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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Walmart 1Q24/25 results. Azelis: Share placement by EQT and PSP. Belgian telcos: Digi mobile prices to be well below competition, targets 10% mkt share. EVS: Slow start, sales guidance held on strong pipeline, EBIT guidance below consensus. Exmar: Stable start to the year. Prosus: Fabricio Bloisi (CEO iFood) appointed as group CEO. Sif Group: 1Q24 pretty much in line, timing shifts a bit

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/15/2024

With 71% of the companies in the Stoxx 600 having released their Q1 2024 results, the picture at this stage is encouraging, with 58% of positive surprises on results. Materials and financials were the sectors that delivered the most positive surprises. If the Q4 2023 earnings season put an end to a downward revision of EPS, the Q1 2024 earnings season has triggered the start of an upward EPS revision, more markedly in the US than in Europe. In terms of sectors, re-rating effects conti...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 15/05/2024

Alors que 71% des sociétés du Stoxx 600 ont publié, le bilan est à ce stade positif avec 58% de surprises positives sur les résultats. Matériaux et Financières sont les secteurs ayant apporté le plus de surprises positives. Le consensus – qui avait stoppé sa baisse durant les publications T4-23, est désormais reparti à la hausse, plus nettement aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe. Sectoriellement, les effets de rerating ont continué de dominer les révisions de BPA. - ...

Salome Charamalet ... (+2)
  • Salome Charamalet
  • Stefano Toffano

Azelis Group NV : Slightly more conservative, but improving end-market...

>Pricing pressures on a very healthy base - Azelis reported weak Q1 24 results a.o. due to pricing pressures, resulting in an organic growth of -8.1% yoy for the group. For the third sequential quarter, Azelis is showing a yoy decrease of the conversion margin (EBITA / gross profit). The company is now mentioning 'pricing pressures across the board' on the back of clear positive volume developments, the latter driven by very low inventories at end-clients and green sh...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/25/2024

Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/04/2024

Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Strong margin performance in weak trading results in 3% EBITA beat. BE Semiconductor Industries: 1Q24 results; prolonged downcycle. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc: Messy but good. DWS: Record breaking. Flow Traders: Crypto Kings. Fugro: Here we go again. Kinepolis: Weak start to the year, but a bit better than feared. UCB: Changes in the group executive committee. Unilever: Heading in the right direction. Vonovia: Disposal of 4,500 apartments for €700m. Wolters Kl...

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ADYEN NA, ASML NA, BESI NA, FLOW NA, FUR NA, HEIA NA, ...

: ADYEN NA, ASML NA, BESI NA, FLOW NA, FUR NA, HEIA NA, HOMI BB, KIN BB, VGP BB, WDP BB, XFAB FP, AZE BB, ONWD BB

Salome Charamalet ... (+2)
  • Salome Charamalet
  • Stefano Toffano

Azelis Group NV : Not yet out of the woods

>End markets remain challenging - Azelis’ end-market demand remained weak and translated into the company’s results for the quarter. The company generated Q1 24 revenues of € 1,051m, -4% yoy and -7% below our estimates (-8.1% yoy organic decline for Q1 24). Operating EBITA for the quarter was c. € 124m, -7% yoy (-9% vs. AAOBe). Profitability remained relatively high despite the cyclical weakness, but the group’s conversion margin decreased yoy in Q1 24, for the third ...

Luuk Van Beek
  • Luuk Van Beek

Azelis - Good margin protection in still difficult market

Q1 revenues below expectations, largely offset by resilient marginsMarkets still challenging, reiterates expectation to return to organic growth during 2024, but timing remains uncertainWe will modestly reduce our estimates, Hold reiterated

Quirijn Mulder ... (+2)
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Stijn Demeester

Azelis/1Q24 preview: Approaching the growth inflection point/BUY

We make moderate changes to our estimates, ahead of Azelis' 1Q24 results on 25 April. While we not yet bank on an inflection point in growth in the first quarter, we expect margins to only show modest declines on the back of strong cost control. We continue to model a return to organic growth over the course of the year given easing comps in key regions EMEA and Americas as of 2Q24 and anecdotal evidence of early green shoots. We reiterate our BUY and €30 per share target price, noting that rece...

Luuk Van Beek
  • Luuk Van Beek

Azelis - Bid on Azelis not a given after buyer interest

According to rumors on Bloomberg, main shareholder EQT is considering options for Azelis after receiving interest from potential buyers. We describe 4 scenarios on what could happen with Azelis following these discussions. A full bid could lead to significant upside, other scenarios have a neutral or even negative impact on the upsideBased on the scenarios we raise our target price from EUR 21 to EUR 25

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Bloomberg report citing M&A interest. BE Semiconductor Industries: 1Q24 preview, focus on order intake. Greenyard: Crème de la Crème acquisition. Just Eat Takeaway.com: Deliveroo reports 1Q24 trading. Melexis: 1Q24 Preview, focus on pricing. NSI: Guidance confirmed, LTV improves, small but interesting investments might come. Sligro: 1Q24 results in line with expectations Vastned: Key €100m single asset disposal achieved

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Salome Charamalet ... (+2)
  • Salome Charamalet
  • Stefano Toffano

Azelis Group NV : Preview Q1 24 results (25 April)

>Slow but steady improvement - Azelis is set to report results for the fourth quarter on April 25. For the group, we forecast Q1 24 revenues of € 1,126m (+3% yoy) and € 148m operating EBITA for the quarter (+2% yoy). Margins remain relatively strong partially sustained by a positive mix effect. In line with the previous quarters, we expect Azelis to show a yoy decrease of the conversion margin (EBITA / gross profit) for the quarter. Azelis remains conservative regardi...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Acquisition of MDK in personal care APAC. Fastned: FY23 annual report published. Results Calendar

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+9)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : AED BB, BFIT NA, EURN BB, HAL NA, IVA FP, MITRA BB, SE...

: AED BB, BFIT NA, EURN BB, HAL NA, IVA FP, MITRA BB, SEQUA BB, TESB BB, AZE BB, FAST NA

Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

ODDO : Glass half full – Volume recovery started after almost 2 years ...

As Spring approaches, we see industry-wide destocking coming to an end, emerging recovery trends in China gaining momentum and European spot energy cost relief rolling in, all helping to restore plant utilisation and earnings. We add more cyclicality to our preferred names, upgrading BASF to Outperform (Neutral). Momentum being regained in specialties chemicals distribution triggers our upgrade of IMCD to Outperform (Neutral). ‘From record to record’ remains our mantra at FUCHS. ...

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