reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
DAL DELTA AIR LINES INC.
YELP YELP INC
XEC CIMAREX ENERGY CO.
TSLA TESLA INC
SKYW SKYWEST INC
PXD PIONEER NATURAL RESOURCES COMPANY
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
NWS NEWS CORPORATION CL B
MUSA MURPHY USA INC.
MOS MOSAIC COMPANY
MAR MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC. CLASS A
M MACY'S INC
GT GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER COMPANY
EXPE EXPEDIA GROUP INC.
EOG EOG RESOURCES INC.
CRM SALESFORCE.COM INC.
COST COSTCO WHOLESALE CORPORATION
COG CABOT OIL & GAS CORPORATION
CAR AVIS BUDGET GROUP INC.
ALK ALASKA AIR GROUP INC.
AAL AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC.
CF. CANACCORD GENUITY GROUP
108N RCL FOODS LTD
CCL CARNIVAL CORPORATION
MOV MOVADO GROUP INC.
SGMS SCIENTIFIC GAMES CORPORATION
ASIX ADVANSIX INC.
CELH CELSIUS HOLDINGS INC.
WH WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS INC.
FOXA FOX CORPORATION CLASS A
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
CPE CALLON PETROLEUM
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Upgrading Communications To Overweight; Financials Breaking Above 2007 Highs Ongoing market dynamics continue to support our overall bullish outlook. Recent developments include Financials (XLF) breaking above the 2007 highs, new 11+ month highs in the 10-year Treasury yield, new RS lows for defensive Sectors (Staples & Utilities), new multi-year narrows for high yield spreads, and new 2+ year highs in broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). Of course, this all comes alongside an absence...
SBGI SINCLAIR BROADCAST GROUP INC. CLASS A
NXST NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC. CLASS A
NWS NEWS CORPORATION CL B
LEE LEE ENTERPRISES INCORPORATED
HMHC HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURT COMPANY
EVC ENTRAVISION COMMUNICATIONS CORP.
ETM ENTERCOM COMMUNICATIONS CORP. CLASS A
DISCK DISCOVERY INC. CLASS C
DISCA DISCOVERY INC. CLASS A
CHGG CHEGG INC.
JW.A JOHN WILEY & SONS INC. CLASS A
MDP MED PAPER S.A.
SSP E. W. SCRIPPS COMPANY CLASS A
LGF.A LIONS GATE ENTERTAINMENT CORP CLASS A
TGNA TEGNA INC.
GCI GANNETT CO. INC.
VIAC VIACOMCBS INC. CLASS B
IMBI IMEDIA BRANDS INC
TSO TESORO RESOURCES
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
TTGT TECHTARGET INC.
TDS TELEPHONE AND DATA SYSTEMS INC.
SEDG SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES INC.
RUN SUNRUN INC.
PZZA PAPA JOHN'S INTERNATIONAL INC.
PRFT PERFICIENT INC.
PENN PENN NATIONAL GAMING INC.
NWS NEWS CORPORATION CL B
MRK MERCK & CO. INC.
MNST MONSTER BEVERAGE CORPORATION
MMSI MERIT MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC.
LQDT LIQUIDITY SERVICES
LL LUMBER LIQUIDATORS HOLDINGS INC.
GPRE GREEN PLAINS INC.
FOSL FOSSIL GROUP INC.
ENS ENERSYS
EBS EMERGENT BIOSOLUTIONS INC.
EAT BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC.
CPSI COMPUTER PROGRAMS & SYSTEMS INC.
CPS COOPER-STANDARD HOLDINGS INC.
CHDN CHURCHILL DOWNS INCORPORATED
BBY BEST BUY CO. INC.
A AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES INC.
BLDP BALLARD POWER SYSTEMS INC.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
ENPH ENPHASE ENERGY INC.
FSLR FIRST SOLAR INC.
GNRC GENERAC HOLDINGS INC.
NX QUANEX BUILDING PRODUCTS CORPORATION
SAM BOSTON BEER COMPANY INC. CLASS A
TRMB TRIMBLE INC.
