Green Innovation which raised almost BGN 8m. on Tuesday.

Morning Bulletin - 30 June 2025

The Bulgarian benchmark index SOFIX climbed 1.12% to 1025.22, reaching a record 16-year high on the final trading day of the week. The rise was driven by strong performances from Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 4.94, +2.23%) and Sopharma (SFA, BGN 7.00, +6.06%). Meanwhile Neochim (NEOH, BGN 22.00, -2.65%) and Albena (ALB, BGN 26.20, -2.96%) traded lightly and curbed the broader market’s momentum. As a result, BGBX40 and BGTR30 posted modest gains of 1.17% (188.81) and 0.76% (942.08), respe...

Bible 1Q25 – Memory: all set for the upcoming HBM run.

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. DRAM COGS increased 9% YoY but was down 15% QoQ, along usual seasonality and with China curbs hurting Samsung’s HBM. The outlook remains strong, with all manufacturers expecting HBM revenues to more than d...

Morning Bulletin - 29 May 2025

SOFIX (987.54, -0.83%) lost altitude as most index members closed in the red zone on Wednesday. Smart Organic (SO, BGN 31,00, -3.13%), Shelly (SLYG, BGN 45,00, -2.17%) and Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 9.10, -2.15%) suffered from selling pressure and weighed on the main index. Doverie United Holding (DUH, BGN 8.68, +0.23%) was the only SOFIX member that closed positive but registered insignificant daily turnover. BGREIT (219.07, -0.97%) also stepped bаck, reflecting the drop of Sopharma Bui...

Weekly bulletin - 12 May - 16 May 2025

The local stock market gained some steam last week and ended on a positive note, ranging from 0.8% to 3.2%. The benchmark SOFIX added 3.2% to settle at 956.86, strongly supported by the renewed buying interest in high-tech blue chip Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 42.80, +17.3%). The share became the weekly top gainer within our list of selected companies, followed by the less interesting Industrial Capital Holding (HIKA, BGN 2.56, +4.9%) and Monbat (MONB, BGN 2.60, +4.0%). On the other side, Speedy (SP...

Morning Bulletin - 19 May 2025

Key names like First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.37, -5.41%), Doverie (DUH, BGN 8.62, -2.27%) and Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.695, -2.11%) met some selling pressure on Friday and influenced the daily outcome of the major indexes. SOFIX (956.86) slipped the most, interrupting 9-session winning trend with 0.49% loss, while BGBX40 (180.32, -0.25%) and BGTR30 (898.68, -0.44%) partly balanced with the positive price actions of Eleven Capital (11C, BGN 14.80, +8.03%) and Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN...

Bible 4Q24 – Memory: AI HBM accelerating, cycle elsewhere close to a b...

Today, we are publishing the Memory section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. DRAM COGS increased 7% QoQ, with HBM up 65%, accounting for virtually all the growth. HBM demand remains strong, with revenues expected to more than double in 2025. The non-datacenter outlook is still blea...

Weekly bulletin - 10 March - 14 March 2025

The Bulgarian stock market remained volatile over the past week, as the benchmark SOFIX dropped 0.8% and all other major indexes closed down, ranging from -0.5% to -1.4%. The trading activity was weak, as block deals with some unpopular names boosted the volumes (+105.1% YTD) and the turnover (+51.6% YTD) higher than average numbers. The worst performer in our list of selected securities was Telelink Business Services Group (TBS, BGN 9.65, -12.3%), followed by SOFIX members Agria Group (AGH, BGN...

Morning Bulletin - 5 March 2025

The Bulgarian market started the shorter working week on a downbeat note following the world economy sentiment. The decliners led the advancers by 2-to-1 margin, which settled the main indexes on negative territory. SOFIX (893.80) underperformed the most by 1.16% as the heavy Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 36.50, -2.67%), Sopharma (SFA, BGN 5.74, -1.71%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.68, -3.16%) met the selling pressure below the current market levels. Positive consolidated financial data gave ...

