reports
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Couvreur
- Kristof Samoy
Fugro Securing $340m multi-year subsea inspection contracts with Petro...
Last Friday Fugro reported it has secured four Petrobras contracts for subsea inspection and monitoring in Brazil, valued at approximately $340m over four years starting in 4Q25 with optional one-year extensions. Three contracts are renewals under improved terms, while one is new and incremental. All were already included in Fugro's 12-month backlog as of March 2025. Each contract is vessel-specific, with two operated by Fugro and two by partners, all equipped with ROVs. The scope includes expan...
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Quirijn Mulder
Fugro/Weak 1H25, better 2H25/BUY
Led by the disappearance of US offshore wind, Fugro continues to suffer from a downturn. We expect a weak second quarter, following the headwinds of the first quarter with lower activity levels combined with a couple of vessels not yet back into service. We foresee a YoY EBIT decline of 50% in 2Q25. However, it also looks the trough is passed with potential for a higher activity level for 2H25 and beyond. The main reason is the higher fleet presence and clients finally proceeding with long-await...
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Quirijn Mulder
- Tijs Hollestelle
Utilities and offshore wind supply chain sector/Mind the gaps
In this report we present our view on the long-term growth prospects for offshore wind in Europe, implications of the energy transition and the role of TSOs, such as Elia Group. We also focus on supply chain beneficiaries in our Benelux coverage. An increasing number of long-term framework contracts should provide improved risk-rewards to the supply chain, in our view. Furthermore, we take a deep dive into growth drivers and long-term financing for Elia Group, beyond the company's current financ...
- Wim Lewi
Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage
In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SIP SIPEF GROUP
SOF SOFINA SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
ROYAL VOPAK NV
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
BAR BARCO NV
FUR FUGRO NV
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
AGN AEGON N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Agreement reached to create Europe's leading Healthcare REIT. bpost: CMD press release; #Reshape 2029. D'Ieteren: Belgian new car registrations down 11.7% in May, VW down 13.5% Fugro: Meeting with CEO & IR; 2Q25 also has its challenges. UCB: Peer Moonlake held takeover talks with US Merck, FT reports
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update May 2025: Removing Fugro – Adding Merus
The ongoing tariff war continues to create uncertainty for investors, with a trade embargo between the US and China. Although Europe has received a temporary reprieve, the prolonged situation could result in significant economic damage. We are maintaining a defensive stance in our Benelux Dynamic Top Pick List, as the Federal Reserve holds steady and the European Central Bank may continue lowering rates. Pessimism regarding the European industry has increased, though some US-based European compa...
- Jean-François Granjon
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
VAC PIERRE & VACANCES SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
TNG TRANSGENE SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
KORI KORIAN SA
STF STEF
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
FII LISI SA
LSS LECTRA SA
GBT GUERBET SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
ATE ALTEN SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
MBWS
PAL MARIE BRIZARD WINE & SPIRITS SA
GNFT PALFINGER AG
SEFER GENFIT SA
LIGHT SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
11B SIGNIFY NV
INSD 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR VERIMATRIX SA
SPIE ALIOR BANK SA
LFDE SPIE SA
TEC LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
FTG111 TECHNIPFMC PLC
TKO FLATEXDEGIRO AG
VOS TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
AGR VOSSLOH AG
RBO AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AG
ZEL ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
WDP PHARMA MAR SA
FUR WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FUGRO NV
- Jean-François Granjon
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
VAC PIERRE & VACANCES SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
TNG TRANSGENE SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
KORI KORIAN SA
STF STEF
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
FII LISI SA
LSS LECTRA SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
ATE ALTEN SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
MBWS
PAL MARIE BRIZARD WINE & SPIRITS SA
GNFT PALFINGER AG
SEFER GENFIT SA
LIGHT SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
11B SIGNIFY NV
INSD 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR VERIMATRIX SA
SPIE ALIOR BANK SA
LFDE SPIE SA
TEC LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
FTG111 TECHNIPFMC PLC
TKO FLATEXDEGIRO AG
VOS TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
AGR VOSSLOH AG
RBO AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AG
ZEL ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
WDP PHARMA MAR SA
FUR WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FUGRO NV
- Thijs Berkelder
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
SDG SYNERGIE SA
SBS STRATEC SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITP INTERPARFUMS
AUB AUBAY SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
COFA COFACE SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
SDG SYNERGIE SA
SBS STRATEC SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITP INTERPARFUMS
AUB AUBAY SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
COFA COFACE SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Thijs Berkelder
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Allfunds Group plc: 1Q25 Preview. Azelis: 1Q25 EBITA miss on tariff uncertainty, €20m self-help to support margins. Exor: Announces oversubscribed €1bn SBB tender offer, strike at VWAP +2%. Flow Traders: Mike drop. Fugro: 1Q25 as expected but outlook a question mark. IMCD: Breaking with tradition: CEO gone within 15 months. Kinepolis: Weak 1Q25, offset by a strong 2Q25 start. KPN: Small 1Q25 EBITDAal beat, guidance reiterated. Randstad: Capital Markets Event. RELX: 1Q25 trading...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Lewi
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Quirijn Mulder
Fugro/Weakening outlook… but very cheap/BUY
The preliminary 1Q25 update showed an 11% revenue decline and collapse of EBIT margins. However, it also included some particular comments that we read as warnings for a rapid deterioration of overall business conditions, beyond the disappearance of US offshore wind that was already known. With this outlook, we have lowered our estimates substantially. However, the share price has more than halved since summer 2024 and multiples have reached all-time lows at c.2.5x average EV/EBITDA25-27F. This,...
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Christian Arnold
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Christian Arnold
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
OMV OMV AG
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
ALBFR SIDETRADE SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
SIK SIKA AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
BAR BARCO NV
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
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