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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASML: Chinese advanced DUV machine on trial; Azelis: Muddling through 2025 PostNL: CMD - new strategy and ambitions for 2028; Proximus: New CEO of Proximus Global announced Syensqo: CEO succession; UCB: Brivekimig (Sanofi) P2a results in Hidradenitis Suppurativa

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Barco: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Kinepolis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Melexis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. ABN AMRO: Dutch State reducing stake to 20%. ASML: x Mistral, a bet on A.I.. Kinepolis: Cineplex August 2025 box office revenue at 87% of 2019 level, down 27% YoY

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thibault Leneeuw
Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update September: Adding AB InBev and Exor

In this September update we added 2 stocks to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List : We added AB InBev after the share price weakened post-2Q results. ABI's 2Q volumes fell 1.9% organically, below expectations, mainly due to a 9% drop in Brazil where a price hike led to temporary market share loss. However, strong revenue per hl growth (+4.9%) drove a 6.5% organic EBITDA increase, with 1H growth at +7.2%, near the top of FY guidance (+4–8%). AB InBev, the world's largest brewer, generates ...

Quirijn Mulder ... (+2)
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Stijn Demeester

Azelis/Rough patch but fundamentals intact/BUY

We update our model and lower our target price to €21 per share from €22 previously, to reflect recent results. We reiterate our BUY as the medium-term growth fundamentals of the specialty chemicals distribution model are seen intact, even though the industry is currently moving through a rough patch.

Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: 2Q25 results. Air France-KLM: Nice beat, let's see how FY25 finishes. AMG: Uptrend continues in 2Q25 with 23% EBITDA beat and guidance up to +US$200m. Aperam: Slight 2Q25 EBITDA beat, 3Q25 seen down QoQ. Arcadis: EBITA margin held up well in 2Q25, order intake mixed. Ayvens: 2Q25 results. Azelis: Soft but largely in-line 2Q25 with EMEA offsetting weaker APAC. Bekaert: 1H25 miss and lowered outlook to result in c.5% consensus downside. Corbion: Taking it to the wire. dsm...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, F...

: ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, UCB BB, AZE BB, SYENS BB

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

Azelis Weak results are anticipated, limited downside risk

Since our last update, the market has experienced a wave of profit warnings and significant FX volatility. As a result, we find it necessary to revise our estimates. We are lowering our adjusted EBITA forecast from €471m to €451m, primarily due to adverse FX movements. Furthermore, we decrease our GPm expectations for the Americas. We anticipated that improvements in the F&F segment would support margin expansion in 2Q25, the combination of FX headwinds, macroeconomic uncertainty, and unfavourab...

Quirijn Mulder ... (+2)
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Stijn Demeester

Azelis/2Q25 preview: Don't expect a trend change yet/BUY

We lower expectations ahead of Azelis' 2Q25 results, driven by the prevailing uncertainty regarding trade and tariffs, especially in North America, and adverse FX trends. Our BUY stands, on a revised target price of €22 (previously €25), given Azelis's compelling valuation discount of c.30% relative to IMCD for a broadly similar medium-term growth dynamic and margin profile.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: 2Q25 pre-close call feedback. Azelis: Attractive acquisition in personal care Italy. Econocom: Two UK/Ireland AV acquisitions disclosed. Staffing: Better French volumes in May even with easier comps, June outlook sluggish. Staffing: Dutch figs Period 6 volume and revenues weaker on tougher comps. UCB: Trump threatens a 200% tariff on pharmaceutical products

Michiel Declercq ... (+3)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
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