Singapore Daily - Monday, February 03, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Offshore Marine    “Drill baby drill” to benefit offshore marine stocks. Top picks are Seatrium and Marco Polo Marine in the small/mid-cap space. REITs   S-REITs monthly update (Jan 25). TRADERS' CORNER    Wilmar International (WIL SP): Trading BUY                                                                      iFast Corp (IFAST SP): Trading BUY

Nokia 4Q24: Past the trough. Positive outlook. Maintain Buy rating, €...

Nokia reported 4Q24 yesterday. Please click the link below for our take on the full earnings..

Nokia 4Q24: Past the trough. Positive outlook. Maintain Buy rating

Nokia reported 4Q24 this morning.

Morning Bulletin - 28 January 2025

The Bulgarian market moved in a narrow range since it registered a 16-year high in beginning of the year, while the trading activity weakened. SOFIX (887.84) settled on a note higher as the positive bias came from the heavy member Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 35.00 +0.57%). The broad indexes BGTR30 (857.49, +0.31%) and BGBX40 (171.44, +0.32%) were additionally powered by the reaction of the retail on the released financial data of Wiser (WISR, BGN 5.00, +4.17%) and the price actions with M+S Hydrauli...

Alpha IVF Group (ALPHA MK) - 2QFY25: Exciting Times Ahead

2QFY25: Exciting Times Ahead Despite the usual seasonality of the quarter, sales came in flattish sequentially. The establishment of an SRO in China aided the foreign patient mix and saved on costly external agents fees as margins improved sequentially. As a result, Alpha IVF continued to deliver on earnings. We continue to like Alpha IVF for its execution, regional growth, industry-leading success rates and superior margins relative to its peers. Maintain BUY. Target price: RM0.40.

Bulgaria Outlook 2025

OUTLOOK 2025 – 6 VALUE STOCKS FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO  Bulgaria's economy showed resilience despite the world and domestic challenges. In the first three quarters of 2024, the country posted steady annual GDP growth of 1.9% in Q1, 2.3% in Q2 and 2.6% in Q3 (non-seasonally adjusted data). The main drivers behind the growth were the individual and government consumption, which accelerated their contribution throughout the three quarters.  Inflation has been on a downward trend, aligning with global ...

Autos, Industrials, Smartphone and PCs Semis in 2025, a health check

Weekly bulletin - 2 December - 6 December 2024

The Bulgarian stock market ended the week with no clear direction, as the local benchmark SOFIX added 0.1% to settle at 847.67. The broader BGBX40 (166.63, +0.3%) and BGTR30 (846.93, -0.4%) performed in different directions, while the sector BGREIT (213.60,+0.6 %) gained the most, supported by the strong movement of Sopharma Buildings (SFB, BGN 16.50, +19.57%). The weekly top performer within our selected companies was Trace Group Hold (T57, BGN 6.0,+6.2%), followed by Telematic Interactive Bul...

Morning Bulletin - 9 December 2024

Friday’s trading was mostly mixed with moderate activity on a narrow base as BGBX40 (166.63, -0.02%) blended all volatile price actions within the BSE, underperforming SOFIX (847.67, +0.15%). Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.695, -4.14%), Eleven Capital (11C, BGN 16.00, -3.61%) and Stara Planina (SPH, BGN 9.00, -2.17%) led the decliners, while First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.88) and Hydraulic Element and System (HES, BGN 5.50) took some breath and recovered by 3.74% and 2.80%, respectively. The daily v...

Morning Bulletin - 2 December 2024

The Bulgarian market was mixed on Friday but a narrow range of names registered significant deviations in otherwise quiet session. The major indexes settled with losses as SOFIX (846.60, -0.20%) erased part of previous day gain, following the negative price actions in Agria Group (AGH, BGN 19.70, -2.48%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.80, -4.04%), while the BGBX40 (166.09, -0.13%) and BGTR30 (850.17, -0.03%) performed slightly better, supported by Petrol (PET, BGN 0.89, +23.61%) and Sirma...