WRLD WORLD ACCEPTANCE CORPORATION
VSTO VISTA OUTDOOR INC
SENEA SENECA FOODS CORP. CL A
KNSL KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP INC.
GEY GARMIN LTD.
VICR VICOR CORP.
PNTG PENNANT GROUP
MNS ROYAL CANADIAN MINT
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
Key Points: • A number of significant Communications names are developing bullishly. (ex. GOOG, FB, and NWS) • Consumer Discretionary names continue to develop positively. (ex. THRM, LEA, WYNN, PENN, CMG, KMX, and AMZN) • Energy Sector names continue to attempt to carve out bottoms. (ex. OXY, VAL) • Financial Sector names continue to develop bullishly (ex. C, UMPQ, EWBC, TROW, MSCI, SPGI, GS, and MS)
UTX.. RAYTHEON TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
OXY OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORPORATION
GE GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY
KMX CARMAX INC.
LITE LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INC.
MS MORGAN STANLEY
C CITIGROUP INC.
WYNN WYNN RESORTS LIMITED
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
V VISA INC. CLASS A
UMPQ UMPQUA HOLDINGS CORPORATION
TYL TYLER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
THRM GENTHERM INCORPORATED
TER TERADYNE INC.
SEDG SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES INC.
RTN RAYTHEON COMPANY
PYPL PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC
PENN PENN NATIONAL GAMING INC.
OLED UNIVERSAL DISPLAY CORPORATION
NWS NEWS CORPORATION CL B
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
MSCI MSCI INC. CLASS A
MCHP MICROCHIP TECHNOLOGY INCORPORATED
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
LEA LEAR CORPORATION
GOOG ALPHABET INC. CLASS C
FORM FORMFACTOR INC.
FAN FABRINET
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
ADSK AUTODESK INC.
ACLS AXCELIS TECHNOLOGIES INC.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
CRUS CIRRUS LOGIC INC.
PKI PERKINELMER INC.
WAB WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
TROW T. ROWE PRICE GROUP
AXON AXON ENTERPRISE INC
ICHR ICHOR HOLDINGS LTD.
SGH SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC.
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
VICR VICOR CORP.
VALPQ VALARIS PLC CLASS A
ONTO ONTO INNOVATION
INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
STZ CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC. CLASS A
SIX SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION
SUM SUMMIT MATERIALS INC. CLASS A
WTW WW INTERNATIONAL INC.
VGR VECTOR GROUP LTD.
ROX CASTLE BRANDS
POL AVIENT CORPORATION
PAHC PHIBRO ANIMAL HEALTH CORPORATION CLASS A
NWSA NEWS CORPORATION CLASS A
NWS NEWS CORPORATION CL B
NTGR NETGEAR INC.
MTN VAIL RESORTS INC.
K KELLOGG COMPANY
INFN INFINERA CORPORATION
GD GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION
FHN FIRST HORIZON CORPORATION
CUTR CUTERA INC.
COHR COHERENT INC.
3UF CIMPRESS PLC
CEVA CEVA INC.
CDE COEUR MINING INC.
CATO CATO CORPORATION CLASS A
BZH BEAZER HOMES USA INC.
BCC BOISE CASCADE CO.
ARDX ARDELYX INC
AOSL ALPHA & OMEGA SEMICONDUCTOR
AMPH AMPHASTAR PHARMACEUTICALS INC
SALT ENETI INC.
UPS UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC. CLASS B
CCRN CROSS COUNTRY HEALTHCARE INC.
GMS GMS INC.
PRAA PRA GROUP INC.
VMI VALMONT INDUSTRIES INC.
BXC BLUELINX HOLDINGS
GTHX G1 THERAPEUTICS
SGH SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC.
AQUA EVOQUA WATER TECHNOLOGIES CORP
CURO CURO GROUP HOLDINGS CORP.
BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC.
