Autos, Industrials, Smartphone and PCs Semis in 2025, a health check

Weekly bulletin - 2 December - 6 December 2024

The Bulgarian stock market ended the week with no clear direction, as the local benchmark SOFIX added 0.1% to settle at 847.67. The broader BGBX40 (166.63, +0.3%) and BGTR30 (846.93, -0.4%) performed in different directions, while the sector BGREIT (213.60,+0.6 %) gained the most, supported by the strong movement of Sopharma Buildings (SFB, BGN 16.50, +19.57%). The weekly top performer within our selected companies was Trace Group Hold (T57, BGN 6.0,+6.2%), followed by Telematic Interactive Bul...

Morning Bulletin - 9 December 2024

Friday’s trading was mostly mixed with moderate activity on a narrow base as BGBX40 (166.63, -0.02%) blended all volatile price actions within the BSE, underperforming SOFIX (847.67, +0.15%). Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.695, -4.14%), Eleven Capital (11C, BGN 16.00, -3.61%) and Stara Planina (SPH, BGN 9.00, -2.17%) led the decliners, while First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.88) and Hydraulic Element and System (HES, BGN 5.50) took some breath and recovered by 3.74% and 2.80%, respectively. The daily v...

Morning Bulletin - 2 December 2024

The Bulgarian market was mixed on Friday but a narrow range of names registered significant deviations in otherwise quiet session. The major indexes settled with losses as SOFIX (846.60, -0.20%) erased part of previous day gain, following the negative price actions in Agria Group (AGH, BGN 19.70, -2.48%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.80, -4.04%), while the BGBX40 (166.09, -0.13%) and BGTR30 (850.17, -0.03%) performed slightly better, supported by Petrol (PET, BGN 0.89, +23.61%) and Sirma...

Morning Bulletin - 11 November 2024

The Bulgarian stock market closed the volatile weak on a downbeat note with little changes from Monday opening. All major indexes booked losses in range between 0.34% and 0.01%, reflecting the negative price actions of First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 4.00, -4.76%) and Doverie (DUH, BGN 8.04, -3.13%), though the bias came from low volumes in widened spreads. Roughly one third of the indexes constitutes remained untraded on Friday as the volume only of few names, like Monbat (MONB, BGN 2.64, +4.76...

Morning Bulletin - 31 October 2024

The Bulgarian equity market had a mixed showing on Wednesday, though ultimately the main indexes were up in range from 0.39% to 0.74%. SOFIX (841.39, +0.40%) rebounded from its 200-day MA mainly supported by First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.66, +5.17%) recovery after the announcement of Q3 financial data, which couldn’t reach the previous year results for the same period on the other hand. BGREIT (211.42) was the exception, following the pull back of the real estate sector and settled 0.41% low...

PSA Technology / Semiconductors: Micron and the AI Bubble

Micron’s FY24 results are a reminder that the chip industry is still doing well. Pelham Smithers considers what is reflected in the shares price of the wafer fab equipment makers and highlights two Japanese plays that offer undemanding valuations.

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, September 26, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 4.8% yoy, missing estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,850/Target: Rp12,000) Strong loan growth continues; asset quality remains solid. MALAYSIA Update SD Guthrie (SDG MK/HOLD/RM4.88/Target: RM4.75) Plantatio...

Weekly bulletin - 9 September - 13 September 2024

The lack of investors’ enthusiasm and the negative trend on Bulgarian stock market continued during the past week, as all major indexes finished with moderate losses. The local benchmark SOFIX decreased by 0.3% to settle at 865.95 and the broad ones – BGBX40 (169.31, -0.3%) and BGTR30 (866.70, -0.3%) performed similarly. The top gainer within our list of selected companies and a SOFIX member – Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 3.34, +7.7%) supported the sector index BGREIT ( 202.74, +1.2%). ...

Weekly bulletin - 2 September - 5 September 2024

The Bulgarian stock market continued the negative movement from the previous one, but remained relatively stable, while uncertainty and volatility returned to global financial markets. The local benchmark SOFIX retreated -0.2% to settle at 864.43 and the broad ones – BGBX40 (169.38, -0.5%), BGTR30 (867.42, -0.3%) performed a little bit worse. The weekly top performer within our list of selected companies was Trace Group Hold (T57, BGN 6.00, +12.1%), followed by Monbat (MONB, BGN 3.04, +6.3%) and...

Morning Bulletin - 9 September 2024

The Bulgarian equity market closed the short first week of September on upbeat note and the indexes registered moderate gains in range between 0.22% and 0.52%. The positive effect came from the easily recovered Central Cooperative Bank (CCB. BGN 1.73, +4.85%) and Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 8.05, +2.55%) from previous trading day’s losses on the ground of small trades in already widened Bid/Ask Spreads. The volumes improved slightly, though registered less than 50% of the 3-months average...

