AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: A$3.5 mm funding boost ahead of busy activity programme – ADX has raised A$3.5 mm through a new equity placement at A$0.026 per share. Investors in the placement will also receive one option for every two new shares subscribed, exercisable at A$0.039 per share. The capital raise strengthens ADX’s balance sheet ahead of its 2026 work programme and effectively removes the funding ov...
• 3Q25 production and net cash figures as of end-September have already been disclosed. • Bretana field output averaged 14,983 bbl/d during the first 10 days of November. Only one of the five wells previously shut due to tubing leaks has been worked over and returned to production so far. • Drilling activity is now postponed to mid-2026, following further delays with PetroTal’s own rig (previously expected to restart in 1Q26). This materially impacts the production trajectory and operating cash ...
PetroTal has released its Q3 2025 results. These report a further period of production and cash flows, in line with the previous Q3 operational update. Given the expected timing of new wells in 2026, CAPEX requirements, and the desire to retain a strong balance sheet, the company is today suspending its dividend. We adjust our forecasts, particularly 2026 to account for lower drilling activity and hence production, and expect further news on the planned 2026 work programme in January. We believe...
• 3Q25 production averaged 18,414 bbl/d. This rate is consistent with the previously reported rate of 18,805 bbl/d through 15 September, reflecting the impact of well shut-ins at Bretana since mid-August. • Five wells are currently offline at Bretana, with total group production (including Los Angeles) averaging ~16 mbbl/d over the first 10 days of October. A workover rig has been mobilised from Block 131, and operations to retrieve failed tubing in the shut-in wells are scheduled to begin at mo...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Favourable court ruling allows Welchau testing operations to resume – The Upper Austrian State Administrative Court has rejected objections from environmental activist groups regarding drilling and testing at Welchau. The court confirmed that Environmental Clearances were issued in full compliance with applicable regulations. ADX is now authorized to resume operations at the Welch...
• 3Q25 production to 15 September averaged 18,805 bbl/d, comprising 479 bbl/d at Los Angeles and the balance at Bretana. • PetroTal has identified tubing leaks in six wells, impairing artificial lift efficiency. Four wells have been temporarily shut-in pending tubing replacement. Consequently, early September production averaged just 16,750 bbl/d, down from a peak of over 21 mbbl/d in mid-July. • The service rig is scheduled to mobilize to Bretana at the end of October, following completion of t...
PetroTal has released an operations update, reporting on a production outage at four wells at the company’s Bretana field. The company will soon mobilise a workover rig to rectify these issues, the wells are expected back online on mid-November, and there is no change to full year production guidance.
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: High production at Z&G. Low risk exploration drilling in Austria to start in 4Q25/1Q26 – 2Q25 net production of 303 boe/d was higher than our expectations of ~270 boe/d following a 5 well intervention programme at the Zisterdorf and Gaiselberg fields in the Vienna Basin. The programme included (1) repair of subsurface equipment, (2) clean out of a down hole sand control (3) perfor...
• 2Q25 production and net cash as of end-June have been previously disclosed. • July production at Bretana averaged ~20 mbbl/d. Elevated Amazon River levels may ease seasonal constraints in 3Q25, potentially avoiding the ~3 mbbl/d decline seen in 3Q24. • Following commissioning delays for the new rig (announced in July), PetroTal has reduced FY25 capex guidance from US$140 mm to US$80 mm (–45%). Consequently, the FY25 production guidance has been revised from 21–23 mbbl/d to 20–21 mbbl/d (–7%). ...
PetroTal has released its Q2 2025 results. These reiterate the production cash flows achieved during the first half of the year and imply the ongoing cash flow potential of the business. The CAPEX programme for the rest of 2025 has been updated, with less drilling now planned, driving a reduction in expected production for the full year, though with our free cash flow expectations retained overall.
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver flow rates above expectations – Current production ranges between 4,600 and 4,800 bbl/d driven by strong performance from two new horizontal wells at Alberta Llanos (AB). AB-HZ5, onstream for ~2 weeks, is producing 1,790 bbl/d (895 bbl/d net to Arrow), while AB-HZ4, online for over a month, continues to produce 880 bbl/d (440 bbl/d net). Both wells are ou...
• 2Q25 production averaged 21,039 bbl/d, in line with expectations. This includes 20,512 bbl/d from Bretana and 526 bbl/d from Los Angeles. Output was affected by previously disclosed pump failures in four wells. • Quarter-end cash stood at US$142.1 mm, up from US$113.6 mm at the end of March. This reflects US$50 mm of drawn debt, a US$24.1 mm positive working capital movement, and ~US$14 mm in dividends. This is consistent with forecasts that assumed a US$41 mm tax payment in 2Q25. • Three of t...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C: Recovering 75% WI of licences in Morocco – Energean has returned its Moroccan offshore interests to Chariot. As a result, Chariot now holds 75% in the Lixus Offshore and Rissana Offshore licences. Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Acquiring a LNG facility for Kazakhstan to deliver first LNG sale in 2Q26 – 1Q25 production in Uzbekistan was 11,179 boe/d (+6% vs. production in 4Q24). Condor ...
• 1Q25 production and net cash at the end of March had been previously announced. • PetroTal maintains a solid financial position with US$116.6 mm in cash. Additionally, the company has secured a term loan with a syndicate of Peruvian banks, with commitments of up to US$65 mm to finance the erosion project at Bretana. The interest rate is 8.65%; which compares favourably with other credit options available to the company. The loan terms do not impose any material restrictions on PetroTal’s abili...
PetroTal has released its Q1 2025 results. These report strong Q1 production driving cash flows that have supported CAPEX during the period. The company continues to generate cash flow and to plan for recommencement of drilling in H2 2025, while retaining significant flexibility in this programme.
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/ CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Stable production, 10% cash increase – Net production is currently exceeding 4.5 mboe/d, consistent with January levels. The CN HZ10 well, located in the northern area of the CN field, commenced production on 31 March, delivering 1,183 bbl/d of oil (591 bbl/d net to Arrow) with a 21% water cut from the Ubaque reservoir. The well is in the process of cleaning up, with the water cut gradually decreasing. The CN ...
• 1Q25 production was 23,280 bbl/d, comprising 22,660 bbl/d at Bretana and 620 bbl/d at Los Angeles. • 1Q25 production at Bretana was ~1 mbbl/d above our expectations. The high production reflects the strong performance of the recent wells. Well 23H produced 3,363 bbl/d in March, reaching a maximum daily high of 5,110 bb/d. Well 22H, which was brought onstream in mid-January, produced an average of 4,386 bbl/d in March. • The company has re-iterated its FY25 production guidance of 21,000 bbl/d t...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.10 per share: Significant power transaction highlights the value of the S. Africa electricity trading business – Etana Energy, the South African electricity trading business (49% held by Chariot) has arranged a US$55 mm guarantee finance facility through Standard Bank and secured an equity investment of up to US$20 mm from Norfund for working capital. In exchange, Standard Bank and Norfund will ho...
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