reports
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aalberts: highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels 2024, Ackermans & Van Haaren: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels,Ackermans & Van Haaren: Strong operational performance of underlying companies and guidance fine-tuned upwards, AMG: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Aperam: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux conference, Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference Brussels, Bekaert: Guidance cut and €200m buyback as sweetener, CFE: No new...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
APAML APERAM SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
CFEB COMPAGNIE D'ENTREPRISES CFE SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
INX IMCD N.V.
JDEP JDE PEET'S NV
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Vranken
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...
With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
TINC TINC COMM. VA
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SYENS SYENSQO
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Thibault Leneeuw
Azelis Return to organic growth has not been rewarded
In this note we come back to the 3Q24 results which were beside the FX headwind decent and showed a return to organic growth. For FY24 we lower our EBITA expectations, due to FX headwinds and lower acquisitional growth. This while the more important organic growth and gross profit margin improved. Our segment overview shows that across regions most end markets improved. We forecast that 4Q24 will be the first quarter to report organic growth in all regions since 3Q22. Furthermore, we highlight t...
- Francesca Ferragina
WDP/Acquisitions on the horizon; demand normalising/BUY
WDP is down 5.6% since it released results last week. The results were very much in line with guidance but investors were disappointed by the message regarding slowing tenant demand and c.200k sqm that has to be let for 2025 (against the usual c.100k level). We think the share price fall is an overreaction: in a market with an absence of space and no vacancy, discussions with tenants are already ongoing and there is no negotiation around price. We have also been prepared since at least the begin...
- Konrad Zomer
AI AIR LIQUIDE SA
EDEN EDENRED SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BN DANONE SA
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
RNO RENAULT SA
ORA ORANGE SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
SW SODEXO SA
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
BEI BEIERSDORF AG
KER KERING SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
- Konrad Zomer
AI AIR LIQUIDE SA
EDEN EDENRED SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BN DANONE SA
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
RNO RENAULT SA
ORA ORANGE SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
SW SODEXO SA
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
BEI BEIERSDORF AG
KER KERING SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
- Salome Charamalet
- Stefano Toffano
Azelis Group NV : Slow and prudent recovery
>Back to organic growth, albeit at rather careful levels - Azelis’ end-markets are showing signs of a recovery in volumes, albeit at a still very prudent pace it seems. The company generated Q3 24 revenues of € 1,054m, c. +2% yoy and -2% vs ccs. Group organic growth in the quarter was positive (+2.8% yoy) for the first time in roughly two years, an indication that markets are slowly recovering, albeit from a relatively easy comp base. Operating EBITA for the quarter w...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Acomo: Hot Chocolate. Azelis: 3Q24 not flawless, but organic growth is back. BE Semiconductor Industries: 3Q24 results, putting its money where its mouth is. Ebusco: Rigorous turnaround plan, but many liquidity related concerns; recommendation moves to Under Review. GBL: Looking to take vitamins. Kinepolis: Solid 3Q24 attendance, in line, confident in the movie outlook for 4Q24, 2025. Ontex: Guidance Stumble. Unilever: Momentum maintained. Vastned: End of the disposal program, wa...
- Wim Lewi
Warehouses De Pauw Macro storm brewing or a market normalisation ?
Over the last couple of weeks, logistics and WDP in particular have been hammered by economic fears in Europe. We believe the market enters a post-COVID normalisation phase and that structural growth drivers will remain resilient. For years, WDP anticipated a tougher economic climate. It brought its LTV% down to 35% in anticipation of distressed asset sales. While speculative developers have retreated, WDP has not found large scale opportunities in Germany. In France, some portfolios are floatin...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
AkzoNobel: Slight miss on 3Q24, larger miss on year-end leverage Allfunds Group PLC: Strong NNM beat ASM International: Preview 3Q24; probably not too bad Azelis: 3Q24 results preview Heineken: Yet another miss Kinepolis: 3Q24 preview Philips: Preview 3Q24, some upside risk to margins Proximus: 3Q24 preview Events Calendar
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Maissa Keskes
- Marc Lavaud
- Stephane Houri
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/18/2024
The recovery in growth in the IT & engineering services sector is undermined by the still mixed macroeconomic climate and the setbacks in the automotive and aerospace sectors. The improvement in sector momentum will therefore be minimal in H2 2024 with a growing decorrelation between the US which should be robust and a stagnating Europe. This leads us to adopt a more cautious approach on companies in our sector (revision to our 2025 growth estimates for 12 companies) and to prefer Acc...
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ABB ABB LTD.
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
SAN SANOFI
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Maissa Keskes
- Marc Lavaud
- Stephane Houri
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 18/10/2024
La reprise de la croissance du secteur IT & Engineering Services est mise à mal par un contexte macro toujours mitigé et par les déboires des secteurs Auto et Aéro. Ainsi, l’amélioration de la dynamique du secteur sera minimale au S2 2024 et probablement aussi au S1 2025, avec une décorrélation grandissante entre les US qui devraient être solides et une Europe stagnante. Ceci nous amène à adopter une approche plus prudente pour les sociétés de notre secteur (révision de croissance 202...
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ABB ABB LTD.
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
SAN SANOFI
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
VACN VAT GROUP AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
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