Xiaomi’s 2Q25 net profit was a solid beat at Rmb10.8b, thanks to strong IoT sales and robust EV margins, coupled with fair value changes on financial instruments. Looking ahead, the EV business is set for a stronger print due to the YU7 deliveries, while margins for the smartphone business remain under pressure due to elevated memory costs. Maintain BUY; maintain target price at HK$69.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$28.28/Target: HK$33.80) 1H25 results beat expectations. Sales volume of sub-premium beer and above saw mid-to-high single-digit growth. In the 15th Five-Year Plan, CR Beer will remain focused on Heineken as its core, while strengthening the sub-premium segment as another growth driver. The baijiu business is not expected to deteriorate further amid the adjustment phase in 2H25, but any potential impairment will still depend on business...
GREATER CHINA Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$28.28/Target: HK$33.80): 1H25: Results beat; Heineken and sub-premium the core for next stage. Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology (002709 CH/BUY/Rmb20.60/Target: Rmb30.00): 2Q25: Earnings miss on ASP and margins; Maintain BUY. Cut target price from Rmb39.60 to Rmb30.0. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$52.40/Target: HK$69.20): 2Q25: Record-high bottom line; EV business to be boosted by YU7 deliveries. Maintain BUY. XPeng Inc (9868 HK/BUY/HK$7...
Xiaomi is set to report its 2Q25 earnings later this month. We expect robust revenue growth supported by the IoT, EV and internet services segments. However, margins are projected to fall sequentially, mainly due to rising DDR4 prices for the smartphone business and a shift in the IoT product mix. Overall, we expect adjusted net profit to grow 71.4% yoy to Rmb10.3b. Maintain BUY; trim target price slightly to HK$69.20.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BeOne Medicines (6160 HK/BUY/HK$182.70/Target: HK$240.00) BeOne Medicines’ 1H25 revenue surged by 44.7% yoy to US$2.4b and adjusted net earnings amounted to US$389m, beating consensus estimates. Management raised revenue and gross margin guidance in 2025. We believe BRUKINSA's strong sales outlook and improving operational efficiency bode well for robust earnings and free cash flow expansion. Its R&D efforts will also support sustainable long-term growth through new prod...
In July, the HSI and MSCI China index extended their growths, rising 2.9% mom and 4.5% mom respectively to reach their peak on 24 July before pulling pack in the latest week, as investors tend to take profit after the Politburo announcement. With another 90-day tariff delay from the US, we maintain a positive outlook for leading domestic stocks in healthcare and IT. New additions to our BUY list are JBM Healthcare and Lenovo. We take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor.
June’s HSI and MSCI China Index rose 3.4% mom and 4.0% mom respectively, despite the pullback due to the Middle East tensions. July may see increased volatility as the US looks to bring the tariff negotiations to a close. At this juncture, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and sector leaders. New additions to our BUY list are CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and Tencent Music Entertainment. We take profit on Prudential.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
Xiaomi officially launched the YU7 SUV model, along with the AI Glasses and a range of other smartphones and IoT products. Specifications and pricing for YU7 are in line, but its initial orders in the first hour has surpassed 289,000 units which is well above our/market expectations, and this is usually a solid indicator of positive share price performance in the coming days. Maintain BUY and keep target price at HK$69.90.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales up 26% yoy on last-minute buying before promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV and Tuopu. Education: Ramping up AI+ initiative; focusing on profitability with solid growth pillars. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$69.90): Takeaways from Xiaomi YU7 and AI Glasses launch event. Strong initial demand with YU7 orders surpassing 289,000 within the first hour. Maintain BUY. SINGAPORE Sector RE...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations grew 26% yoy, 40% mom and 22% wow in the 25th week of 2025, with a PEV market share of 51.6%. BYD’s sales surge on discounts is unsustainable, and long-term growth will rely on product innovations and overseas expansion. China’s vehicle exports jumped 21% yoy in May, with EVs up 43% and PHEVs soaring 134%. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV and Tuopu. Education We have an optimistic outlook on the education se...
Trade deal in focus. Notwithstanding the 90-day truce on tariff escalation, it is still a 50/50 if there will be a “Big Beautiful Deal” between the US and China. The US is steadfast in wanting to cap China’s growth and restricting her access to the latest technology, while China is making a firm stand on its economic rights. We expect that higher US tariffs on Chinese goods are unavoidable, likely closer to the 60% mark, if Trump were to be seen making a credible move to onshore production in ...
The HSI and MSCI China index rebounded 5.3% mom and 3.5% mom respectively in May, after China and the US agreed on a 90-day tariff truce. Nonetheless, geopolitical uncertainties and tariff war risks remain. Hence, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and defensive sectors that have been gaining traction in recent weeks. New additions to our BUY list are Prudential and Sino Biopharm, and we take profit on SHKP and Trip.com.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and TCOM. Update Qingdao Port International (6198 HK/NOT RATED/Price: HK$6.54) Key takeaways from NDR. INDONESIA Update Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ/BUY/Rp2,620/Target: Rp3,000) Synergy potential from Lawson; expansion outside Java remains intact. MALAYSIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Wrap-Up ...
GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1Q25: ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1...
Xiaomi’s 1Q25 net profit was a solid beat at Rmb10.7b, with an all-round beat for both revenue/margins across segments. The IoT business had an outstanding quarter, with a historically high margin of 25.2% (+4.4ppt vs estimates) thanks to an improved product mix. For the EV business, the continued increase in deliveries will help drive the segment towards profitability. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$69.90.
Xiaomi officially launched its new in-house developed SoCs, the XRING O1 and T1. These SoCs are featured in newly-released devices such as Mi15S Pro, Mi Pad 7 Ultra and Watch S4. Alongside these devices, Xiaomi has also announced its new YU7 SUV model. Notably, all three variants feature similar self-driving hardware, including LiDAR sensors and NVIDIA chipset with 700 TOPS. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$66.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...
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