In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in November 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
On 10 November, the State Council vowed to expand C-REITs for POEs. However, demand stays weak: home sales from 1-10 November in 28 mainland cities fell 45% yoy, with prices trending down. In Hong Kong, the potential supply of private homes rose 1% qoq, yet property prices and rents showed improving fundamentals. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; favour mainland developers with strong retail portfolios (CR Land, Longfor); in Hong Kong, favour SHKP and Kerry Properties.
We believe that New World Development's (NWD) focus for the proposed exchange offers is to reduce its outstanding debt, mainly by restructuring the existing perps. Hence, the exercise, if completed, would be credit positive for the company. This would in turn support the prices of the existing straight bonds. Negatively, we note that there is no equity funding from parent Chow Tai Fook Enterprise for further debt reduction, contrary to previous media reports. In addition, the restructuring could...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in October 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...
The IPO revival proves Hong Kong is re-emerging as a key hub for talent and capital amid geopolitical risks, benefitting the property market. Hong Kong’s repositioning is expected to shape the property industry’s new equilibrium over the next 2-3 years. As the market prepares for a new cycle, this report analyses the key factors driving industry fundamentals. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on Hong Kong developers and landlords.
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
Highlights Repositioning of Hong Kong driving new sector equilibrium in next 2-3 years. Catalysts: More rate cuts than expected, policy support and tourism recovery. Risks: Fewer rate cuts, massive collateral liquidation by banks, more defaults. Analysis Repositioning of Hong Kong driving new property market equilibrium. With geopolitical tensions being the new norm, Hong Kong is remerging as a key hub for capital and talent, as evidenced by the IPO market’s revival which has benefitted...
Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80.
Greater China Sector Update | Property Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80. Company Update | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$155.20/Target: HK$203.00) We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite marg...
Golden Week new-home sales varied, with sales in Tier 1 cities growing 18.1% yoy on average, while sales in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities declined. In Hong Kong, second-hand transactions from 2024-25 projects, like SHKP's Cullinan Sky, achieved better capital gains, boosting investor sentiment. Tourism data was mixed: mainland tourist growth slowed, other regions’ visitors surged, and northbound travel stayed strong. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China and Hong Kong property/landlord sectors.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in September 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on...
New World Development's (NWD) FY 2024-25 results were weak, with the company reporting another large net loss of HKD 16.3 bn (after the HKD 19.7 bn loss in FY 2023-24), mainly driven by impairment losses. Underlying business performance was also soft, as core operating profit (excluding one-off items) fell 13% y-o-y. That said, OCF was strong and FCF was positive. This was supported by higher property deliveries in Hong Kong, lower capex (for land and construction) and G&A expenses, as well as t...
Greater China Company Results | New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$7.84/Target: HK$6.90) In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools...
In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools. We expect continued losses and challenges in FY26. Maintain SELL.
Top Stories Company Results | New World Development (17 HK/SELL/HK$7.84/Target: HK$6.90) In FY25, NWD reported a HK$16.3b loss and halted dividends but made progress in improving cash flow and debt structure. Short-term debt fell to HK$6.6b, or 4.5% of total debt. Debt reduction remains the priority for FY26, supported by the property sales target of HK$27b and lower capex. Management has no immediate plans for placement, rights issues or CB, but is open to considering various financing tools. ...
The 2025 Policy Address expands the new CIES to include HK$30m-50m worth of residential properties, moderates land supply targets and suspends the Kau Yi Chau project. The North Metropolis needs to accelerate development with innovative measures. Population growth and tourism remain the key policy focus, though local spending lacks direct support. Our pecking order of positive impact on each segment: residential>retail>office. SHKP and Hysan are our top picks, while NWD is downgraded to SELL due...
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