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Constellium SE: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its commitment to maintain moderate leverage, constrained by some concentration risk with regard to both customers and suppliers.

Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Constellium SE and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 4 November 2024 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in the context of ...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Constellium SE - June 2024 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Constellium SE: Covenant Quality Pre-Sale Snapshot: €300m __% and $350...

Overall, Constellium SE’s (the “Issuer”) covenant package provides [weakest protection] (4.56).

Constellium SE: Flooding in Switzerland temporarily disrupts productio...

The production suspension will hurt Constellium's earnings and cash flow in 2024, but is unlikely to have a lasting negative effect on credit quality.

Constellium SE - March 2024 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Downgrading Manufacturing to Market Weight Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. In terms of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, there are few things more bullish than indexes breaking out to all-time highs following a major correction that we had in 2022 -- but that is exactly what is happening. In last week's Compass (5/21/24) we discussed how it is a very bullish sign that there have been three upside gaps in May on the S&P 500, with all gaps left unfilled. This and the hea...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

New All-Time Highs Validates Our Bullish Outlook We continue to view the latest pullback to the 100-day MA on the S&P 500 as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Throughout the last week of April, we discussed the possibility that further downside was limited (4/23/24 Compass) and the mounting evidence that led us to believe the lows were likely in for this pullback (4/30/24 Compass). Market dynamics remain health...

Constellium SE - December 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Constellium SE: Update following upgrade to Ba3, outlook changed to st...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects a commitment to maintain moderate leverage and a return to sustained positive free cash flow since 2019.

Moody's Ratings upgrades Constellium to Ba3; stable outlook

Moody's Ratings has today upgraded Constellium SE's ("Constellium") long term corporate family rating (CFR) to Ba3 from B1; its probability of default rating (PDR) to Ba3-PD from B1-PD; and the rating of its backed senior unsecured notes to Ba3 from B1. The rating agency also changed the outlook on ...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Long-Term Breakouts for Emerging & Frontier Markets The bullish outlook we initiated in early November 2023 remains intact. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) still refuse to close below their 20-day MAs/21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days -- and even if/when they do, important supports are close by, including at 4983-5050 on the S&P 500 and $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24). The Fed's next move is almost guaranteed to be a cut (though when it happens is up for debate). And ...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

More Long-Term Breakouts; Bullish Outlook Intact We remain bullish on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as they both refuse to close below their 20-day MAs or 21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days. There is nothing that says this can't continue. With that said, once we do get 2-3 closes below the 20-day MAs or 21-day EMAs on the S&P 500 and QQQ, it would mark the beginning of a pullback (a potentially rapid one, at that), with next supports currently at 4983-5050 on the S&P 500 and $42...

Constellium SE - June 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Constellium SE: Update following change in outlook to positive

Our credit view of Constellium reflects its leading market position.

Moody's changes the outlook on Constellium to positive; affirms its B1...

Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has today changed the outlook to positive from stable on Constellium SE (Constellium). Concurrently, Moody's has affirmed Constellium's B1 corporate family rating (CFR), its B1-PD probability of default rating (PDR), as well as the B1 rating of its backed senior...

Constellium SE - March 2023 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

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