GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
The selloff driven by the US’ unprecedented and perplexing tariff plans has liberated many investors of profits this year. Given the fluidity of market conditions, we highlight a number of domestic-focused stocks such as CENT, CD, DFI, HLA, PANU, PROP, RFMD, SSG and SIE as well as Singapore-focused REITS such as CDLHT, FEHT, FCT, KREIT, LREIT and PREIT. In addition, the MAS’ equity market review should inject much needed liquidity in 2H25. We lower our STI target to 3,720 (previously 4,115).
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: Uptick in February. Sector Macau Gaming: Feb 25 GGR beat thanks to tail-end effect post CNY; switch top pick to Galaxy. Results New World Development (17 HK/HOLD/HK$4.82/Target: HK$4.45): 1HFY25: Net loss in line with profit warning and primarily caused by inventory impairment; refinancing progress to be the key. Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK/HOLD/HK$3.29/Target: HK$3.60): 2024: Below expectations; industry coordination and production discipline crucial to restore mar...
CLI reported weaker-than-expected core PATMI for 2024, largely due to the absence of contribution from divested assets. However, its outlook appears reasonably bright given its strong growth in FUM and considerable headroom to invest in its growth segments. CLI’s guidance for higher dividend payout ratio of 50% signals strong belief in its cash generation. Maintain BUY. Target price slightly lowered to S$3.95.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/SELL/S$1.32/Target: S$1.09) 2024: Earnings above estimates; outlook and valuation remain unexciting. CapitaLand Investment (CLI SP/BUY/S$2.56/Target: S$3.95) 2024: Weaker-than-expected results; outlook remains robust. Maintain BUY. ComfortDelGro Corporation (CD SP/BUY/S$1.39/Target: S$1.76) 2024: Results in line; earnings growth to continue in 2025. Frencken Group (FRKN SP/BUY/S$1.04/Target: S$1.16) 2024: Results in line; cautiously o...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FLT SP/BUY/S$1.05/Target: S$1.44): 2HFY24: Logistics properties propel growth and rental reversion. Singapore Post (SPOST SP/BUY/S$0.520/Target: S$0.610): 1HFY25: Results miss despite strong growth. SIA Engineering (SIE SP/BUY/S$2.45/Target: S$2.70): 1HFY25: Earnings a slight miss; investing for long-term growth. Maintain BUY. Update CapitaLand Investment (CLI SP/BUY/S$2.91/Target: S$3.85): Executing well operationally but cautious o...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet - China Revitalising momentum evident in initial phase of 11.11 campaign. Results LINK REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$38.05/Target: HK$45.08) 1HFY25: DPU rises 3.7% yoy, meeting expectations; enhancing resilience amid macro headwinds. Update Prudential (2378 HK/BUY/HK$65.50/Target: HK$126.00) Solid NBP growth on improved sales and margins across few mar...
CLI announced a 3Q24 business update that was operationally in line with estimates; however, revenue was slightly lower than expected at S$2.26b (+1% yoy). In our view, the highlight was the company exceeding its capital recycling target of S$3b having divested of S$4.1b of assets ytd. Although management stated that it expects to perform well operationally, it guided for a more challenging 2025 on the earnings front. Maintain BUY. Target price lowered to S$3.85.
Despite the STI’s negative performance in Oct 24, our Alpha Picks portfolio outperformed the STI by 1.1ppt, rising 0.4% mom on an equal-weighted basis. The outperformance was driven by SPOST, CVL and DFI while FRKN, CLI and SCI underperformed. Our Alpha Picks portfolio has now outperformed the STI in 12 out of the past 13 months.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperforming For Sep 24 And 3Q24 Our Alpha Picks portfolio beat the STI, rising 5.4% mom in Sep 24 and 7.9% qoq on an equal-weighted basis. Add CLI, CSSC, DFI and SATS, and remove ST for Oct 24. Update Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP/BUY/S$2.50/Target: S$3.05) Further expansion in Japan with potential for redevelopment. TRADERS' CORNER Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCBC SP): Trading BUY Keppel DC REIT (KD...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: October Conviction Calls: Adding CATL, Geely and Plover Bay to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Defensive Stance Worked In Sep 24: Our picks are ASII, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: A Variety of Event Drivers: Our Alpha Picks outperforms as hoped. Oct 24 picks: EcoWorld, Gamuda, Lagenda, MYEG, Pekat, RGB, RHB Bank, Sime Darby, VSI and Yinson. SINGAPORE Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperforming ...
Our Alpha Picks portfolio outperformed in Sep 24, rising 5.4% mom on an equal-weighted basis and beating the STI by 1.3ppt. On a quarterly basis, our portfolio also outperformed the STI by 0.3ppt for 3Q24. The outperformance in Sep 24 was driven by STM, SCI and GENS, while CSE and MINT underperformed. Our Alpha Picks portfolio has now outperformed the STI in 11 out of the past 12 months and six out of the past eight quarters.
Clearly concerned about the direction of its economy, the Chinese government released a raft of stimulus measures last week that seemingly changed investor sentiment towards the Hong Kong and China markets overnight. While structural challenges remain, we highlight 14 stocks that have meaningful revenue exposure to China should these stimulus measures prove to be a game-changer. Our top picks for 2H24 remain CLI, GENS, KEP, MINT, OCBC, SCI, STE, VMS and YZJSGD.
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: Headline inflation lower; core holds steady. Money Supply: Liquidity remains ample, but households delevered. Sector Automobile: Weekly: April car sales beat; further recovery in the first week of May. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Li Auto and CATL. Internet: Cloud industry development facilitated by recent AIGC breakthrough. Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$135.00/Target: HK$216.00): 1Q23: Earnings beat; soft 2Q23 top-line growth. INDONESIA Sector Proper...
CAPITALAND INVESTMENT (SG), a company active in the Asset Managers industry, is favoured by a more supportive environment. The independent financial analyst theScreener has confirmed the fundamental rating of the title, which shows 4 out of 4 stars, as well as its unchanged, moderately risky market behaviour. The title leverages a more favourable environment and raises its general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date March 25, 2022, the closing price was SGD 3.90 and its pote...
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