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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 08/08/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: High production at Z&G. Low risk exploration drilling in Austria to start in 4Q25/1Q26 – 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin. The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perfor...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Large reduction of capex on rig delay

• 2Q25 production and net cash as of end-June have been previously disclosed. • July production at Bretana averaged ~20 mbbl/d. Elevated Amazon River levels may ease seasonal constraints in 3Q25, potentially avoiding the ~3 mbbl/d decline seen in 3Q24. • Following commissioning delays for the new rig (announced in July), PetroTal has reduced FY25 capex guidance from US$140 mm to US$80 mm (–45%). Consequently, the FY25 production guidance has been revised from 21–23 mbbl/d to 20–21 mbbl/d (–7%). ...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

PetroTal (PTAL LN) - Q2 2025 results - Corporate

PetroTal has released its Q2 2025 results. These reiterate the production cash flows achieved during the first half of the year and imply the ongoing cash flow potential of the business. The CAPEX programme for the rest of 2025 has been updated, with less drilling now planned, driving a reduction in expected production for the full year, though with our free cash flow expectations retained overall.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/07/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver flow rates above expectations – Current production ranges between 4,600 and 4,800 bbl/d driven by strong performance from two new horizontal wells at Alberta Llanos (AB). AB-HZ5, onstream for ~2 weeks, is producing 1,790 bbl/d (895 bbl/d net to Arrow), while AB-HZ4, online for over a month, continues to produce 880 bbl/d (440 bbl/d net). Both wells are ou...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): 2Q25 results in line. Production steady des...

• 2Q25 production averaged 21,039 bbl/d, in line with expectations. This includes 20,512 bbl/d from Bretana and 526 bbl/d from Los Angeles. Output was affected by previously disclosed pump failures in four wells. • Quarter-end cash stood at US$142.1 mm, up from US$113.6 mm at the end of March. This reflects US$50 mm of drawn debt, a US$24.1 mm positive working capital movement, and ~US$14 mm in dividends. This is consistent with forecasts that assumed a US$41 mm tax payment in 2Q25. • Three of t...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

PetroTal (PTAL LN) - Q2 production and operations update - Corporate

PetroTal has released its Q2 update, reporting another period of significant production, underpinning cash flows and shareholder returns, alongside steady work programme progress.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C: Recovering 75% WI of licences in Morocco – Energean has returned its Moroccan offshore interests to Chariot. As a result, Chariot now holds 75% in the Lixus Offshore and Rissana Offshore licences. Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Acquiring a LNG facility for Kazakhstan to deliver first LNG sale in 2Q26 – 1Q25 production in Uzbekistan was 11,179 boe/d (+6% vs. production in 4Q24). Condor ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Good balance sheet. Flexible capex

• 1Q25 production and net cash at the end of March had been previously announced. • PetroTal maintains a solid financial position with US$116.6 mm in cash. Additionally, the company has secured a term loan with a syndicate of Peruvian banks, with commitments of up to US$65 mm to finance the erosion project at Bretana. The interest rate is 8.65%; which compares favourably with other credit options available to the company. The loan terms do not impose any material restrictions on PetroTal’s abili...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

PetroTal (PTAL LN) - Q1 2025 results - Corporate

PetroTal has released its Q1 2025 results. These report strong Q1 production driving cash flows that have supported CAPEX during the period. The company continues to generate cash flow and to plan for recommencement of drilling in H2 2025, while retaining significant flexibility in this programme.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 11/04/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/ CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Stable production, 10% cash increase – Net production is currently exceeding 4.5 mboe/d, consistent with January levels. The CN HZ10 well, located in the northern area of the CN field, commenced production on 31 March, delivering 1,183 bbl/d of oil (591 bbl/d net to Arrow) with a 21% water cut from the Ubaque reservoir. The well is in the process of cleaning up, with the water cut gradually decreasing. The CN ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Another strong quarter

