reports
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- Kristof Samoy
Fugro A Convincing Path to 2H Recovery & Deep Discount Opportunity
We revisited our case following the recent profit warning but recognise 2Q25 already showed a remarkable q/q improvement in profitability to be continued in 2H25. The cheap valuation, strong balance sheet (1.2x EBITDA leverage and no debt maturities prior to 2029) next to the optionality in the future capex spend make that Fugro can weather further storms should they occur. At the speculative front with the mid and long term fundamentals intact potential renewed ownership interest by cash rich d...
- Steven Gould
BRE MBANK SA
VONN VONTOBEL HOLDING AG
ENX EURONEXT NV
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
KER KERING SA
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
PNL POSTNL NV
BON BONDUELLE SCA
BCP BANCO COMERCIAL PORTUGUES S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
GMM GRAMMER AG
ERG ERG S.P.A.
BKT BANKINTER SA
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CABK CAIXABANK SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CSM CORBION NV
INGA ING GROEP NV
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BG BAWAG GROUP AG
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
SAB BANCO DE SABADELL SA
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
FUR FUGRO NV
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
STM STABILUS SE
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
ATO ATOS SE
TRIO TRIODOS BANK N.V.
- Steven Gould
BRE MBANK SA
VONN VONTOBEL HOLDING AG
ENX EURONEXT NV
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
NRG NRJ GROUP SA
KER KERING SA
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
PNL POSTNL NV
BON BONDUELLE SCA
BCP BANCO COMERCIAL PORTUGUES S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
GMM GRAMMER AG
ERG ERG S.P.A.
BKT BANKINTER SA
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CABK CAIXABANK SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
CSM CORBION NV
INGA ING GROEP NV
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BG BAWAG GROUP AG
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
SAB BANCO DE SABADELL SA
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
FUR FUGRO NV
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
STM STABILUS SE
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
ATO ATOS SE
TRIO TRIODOS BANK N.V.
- Thijs Berkelder
- Jerôme Bodin
- Steven Boumans
APAML APERAM SA
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
MERY MERCIALYS SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
INEA FONCIERE INEA
VIV VIVENDI SE
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
SRP SRP GROUPE SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
MRN MERSEN SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ACX ACERINOX SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
COK CANCOM SE
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
DLG DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
BRNL BRUNEL INTERNATIONAL N.V.
GCO GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE S.A.
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
WLN WORLDLINE SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
UMI UMICORE
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
CLA CLARANOVA SE
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
PLNW PLANISWARE
VIRI VIRIDIEN
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Jerôme Bodin
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
F3C SFC ENERGY AG
DEC JCDECAUX SA
VIV VIVENDI SE
SRP SRP GROUPE SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
MRN MERSEN SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
COK CANCOM SE
DLG DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
BRNL BRUNEL INTERNATIONAL N.V.
GCO GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE S.A.
WLN WORLDLINE SA
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
UMI UMICORE
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
CLA CLARANOVA SE
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
FUR FUGRO NV
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
PLNW PLANISWARE
VIRI VIRIDIEN
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Thijs Berkelder
- Kristof Samoy
Fugro First look: Weak 1H25 but strong rebound guided for 2H25
Consolidated 1H25 revenue landed at €905m discounting a 15.6% comparable decline. This compares to our revenue of €1016mE and company compiled CSS of €984m. Adjusted EBIT landed at €21m well below our (€75m) and CSS (€61m) estimates. Backlog bottoming out at € 1451m or flat (0.3%) at comparable basis. Ongoing restructuring should save €80-100m annually upon completion and (at the mid point) full year guidance calls for € 189m EBIT25. 2Q EBIT shows first signs of savings kicking in. Leverage well...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Alfen: Preview - muddling through? Belgian telcos: Competition Authority investigation on Proximus/Orange Belgium MoU. Brunel International: 2Q25 below, 3Q25 outlook cut, cost savings protect FY25 estimates. Euronext: Another record set of results. Fugro: Sharper V-shape? GBL: Weak NAV performance, as expected. KBC Ancora: Cooperative CERA increasing its stake to 51.24%, using excess cash. UCB: Renewed US threats to cut drug prices. Umicore: 1H25 and guide broadly in-line, new S...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Couvreur
- Kristof Samoy
Fugro Securing $340m multi-year subsea inspection contracts with Petro...
Last Friday Fugro reported it has secured four Petrobras contracts for subsea inspection and monitoring in Brazil, valued at approximately $340m over four years starting in 4Q25 with optional one-year extensions. Three contracts are renewals under improved terms, while one is new and incremental. All were already included in Fugro's 12-month backlog as of March 2025. Each contract is vessel-specific, with two operated by Fugro and two by partners, all equipped with ROVs. The scope includes expan...
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Quirijn Mulder
Fugro/Weak 1H25, better 2H25/BUY
Led by the disappearance of US offshore wind, Fugro continues to suffer from a downturn. We expect a weak second quarter, following the headwinds of the first quarter with lower activity levels combined with a couple of vessels not yet back into service. We foresee a YoY EBIT decline of 50% in 2Q25. However, it also looks the trough is passed with potential for a higher activity level for 2H25 and beyond. The main reason is the higher fleet presence and clients finally proceeding with long-await...
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Quirijn Mulder
- Tijs Hollestelle
Utilities and offshore wind supply chain sector/Mind the gaps
In this report we present our view on the long-term growth prospects for offshore wind in Europe, implications of the energy transition and the role of TSOs, such as Elia Group. We also focus on supply chain beneficiaries in our Benelux coverage. An increasing number of long-term framework contracts should provide improved risk-rewards to the supply chain, in our view. Furthermore, we take a deep dive into growth drivers and long-term financing for Elia Group, beyond the company's current financ...
- Wim Lewi
Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage
In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SIP SIPEF GROUP
SOF SOFINA SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
ROYAL VOPAK NV
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
BAR BARCO NV
FUR FUGRO NV
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
AGN AEGON N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Agreement reached to create Europe's leading Healthcare REIT. bpost: CMD press release; #Reshape 2029. D'Ieteren: Belgian new car registrations down 11.7% in May, VW down 13.5% Fugro: Meeting with CEO & IR; 2Q25 also has its challenges. UCB: Peer Moonlake held takeover talks with US Merck, FT reports
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update May 2025: Removing Fugro – Adding Merus
The ongoing tariff war continues to create uncertainty for investors, with a trade embargo between the US and China. Although Europe has received a temporary reprieve, the prolonged situation could result in significant economic damage. We are maintaining a defensive stance in our Benelux Dynamic Top Pick List, as the Federal Reserve holds steady and the European Central Bank may continue lowering rates. Pessimism regarding the European industry has increased, though some US-based European compa...
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