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
BJ BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB HOLDINGS
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vital Signs: Actionable charts
Key Points: • A number of Restaurant names are staging price and RS reversals or continue to have bullish formations. (ex. CHUY, JACK, CMG) • There are a few healthcare related names that continue to be bright spots and reflect leadership. (ex. CUTR, TFX, BSX, SYK, ADUS, CHE, COO, WST, TRHC, HUM, AMGN, PBH, MRK, and ZTS.) • REITs continue to show leadership characteristics' as many are hitting price and RS highs. (ex. OHI, SBRA, ESS, IRT, and MAA)
BSX BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION
SYK STRYKER CORPORATION
RGLD ROYAL GOLD INC
VG VONAGE HOLDINGS CORP.
ZTS ZOETIS INC. CLASS A
Y ALLEGHANY CORPORATION
WTW WW INTERNATIONAL INC.
WST WEST PHARMACEUTICAL SERVICES INC.
TFX TELEFLEX INCORPORATED
SEDG SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES INC.
SBRA SABRA HEALTH CARE REIT INC.
POOL POOL CORPORATION
PFBC PREFERRED BANK
PBH PRESTIGE CONSUMER HEALTHCARE INC
OHI OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVESTORS INC.
NWS NEWS CORPORATION CL B
MTZ MASTEC INC.
MRK MERCK & CO. INC.
MRCY MERCURY SYSTEMS INC.
MKTX MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC.
MKC MCCORMICK & COMPANY INCORPORATED
MAA MID-AMERICA APARTMENT COMMUNITIES INC.
JACK JACK IN THE BOX INC.
IRT INDEPENDENCE REALTY TRUST INC.
ICE INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INC.
HUM HUMANA INC.
HSY HERSHEY COMPANY
ESS ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST INC.
ECPG ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INC.
CUTR CUTERA INC.
COO COOPER COMPANIES INC.
CME CME GROUP INC. CLASS A
CHUY CHUY'S HOLDINGS INC.
CECO CAREER EDUCATION CORP.
CB CHUBB LIMITED
CABO CABLE ONE INC.
AKAM AKAMAI TECHNOLOGIES INC.
ADUS ADDUS HOMECARE
CHE CHEMED CORPORATION
NOC NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPORATION
WD WALKER & DUNLOP INC.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
CUB CUBIC CORPORATION
CWT CALIFORNIA WATER SERVICE GROUP
ELY CALLAWAY GOLF COMPANY
PRAA PRA GROUP INC.
UEIC UNIVERSAL ELECTRONICS INC.
AGYS AGILYSYS INC.
TRHC TABULA RASA HEALTHCARE
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
WHR WHIRLPOOL CORPORATION
PKG PACKAGING CORPORATION OF AMERICA
SUM SUMMIT MATERIALS INC. CLASS A
XPO XPO LOGISTICS INC.
WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORPORATION
SEE SEALED AIR CORPORATION
RTN RAYTHEON COMPANY
QCRH QCR HOLDINGS INC.
PSX PHILLIPS 66
NWS NEWS CORPORATION CL B
NTGR NETGEAR INC.
NEOG NEOGEN CORPORATION
NBIX NEUROCRINE BIOSCIENCES INC.
MTN VAIL RESORTS INC.
LOB LIVE OAK BANCSHARES
LMAT LEMAITRE VASCULAR INC.
K KELLOGG COMPANY
JBLU JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPORATION
ITRI ITRON INC.
HUM HUMANA INC.
H HYATT HOTELS CORPORATION CLASS A
GS GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC.
GMED GLOBUS MEDICAL INC CLASS A
GD GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION
FISI FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INC.
EXTR EXTREME NETWORKS INC.
DEA EASTERLY GOVERNMENT PROPERTIES INC
DDS DILLARD'S INC. CLASS A
DBD DIEBOLD NIXDORF INCORPORATED
3UF CIMPRESS PLC
CEVA CEVA INC.
CDE COEUR MINING INC.
BKE BUCKLE INC.
