PSA IT Services – Unpopularity Unwarranted – Sector Report In this report we discuss the overall results for the IT Services sector and then delve into each company in our coverage. Our valuations quadrant on page 9 provides a snapshot of the valuation of each company vs. their growth. It shows that half the companies under our coverage in the IT Service sector feature in the Higher Growth, Lower Valuation segment of the quadrant, underlining the opportunities that the sector still presents.
Tags: Obic (4684 JT), Obic Business Consultants (4733 JT), PCA Corp (9629 JT), Ines Corp (9742 JT), Shift (3697 JT), BayCurrent (6532 JT), PKSHA (3993 JT), ExaWizards (4259 JT) Six enterprise software companies reported earnings during the week to 31 Oct with mixed results. Analyst Lindsay Whipp takes us through the performance of four companies in her coverage – TIS, NRI, Obic and OBC.
IIJ is flying under the radar in the IT Services sector. Its roots as Japan’s first ISP are playing a crucial role in its expansion as Japanese organisations shift to more open cloud-based IT systems, from which IIJ is winning larger project. Coupled with its higher-margin cyber security offerings and smart digital currency strategy, IIJ is in a strong position to improve OPM over the next three fiscal years. Meanwhile, valuations remain attractive. Analyst Lindsay Whipp explains.
For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.
The most recent quarterly earnings for the system integrators highlighted the sustained increase in spending by Japanese financial institutions over recent quarters, as they seek to improve products and services amid a shift in interest rates and the introduction of tax-exempt investment accounts, and as interest in digital currencies grows. Analyst Lindsay Whipp reviews some of the DX spending undertaken by Japan’s banking industry and highlights beneficiaries'.
Revenue trends were steady as the softer mobile growth was offset by improvement in non-mobile. Softbank remained the outperformer, but this has already been baked in as expectations for Group revenue are sitting ahead of guidance by 3%.
NTT printed a rather soft set of Q1 results as Mobile was weaker and Global Solutions was impacted by FX weakness in its Overseas arm. The recovery in Regional Communications offered some encouragement and is likely to remain so as the firm transits from Copper to Fibre over the long run.
Japan’s mobile sector accelerated again in Q4 and we think is heading to above inflation. With both KDDI and DCM recently announcing price increases the environment is increasingly benign and should be helped by NTT’s recent acquisition of SBI Sumishin Net Bank. Our recent trip to Japan highlighted how positive the environment is; NTT stays our preferred pick, with KDDI closely behind.
As has been widely rumoured, NTT has offered to acquire up to 66% of SBI Sumishin Bank (7163-JP), in a bid to strengthen its financial services offering. The offer price (¥3,615) represents a 10% premium to yesterday’s price, but actually around 10% below today’s closing price.
As rumoured, NTT has offered to buy out the minorities (~42.3%) of NTT Data via a tender offer, at a 34% premium, or ¥4,000 per share. This is a slightly lower premium than we would have expected and implies a transaction value for the minority stake of ¥2.4tn (USD 16.5bn). Quick thoughts below.
BayCurrent (6532 JT) is a pure-play Japanese IT and management consultancy company which is growing sales faster than the broader market, thanks to robust hiring, and a strategy of increasing the number of its core clients. Increasing hiring by around +20% YoY is limiting utilisation growth, but we expect gradual improvement from FY26. Spending on IT is a long-term investment in efficiency and a solution to labour shortages, both of which need addressing in Japan. This places IT Service sector c...
In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.
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