Weekly bulletin - 26 August - 30 August 2024

The Bulgarian stock market edged lower last week, as investors remained inactive and kept the positive sentiment in some particular positions. The leading local index SOFIX lost 0.5% to close at 864.77, as the broad ones – BGBX40 (169.53, -0.6%), BGTR30 (869.97, -0.3%) repeated the benchmark. Declining stocks outnumbered the rising ones in our list of selected companies by 12 to 10, 7 ended unchanged. The top gainer within our list of selected was Trace Group Hold (T57, BGN 5.35,+14,8%), while t...

Morning Bulletin - 30 August 2024

The Bulgarian equity market had a mixed disposition through the Thursday trading session. SOFIX (865.51, -0.05%) and BGBX40 (170.15, -0.04%) closed near their lows of the day, following sharp moves of M+S Hydraulic (MSH, BGN 9.35, -3.61%) and Alcomet (ALCM, BGN 6.35, -5.93%) on the negative side and Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.74, +2.35%) and Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.81, +4.52%) on the positive side. BGTR30 (872.13) advanced alone by 0.23% on narrow constitute base. The trading activity ...

Morning Bulletin - 28 August 2024

It was a downbeat day on Tuesday and the major indexes lost in range between 0.93% to 0.39%. The negative price actions were driven by consolidated activity after the registration of new 15-year highs by the indexes on Monday. SOFIX (864.88) slipped the most by 0.93%, led by M+S Hydraulic (MSH, BGN 9.00, -5.26%), Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 8.00, -4.76%) and Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.68, -2.33%) losses. Volume was traditionally for the season below-average again as only the blo...

Weekly bulletin - 12 August - 16 August 2024

The Bulgarian stock market finished the last week on an upbeat mode as world markets continued to recover from the sharp pullback at the beginning of August. The positive sentiment pushed the benchmark SOFIX up with 1.4% to settle at 866.77 and all other major indexes closed in green, ranging from 1.3% to 2.0%. First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 5.25, +9.4%) was the top gainer within our list of selected companies, followed by Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 2.90, +8.2%) – both SOFIX members....

PSA Media & Entertainment: Japan Video Game Publishers – Complacency i...

With video game companies' FY24 June results out of the way, Pelham Smithers assesses the state of the industry and reviews and ranks individual companies' prospects.

Morning Bulletin - 19 June 2024

The announcement that 2.7% of Shelly (SLYG, BGN 68.40, -2.01%) were sold OTC at BGN 64.54 (EUR 33) by the majority shareholders disappointed investors and the company dropped by 2.01% thus weighing on the main index SOFIX (848.43, -0.44%). Agria (AGH, BGN 20.70, -2.36%) and Sopharma (SFA, BGN 5.86, -1.68%) also lost altitude with small daily turnover. The expected dividend distribution by the Moldavian bank raised Doverie United Holding (DUH, BGN 8.82, +2.56%) with moderate daily volume on Tuesd...

Morning Bulletin - 31 May 2024

The major indexes closed with losses, reflecting the moderate activity of retails on Tuesday. SOFIX (863.60) fell 0.35%, while the broad indexes BGBX40 (171.72) and BGTR30 (851.69) took some advantage from Bianor Holding’s (BNR, BGN 5.30, +6.00%) and Billboard’s (BBRD, BGN 0.48, +15.38%) gains and decreased by 0.20% and 0.13% respectively. The volumes remained moderate as the turnover reached 69% of its 3-month average, mainly reflecting the Eurohold (EUBG, BGN 1.58, +0.64%) trading.

Weekly bulletin - 7 May - 10 May 2024

The local stock market gained steam last week and ended on a positive note, as investors kept the positive sentiment in some particular positions and supported the indexes. The local benchmark SOFIX added 3.0% to settle at 837.99, , reflecting the impressive performance of the index members First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.88, +25.2%), Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 0.83, +13.8%) and Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.76, +11.9%), that formed the top three in our list of selected companies. A total of 20 o...

Morning Bulletin - 10 May 2024

Equities had a solid showing on Thursday as all major indexes registered gains ranging from 0.16% to 0.54%. SOFIX (832.94, +0.46%) continued a three-day rise with new 15-years high, reflecting sensible buying power within the benchmark. The investors quickly erased 4.00% of Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE, BGN 14.40, -4.00%) market cap as the freshly uploaded GSM agenda was read as negative news and focused on financials, placing up First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.66, +2.81%) at 2019 level and t...