BCC BOISE CASCADE CO.
ARMK ARAMARK
APEI AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION
AEGN AEGION CORPORATION
ACCO ACCO BRANDS CORPORATION
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
SALT ENETI INC.
UPS UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC. CLASS B
OSTK OVERSTOCK.COM INC.
FDP FRESH DEL MONTE PRODUCE INC.
CCRN CROSS COUNTRY HEALTHCARE INC.
EV EATON VANCE CORP.
TNC TENNANT COMPANY
LSXMA LIBERTY MEDIA CORP. SERIES A LIBERTY SIRIUSXM
FONR FONAR CORP.
SENEA SENECA FOODS CORP. CL A
AUBN AUBURN NATIONAL BANCORP
FND FLOOR & DECOR HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
DK DELEK US HOLDINGS INC
KNX KNIGHT-SWIFT TRANSPORTATION HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
SGH SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC.
- Brian Han
Morningstar | Good News on Digital Transition not yet Evident on the B...
News Corporation is making good progress on transitioning to a more digital-centric model. Digital subscribers to its various mastheads grew around 20% year on year on average in the third quarter of fiscal 2019, subscribers to the group's video streaming products (Foxtel Now, Kayo) jumped 80% since the start of 2019, average monthly unique users of Move's realtor.com site grew 7%, and the books division continues to enjoy a digital-led renaissance with digital sales now at 21% of the unit's rev...
- Brian Han
Morningstar | Good News on Digital Transition not yet Evident on the B...
News Corporation is making good progress on transitioning to a more digital-centric model. Digital subscribers to its various mastheads grew around 20% year on year on average in the third quarter of fiscal 2019, subscribers to the group's video streaming products (Foxtel Now, Kayo) jumped 80% since the start of 2019, average monthly unique users of Move's realtor.com site grew 7%, and the books division continues to enjoy a digital-led renaissance with digital sales now at 21% of the unit's rev...
- Brian Han
Good News on Digital Transition not yet Evident on the Bottom Line
News Corporation is making good progress on transitioning to a more digital-centric model. Digital subscribers to its various mastheads grew around 20% year on year on average in the third quarter of fiscal 2019, subscribers to the group's video streaming products (Foxtel Now, Kayo) jumped 80% since the start of 2019, average monthly unique users of Move's realtor.com site grew 7%, and the books division continues to enjoy a digital-led renaissance with digital sales now at 21% of the unit's rev...
- Brian Han
Morningstar | Kayo’ed by Pay TV and U.K. but News Remains Okay. See ...
We maintain our USD 15.30 fair value estimate (AUD 21.50), albeit we trim our near-term EBITDA forecasts by 2% on average. Shares in no-moat-rated News currently trade at a 16% discount to our intrinsic assessment. We see this gap closing as the market becomes more comfortable with the potential of the digital-centric divisions (digital real estate, books) to hold the fort, while the structurally-challenged divisions (news and information, subscription video services) transition to more digital-...
- Brian Han
Morningstar | Kayo’ed by Pay TV and U.K. but News Remains Okay
We maintain our USD 15.30 fair value estimate (AUD 21.50), albeit we trim our near-term EBITDA forecasts by 2% on average. Shares in no-moat-rated News currently trade at a 16% discount to our intrinsic assessment. We see this gap closing as the market becomes more comfortable with the potential of the digital-centric divisions (digital real estate, books) to hold the fort, while the structurally-challenged divisions (news and information, subscription video services) transition to more digital-...
- Brian Han
Kayo’ed by Pay TV and U.K. but News Remains Okay
We maintain our USD 15.30 fair value estimate (AUD 21.50), albeit we trim our near-term EBITDA forecasts by 2% on average. Shares in no-moat-rated News currently trade at a 16% discount to our intrinsic assessment. We see this gap closing as the market becomes more comfortable with the potential of the digital-centric divisions (digital real estate, books) to hold the fort, while the structurally-challenged divisions (news and information, subscription video services) transition to more digital-...
