In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. Over the year, TMT hybrid notes have outperformed. Nevertheless, we still like this hybrid space as it offers a good yield. From a spread perspective, we continue to think the tightening potential over senior is more limited, although the small recent widening makes hybrids a bit more attractive.
Our conviction on the long-term growth potential and opportunities of generative AI is renewed. The enabler sectors (semiconductors, software and IT services) and those that provide the infrastructure (utilities, metals, capital goods and real estate) will be the primary beneficiaries, leading us to make certain target price changes. Among AI ‘user’ sectors (media, healthcare, automotive, banking and insurance, oil services, defence, aerospace and airlines), the effects will doub...
Notre conviction sur le potentiel de croissance LT et d’opportunités de l’IA générative est renforcée. Les secteurs 'enablers' (semiconducteurs, software et IT services) et fournisseurs d’infrastructures (utilities, métaux, biens d'équipements et immobilier) en seront les premiers bénéficiaires, conduisant à certains changements d’OC. Parmi les secteurs ‘utilisateurs’ de l’IA (média, santé, automobile, banque et assurance, services pétroliers, défense, aéronautique et compagnies ...
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 224 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:
Today, we are publishing the Automotive section of our 23rd Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 130 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish the last section on Enterprise IT. Auto semiconductor companies experienced their first YoY revenue decline since 2020, reflecting the ongoing inventory correction. We...
Industrial semiconductor revenues were down 20% YoY in 1Q24, declining sequentially for the sixth quarter in a row. 1Q24 is expected to be the trough with nearly all companies expecting sequential growth in the second half of the year, however elevated customer inventories and a correction in clean energy semiconductors could slow the pace of the recovery. We nevertheless remain bullish on the secular opportunity in industrial semis, particularly for power semis which will benefit from the persi...
Infineon’s auto MCU revenues have nearly tripled in the last four years, with market share increasing from 16% to 29%. The company has good visibility on further growth, and we expect this, along with growth in xEVs, to offset the cyclical slowdown this year and contribute to double-digit growth beyond. Infineon is one of our top picks this year. The largest round of downward revisions is behind us, and the stock is attractively valued, ahead of another leg of strong secular growth beyond this y...
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