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Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Samsung, Memory: Samsung expects CQ3 profit to grow 158% to ~12 Tr Won ($8.5B)View: Samsung yesterday announced its 3Q operating profit is expected to grow ~32% Y/Y to 12.1 trillion won ($8.5B), marking its highest levels since 2Q22 and far exceeding consensus of ~10 trillion won. Although detailed

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Insight Focus on Product Advancements or Fundamentals?

Higher Memory CostsNTAP historically has been somewhat less adept than its peers during periods when memory costs fluctuate.We would not expect any impact on current quarter dynamics or even potentially FQ3 economics given our belief that NTAP pulled some storage purchases forward into CQ2.However,

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Amazon (Buy, $270 target) Price increase rejuvenates the AWS bull cas...

AWS has raised publicly-listed Capacity Block pricing on B200 instances, a material and unexpected positive development supporting our above-consensus revenue estimates for AWS.

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Samsung, NVDA: Jensen Huang reportedly confirms Samsung’s HBM3e qualView: Per News1 Korea, Jensen has personally informed Samsung that its HBM3e has passed NVIDIA’s quality qualification tests and that NVDA intends to place orders. The two companies, in turn, are now reportedly fine-tuning details

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Oracle AI cloud margins: Much ado about nothing

The Information reported yesterday that Oracle’s AI cloud margins are in the high teens. Accounting for typical start-up costs, this aligns well with our analysis of the $300bn OpenAI contract. Please see the link for our analysis of Oracle's AI cloud economics over the next 10 years and the implications for overall gross margins.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

AWS/GCP: How long does it take to pay off an XPU?

We take a closer look at how long it takes for AWS and GCP to pay back the investment in both GPUs and custom chips (TPUs and Trainium) on both a revenue and contribution margin basis, using our estimates of per-chip costs and realized pricing for each of AWS and GCP.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

GOOGL/AMZN/META: Updated AI D&A and Lower META AI RO

we've updated our bottom-up AI depreciation analysis for GOOGL, AMZN and META following our latest AI capex update (see HERE).

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