- Brian Han
Morningstar | Forces of Yin and Yang Evident in News' 1Q Performance
Enthusiasm over the 75% (or USD 154 million) year-on-year jump in News Corporation's fiscal 2019 first-quarter adjusted EBITDA to USD 360 million needs to be tempered. USD 48 million of the gain was due to a settlement from exiting the Sun Bet joint venture with Tabcorp in the U.K., while another USD 86 million stemmed from 65%-owned Foxtel whose earnings only began being consolidated from fourth quarter of fiscal 2018. Excluding these items, first-quarter EBITDA increase was a more modest 10% ...
- Brian Han
Morningstar | Forces of Yin and Yang Evident in News' 1Q Performance. ...
Enthusiasm over the 75% (or USD 154 million) year-on-year jump in News Corporation's fiscal 2019 first-quarter adjusted EBITDA to USD 360 million needs to be tempered. USD 48 million of the gain was due to a settlement from exiting the Sun Bet joint venture with Tabcorp in the U.K., while another USD 86 million stemmed from 65%-owned Foxtel whose earnings only began being consolidated from fourth quarter of fiscal 2018. Excluding these items, first-quarter EBITDA increase was a more modest 10% ...
- Brian Han
Morningstar | Lord of the Rings Brings Good News, Not So Much Foxtel; ...
We cut our fair value estimate on News Corporation by 4% to USD 15.30 (or AUD 20.50) per share. While the Foxtel-boosted 49% lift in fiscal 2018 fourth-quarter normalised EBITDA to USD 327 million met our expectations, it masked some compositional weaknesses. The halving of Foxtel's EBITDA to USD 76 million (versus our forecast of USD 104 million) is disappointing, given News has just upped its interest from 50% to 65% with the pay TV operator's result now consolidated in News' accounts. Pressu...
- Brian Han
Morningstar | News Corporation is in the midst of transitioning to a m...
Newspaper publishing in its traditional form is a sunset industry. Eyeballs are migrating to the digital arena, where there are proliferating and lower-cost choices, and advertisers are rapidly following suit. Against this negative structural backdrop, the fate of a legacy publisher depends on how it maintains audience in the ultracompetitive digital age, and whether it has the financial, as well as the editorial, resources to prevail in the longer term. With still-solid free cash generation, a ...
- Brian Han
Lord of the Rings Brings Good News, Not So Much Foxtel; FVE Cut 4% to ...
We cut our fair value estimate on News Corporation by 4% to USD 15.30 (or AUD 20.50) per share. While the Foxtel-boosted 49% lift in fiscal 2018 fourth-quarter normalised EBITDA to USD 327 million met our expectations, it masked some compositional weaknesses. The halving of Foxtel's EBITDA to USD 76 million (versus our forecast of USD 104 million) is disappointing, given News has just upped its interest from 50% to 65% with the pay TV operator's result now consolidated in News' accounts. Pressur...
- Brian Han
News Corporation is in the midst of transitioning to a more digital-ce...
We expected a subdued fiscal 2018 third-quarter result from News Corporation, as it was cycling bumper 29% earnings growth a year ago. Still, the 15% year-on-year decline in normalised EBITDA to USD 184 million was underwhelming, driven by an 8% lift in costs. This was the largest expense increase since the group was spun off from Fox in 2013 and flies in the face of recent cost-cutting initiatives. Perhaps this was the reason for the solid 6% rise in third-quarter revenue to AUD 2.1 billion. Wh...
- Brian Han
Good News on Revenue Comes at a Cost
We expected a subdued fiscal 2018 third-quarter result from News Corporation, as it was cycling bumper 29% earnings growth a year ago. Still, the 15% year-on-year decline in normalised EBITDA to USD 184 million was underwhelming, driven by an 8% lift in costs. This was the largest expense increase since the group was spun off from Fox in 2013 and flies in the face of recent cost-cutting initiatives. Perhaps this was the reason for the solid 6% rise in third-quarter revenue to AUD 2.1 billion. Wh...
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