• 1Q25 production was 23,280 bbl/d, comprising 22,660 bbl/d at Bretana and 620 bbl/d at Los Angeles. • 1Q25 production at Bretana was ~1 mbbl/d above our expectations. The high production reflects the strong performance of the recent wells. Well 23H produced 3,363 bbl/d in March, reaching a maximum daily high of 5,110 bb/d. Well 22H, which was brought onstream in mid-January, produced an average of 4,386 bbl/d in March. • The company has re-iterated its FY25 production guidance of 21,000 bbl/d t...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 21/03/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.10 per share: Significant power transaction highlights the value of the S. Africa electricity trading business – Etana Energy, the South African electricity trading business (49% held by Chariot) has arranged a US$55 mm guarantee finance facility through Standard Bank and secured an equity investment of up to US$20 mm from Norfund for working capital. In exchange, Standard Bank and Norfund will ho...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): Very high production YTD. Re-iterating FY25...

• FY24 production figures had been previously disclosed. • The total cash position of $114.5 mm, of which $102.8 mm was unrestricted, is in line with previous indications. The minimal working capital deficit of US$1.5 mm is also in line with our expectations. • YTD 2025 oil production has averaged 23,200 bbl/d, comprising 22,600 bbl/d from the Bretana field and 600 bbl/d from the Los Angeles field. This exceeds our forecast of 21.5 mbbl/d as the two last wells at Bretana have delivered very st...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 21/02/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Very high flow rate at bypassed zone boosts production and unlocks reserves - A potential bypassed 60 m gas pay section, identified using advanced cased-hole logging tools and reprocessed existing 3-D seismic data, was put in production over a 23 m perforated interval at a rate of 1,100 boe/d, increasing to 1,300 boe/d over the past five days as the completion fluid has been ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): 208% 2P Reserves Replacement Ratio

• YE24 1P, 2P and 3P reserves at Bretana were estimated at 62.9 mmbbl (YE23: 48 mmbbl), 108 mmbbl (YE23: 100.2 mmbbl) and 206.6 mmbbl (YE23: 199.6 mmbbl) respectively. Additionally, Los Angeles is now estimated to hold 5.8 mmbbl of 2P reserves, an increase of 1.5 mmbbl from previous estimates. Overall, the new reserves estimates represent a Reserves Replacement Ratio of 293% for 1P and 208% for 2P reserves. • The increase in 1P reserves reflects the conversion of reserves from the 2P and 3P cate...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

PetroTal (PTAL LN) - End 2024 reserves update - Corporate

PetroTal has released its reserves update for the end of 2024. This shows a significant uptick versus the end 2023 numbers, based on positive technical additions at Bretana due to more wells being added to the forward development plan, alongside additions from the acquisition of the Los Angeles field. This is a positive update, demonstrating in particular the attractiveness of Bretana as a long-term cash-producing asset.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 17/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Corcel (CRCL LN)C; Target price of 1.00p per share: Initiating Coverage - Corcel is a ~£6 mm market cap AIM-listed E&P company focused on Portuguese-speaking Angola and Brazil. It offers a unique exposure to the prolific Kwanza onshore basin in Angola which reopened to international companies in 2021. Corcel is also building a portfolio of mature onshore producing assets in Brazil. The key asset in Angola is the KON-16 licence, which C...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

PetroTal Corp (AIM: PTAL): High FY25 production driven by high uptime ...

• PetroTal expects to produce 21-23 mbbl/d in 2025, with the midpoint of this guidance exceeding our expectations of 21.2 mbbl/d. • Although only four new wells are expected to come online in 2025 (including the 23H well but excluding the final well of the FY25 four-well drilling program), average production is expected to grow by ~4.2 mbbl/d from 2024 to 2025. In comparison, six new producers were brought online in 2024 (excluding the 23H well but including the 16H well), but production increas...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

PetroTal (PTAL LN) - 2025 guidance issued - Corporate

Petro Matad has released an update reporting steady production from Heron-1, progress on its Heron offtake agreement, and signature of a new Mongolia exploration PSC, all demonstrating ongoing progress from the company

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/ CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Flow rate in line with expectations at AB-1. Two more appraisal wells in January - The AB-1 (Alberta Llanos) exploration well is now on production at an oil rate of 658 bbl/d gross (329 bbl/d net) with 49% water cut from 62 feet of net pay in the Ubaque. The IP rate is in line with the expectations set out in the company’s September corporate presentation (321 bbl/d net)...

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