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Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Telecom Italia, Digi Communications, TK Elevator, Azelis, EnQuest Plc, TAP, Guala Closures, Odfjell Drilling, Sasol, Victoria, International Personal Finance

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 20.02.2026

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of C$0.20 per share: Gas to surface at Welchau – Hydrocarbon gas (Methane - CH4) was observed at surface from the Reifling Formation for the first time within the shallowest part of the Welchau anticline following acidization. See website for full report Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Strong well test results point to meaningful reserves upgrade – The K‑45 vertical well ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 13.02.2026

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.35 per share: First Gas in 2Q26 with a Likely Upgrade to Discovered Gas Resources – The contract for the construction of a new 21 km gas pipeline (previously 14 km) for the SE‑MGH 5–7 mmcf/d development was signed in early January. Site preparation is already underway, with first gas expected in 2Q26. Project capex is now estimated at US$2 mm (vs. prior guidance of US$2–3 mm), of which US...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

TOTALENERGIES: RDOS. 4T’25 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 4T'25 vs 4T'24: EBIT: 4.442 M dólares (-7,8% vs -7,9% BS(e) y -8,3% consenso); BDI: 3.876 M dólares (-12,0% vs -12,6% BS(e) y -13,8% consenso). Rdos. 2025 vs 2024: EBIT: 17.827 M dólares (-7,0% vs -7,0% BS(e) y -7,1% consenso); BDI: 15.626 M dólares (-14,4% vs -14,6% BS(e) y -14,9% consenso).

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Impressive reserves replacement ratio

• YE25 2P reserves were estimated at 57.8 mmbbl, implying a reserves‑replacement ratio of 192%. Even excluding the previously disclosed Wassana additions at FID, the company still achieved 100% organic replacement of 2025 production, adding 8.5 mmbbl of reserves. At US$10/bbl, this equates to roughly C$1.20 per share of value creation. • This performance is particularly notable given that the reserves auditor reduced its Brent price assumptions by ~US$7–15/bbl from 2026 onward, which had a negat...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Southern Energy Corp. (SOUC LN/SOU CN): Debt reset and new funding to ...

• Southern has refinanced its US$14 mm of existing debt through a new US$17 mm convertible debenture, and strengthened its balance sheet with (1) a US$1.5 mm equity raise at C$0.07/sh (no discount to Friday’s close) and (2) the sale of a 6% gross overriding royalty for US$5 mm. The capital was provided by three related parties, including an existing minority shareholder. The new convertible debenture carries a 7% annual coupon—well below the 15% rate on the previous facility—and matures in Decem...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 02.06.2026

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy Exploration (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Momentum accelerating. Potential resources increase in Austria – The Welchau‑1 well is scheduled for re‑entry in February to test the Reifling reservoir. An acid stimulation will be performed on the perforated interval to address wellbore damage and improve productivity in the carbonate section. The operation should also yield additional insight into the deeper Welchau...

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