Past Monday, Fugro surprised the market with another profit warning. While the long-term outlook remains fundamentally positive, this new warning further undermines investor confidence, especially as the updated FY25 guidance was issued only seven weeks ago. In our view, the lack of visibility and the potential for further disappointments are balanced by attractive long-term demand dynamics, a solid balance sheet, and ongoing cost and capex reductions. As a result, we rate the stock Hold. Our ne...
Following a profit warning last November and last April Fugro now issued a third one. This morning it updated its financial guidance for 2025, following significant changes in market conditions in recent weeks. While the company still expects 2H25 to show a notable improvement compared to the first half, the previously guided 20% revenue growth in 2H25 is deemed no longer realistic. A wide range of projects is said to have been affected – with most experiencing postponements into 2026 and some b...
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We expected a halving of EBIT YoY, but it was more as 2Q25 ended at -80% largely due to US offshore wind, lower vessel availability and postponements of large contracts. Fugro expects 2H revenues to increase by 20% HoH as elements of the downturn should not return in 3Q/4Q such as vessels and project postponements. Consequently, with delayed contracts now being executed, we feel comfortable with the company's view on 2H25. Including 2Q25, we have lowered our FY25-27F estimates, for the third tim...
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