GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
BDMS should report a net profit of Bt4.3b in 1Q25 (+6.7% yoy, +0.3% qoq). The key contributions are from improving growth of Thai patient numbers and a strong growth from foreign patient numbers, especially from China and the Middle East. The earthquake in Myanmar could slow down the growth of patient volume from Myanmar in the near term, but we may see pent-up demand that could enhance BDMS’ earnings in 3Q25 and 4Q25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt33.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt23.50/Target: Bt33.00) Expect a healthy growth in 1Q25. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt48.50/Target: Bt79.60) Expect 1Q25 earnings to be stable yoy; resilient core business performance. PTT Global Chemical (PTTGC TB/BUY/Bt18.20/Target: Bt21.00) 1Q25 loss projected to decline qoq.
GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$47.80/Target: HK$60.00) World’s largest music platform with evolving social ecosystem. Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/HOLD/Rmb13.99/Target: Rmb15.00) 2024: Results in line; maintain 2025 revenue growth estimate of 8.8% yoy. iFlytek (002230 CH/SELL/Rmb45.18/Target: Rmb35.00) 2024 and 1Q25: Earnings miss on heightened R&D spending; solid top-line growth. Update Sunn...
A director at Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company Limited bought 1,000,000 shares at 22.440THB and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company'...
The tone at BDMS’ 4Q24 analyst meeting was neutral. BDMS guided a less aggressive growth target for 2025 due to concerns about the persistent sluggish outlook on Thai patients while maintaining an optimistic outlook on foreign patients. There are new expansions that will benefit BDMS in the long term, and the outlook for 1Q25 appears decent as we are seeing a strong growth in foreign patient numbers coupled with a boost from the influenza outbreak. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt33.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Shenzhen and Guangzhou seeing notable improvement in demand-supply dynamics. Results ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US/BUY/US$2.67/Target: US$3.40) 4Q24: Net loss narrows due to revenue growth. Maintain BUY. Target price: US$3.40. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,260/Target: Rp3,300) XLSmart estimates potential cost synergies of US$300-...
BDMS reported another robust quarterly net profit of Bt4.3b in 4Q24 (+9.6% yoy, +2.0% qoq), in line with our estimates but above consensus expectations. The growth from Thai patients is weak due to a sluggish economic outlook, while the growth from international patients remains strong. We are optimistic on the 1Q25 outlook as the number of influenza cases continues to rise. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt33.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Betagro (BTG TB/BUY/Bt18.50/Target: Bt24.20) 4Q24: Earnings in line; expect stronger 1Q25 earnings. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt26.50/Target: Bt33.00) 4Q24: Robust quarterly earnings; in line. Land and Houses (LH TB/HOLD/Bt4.54/Target: Bt5.20) 4Q24: One-off items underpinned performance; residential business remains weak. Srisawad Corporation (SAWAD TB/HOLD/Bt40.50/Target: Bt38.00) 4Q24: Results mis...
GREATER CHINA Economics Hong Kong Budget 2025-26 The budget balances fiscal discipline with strategic growth initiatives. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$64.05/Target: HK$80.00) 4Q24: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.66/Target: HK$13.30) 4Q24: Results miss slightly; CEO change and increased shareho...
We expect BDMS to report a net profit of Bt4.1b in 4Q24 (+4.8% yoy, -2.5% qoq). The key drivers are decent growth from Thai patients and robust growth from foreign patients, especially from China and the Middle East. We should see a revised guidance for growth in 2025 and more details on the Wellness & Residence project in the upcoming analyst meeting. The co-payment insurance condition set to be launched should have minimal impact on BDMS. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt33.00.
INDONESIA Update Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,500/Target: Rp2,300) Margins will still be negatively affected in 4Q24 and 1H25. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas PAO aligns with our view on cuts in exploration/JU rig demand, but maintenance demand remains intact. Plant turnaround may be the biggest winner, but with high execution risks in 2Q25, 2Q26 and 1Q27. SINGAPORE Sector REITs ...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI A strong rebound for non-manufacturing PMI. Sector Macau Gaming Dec 24 GGR below expectations; expect 2025 GGR to recover to 82% of 2019’s level. INDONESIA Update Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target: Rp3,300) Expect a double-digit earnings growth in 2025 MALAYSIA Sector Heal...
BDMS delivered a strong net profit of Bt4.2b in 3Q24 (+9.1% yoy, +27.3% qoq), which is in line with our and consensus’ estimates. The growth is contributed by a robust increase in Thai and international patient revenue. We find it impressive that BDMS is able to show growth from Middle East patients given the struggles of other hospital operators. We are optimistic with the growth outlook BDMS of going into the high travel season. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt33.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.60/Target: Bt11.30) 3Q24: Results meet expectations; strong backlog supports 4Q24 earnings. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt26.50/Target: Bt33.00) 3Q24: Record-high earnings delivered. BTG TB (BTG TB/BUY/Bt20.10/Target: Bt24.20) 3Q24: Earnings in line. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt10.80/Target: Bt13.00) 3Q24: Earnings in line; strong 4Q24 ea...
BDMS should report a strong net profit of Bt4.2b in 3Q24 (+9.1% yoy, +27.3% qoq), mainly due to the increase in patient volume during the rainy season and the growth in international patient volume. Despite the slight impact from the flood in the north in 3Q24, we are optimistic going forward as there is potential upside from the delayed treatment of patients who could not gain access to hospitals due to the flood. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt32.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/HOLD/Bt9.65/Target: Bt11.00) 3Q24: Earnings in line; unexciting outlook with unappealing valuation. Downgrade to HOLD. SCGP (SCGP TB/HOLD/Bt25.50/Target: Bt26.00) 3Q24: Net profit below our and consensus estimates. Update Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt28.25/Target: Bt32.00) Expecting a record-high quarter in 3Q24.
The tone of BDMS’ analyst meeting in reviewing its 2Q24 results was positive. Despite being in the low season, BDMS still posted a decent yoy growth. Management implemented effective and promising strategies in order to improve BDMS’ performance. We are positive on the company’s prospect which is poised to see a more outstanding growth in the upcoming high season in 3Q24. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt32.00.
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