Total revenues were RMB95.7bn (-13.5% QoQ and +10.2% YoY), below consensus estimates of RMB101.6bn and our expectations of RMB107.9bn. Online marketing services revenue came in at RMB48.7bn (-14.5% QoQ and +14.8% YoY), below our estimates of RMB49.3bn. Transaction services revenues were RMB47.0bn (-12.4% QoQ and +5.8% YoY), below our estimates of RMB58.5bn. Analysts: Jin Yoon
PDD’s 4Q24 results were below expectations. Revenue increased 24% yoy to Rmb110.6b, missing consensus estimates by 5%, dampened by softer-than-expected online ad revenue growth. Non-GAAP net profit grew 17% yoy to Rmb29.9b, 4% above consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net margin shrank 2ppt to 27%. Looking ahead, PDD expects its top-line growth to continue being impacted by its merchant support strategy and profitability should remain under pressure. Maintain BUY. Target price: US$140.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$52.05/Target: HK$57.70) AAC’s 2H24’s earnings grew 114% yoy which exceeded expectations, thanks to a solid beat in the precision mechanics business, although this was partially offset by weaker margins from the optics and MEMs businesses. Nevertheless, we continue to expect solid revenue growth and margin expansion in 2025, driven by increasing exposure from the automotive acoustics business and edge AI-related components. Upgrade to BUY ...
What’s new: PDD’s reported 4Q24 results that were below consensus and our expectations. PDD remains committed to investing in its high quality development initiatives for 2025 – which could further drag margins in the near-term. We maintain our PT at USD150. Analysts: Jin Yoon
What’s new: PDD’s reported 3Q24 results that were below consensus and our expectations. PDD will continue to invest substantial resources to support high-quality merchants on the platform which may drag margins in the near term. We maintain our PT at USD150. Analysts: Jin Yoon
In view of a stronger-than-expected government policy rollout, we reckon that the improved consumption sentiment will benefit e-commerce, local life services and OTA companies. In 2H24, we expect the undemanding valuations of internet companies to be repaired by shareholder returns, cross-border expansion and easing competition. Meanwhile, we believe monetisation momentum will be fuelled by AIGC development and adtech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
What’s new: PDD’s reported 2Q24 revs that were below consensus and our expectations. PDD will invest substantial resources to support high-quality merchants on the platform which includes a transaction fee reduction – totaling to RMB10bn in the first year. We lower our PT from USD170 to USD150 due to lowered outlook. Our updated PT of USD150 implies a 9.8x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
GREATER CHINA Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$88.00/Target: HK$118.50): 2Q24: Weak results; advanced packaging progress remains intact. Maintain BUY. Ningbo Tuopu Group Co (601689 CH/BUY/Rmb35.41/Target: Rmb86.00): 2Q24: Earnings up 25% yoy/qoq, in line. Maintain BUY. Target price: Rmb86.00. Update Pinduoduo (PDD US/BUY/US$134.24/Target: US$200.00): Navigating against unwavering geopolitical concerns. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp1,630): 1Q24 reve...
The 618 shopping festival growth was better than expected with a strategic pivot to user experience. The overall performance has been front-loaded as reflected in NBS’ May data due to 618 pre-sales cancellation. Against a cautious consumption backdrop, multiple platforms have adopted low-priced and user-first strategies to seize market shares. We remain cautiously optimistic on China’s e-commerce sector pending the reacceleration in 2H24 upon a strategic shift. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
We believe efforts in user-focused and overseas expansion strategies will continue to help e-commerce companies regain GMV growth momentum and potentially improve take rates. We expect consumption behaviour to become service- and experienceoriented, which will benefit OTA players. With increasing shareholder returns and the recent ADR convertible issuance, the market will continue to focus on stock yields, companies’ cash positions and domestic regulations. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
What’s new: PDD’s reported 1Q24 results that beat consensus and our expectations driven by improving consumer sentiment. PDD could continue to gain share in both domestic and overseas markets as the company remains focused on executing its high-quality development strategy. We maintain our PT at USD170. Analysts: Jin Yoon
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
GREATER CHINA Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.72/Target: HK$6.40): 1Q24: Below expectations; low wind speed weighed on performance. COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.62/Target: HK$6.75): 1Q24: Results in line; steady performance in a seasonally slow quarter with headwinds. Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/BUY/Rmb14.13/Target: Rmb18.50): 1Q24: ICL revenue growth satisfactory; esoteric testing and self-developed product segments remain 2024’s key growth drivers. Foshan Haitian Flavou...
Given the stabilising revenue growth and abundant cash on hand, mega-cap internet companies have been focusing on offering generous shareholder returns. For 2024, we expect consumption behaviour to switch to service and experience, which will continue to benefit OTA players. We believe other China internet names will outperform with overseas expansion and SFV players will continue to gain market shares with potential for take rate increases. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
What’s new: PDD’s reported 4Q23 results beat consensus and our expectations driven by improving consumer sentiment. PDD could continue to gain share in both domestic and overseas markets as the company remains focused on executing its high-quality development strategy in 2024. We maintain our PT at USD170. Analysts: Jin Yoon
PDD’s 4Q23 results beat expectations. Revenue surged 124% yoy to Rmb88.9b, 11% above consensus estimate, driven by strong advertising revenue growth and robust commission revenue generated from Temu. Gross margin contracted 17ppt yoy to 61%, due to higher cost from Temu. Non-GAAP net profit came in at Rmb25.5b, 51% above consensus estimate which translated to a non-GAAP net margin of 28.7%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of US$183.00.
GREATER CHINA Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$8.83/Target: HK$11.00): 2023: Results beat on margins again; upgrade to BUY. Raise target price from HK$6.50 to HK$11.00. Innovent Biologics (1801 HK/BUY/HK$39.35/Target: HK$60.00): 2023: Results beat; well positioned for sustainable growth in 2024. Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.25/Target: HK$85.00): 4Q23: Resilient earnings beat; strong ad monetisation momentum continues. Li Ning (2331 HK/HOLD/HK$21.45/Target: HK$19.60): 2023: Results miss; remain c...
Temu achieved strong user engagement growth after sponsoring the Super Bowl in the US in February. We lift our global 2024 GMV forecast for Temu to US$38b from US$34b previously in view of the strong sales growth in Jan-Feb 24 boosted by the Super Bowl. We expect the launch of the new semi-entrusted model in March to further contribute to GMV growth in 2024. To defend against the potential US policy risks, Temu is expected to pivot its focus on Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.