reports
- Quirijn Mulder
- Stijn Demeester
Azelis/3Q25 preview and model update/BUY
We update our model ahead of Azelis' 3Q25 results on 23 October. We trim our 2025F-27F Adj. EBITDA estimates by c.5% to reflect ongoing weakness in several of Azelis' end-markets, predominantly driven by trade uncertainty. We maintain our BUY but lower our target price from €21 to €19 per share.
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update October: Removing VGP – Adding Shurgard a...
In this October update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we are removing VGP while adding Shurgard and Wolters Kluwer. Since its recent inclusion in our Dynamic Top Pick List in July-25, VGPs share rose by 10.6%. While we still believe there is significant upside to the share price, we don't see short term catalysts. In fact, the macro picture remains cloudy with the jury still out on the impact of tariffs and the erratic US policy shifts. Also, we are a bit concerned that competition in Western Eur...
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
ROYAL VOPAK NV
VGP VGP NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
EXO EXOR N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Azelis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Barco: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Kinepolis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Melexis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. ABN AMRO: Dutch State reducing stake to 20%. ASML: x Mistral, a bet on A.I.. Kinepolis: Cineplex August 2025 box office revenue at 87% of 2019 level, down 27% YoY
- Guy Sips
- Livio Luyten
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update September: Adding AB InBev and Exor
In this September update we added 2 stocks to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List : We added AB InBev after the share price weakened post-2Q results. ABI's 2Q volumes fell 1.9% organically, below expectations, mainly due to a 9% drop in Brazil where a price hike led to temporary market share loss. However, strong revenue per hl growth (+4.9%) drove a 6.5% organic EBITDA increase, with 1H growth at +7.2%, near the top of FY guidance (+4–8%). AB InBev, the world's largest brewer, generates ...
- Quirijn Mulder
- Stijn Demeester
Azelis/Rough patch but fundamentals intact/BUY
We update our model and lower our target price to €21 per share from €22 previously, to reflect recent results. We reiterate our BUY as the medium-term growth fundamentals of the specialty chemicals distribution model are seen intact, even though the industry is currently moving through a rough patch.
- Carole Braudeau
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
CEC CECONOMY AG
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AC ACCOR SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
MF WENDEL SE
SCR SCOR SE
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
DEC JCDECAUX SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
SPIE SPIE SA
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
DUFN DUFRY AG
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Jerôme Bodin
CLN CLARIANT AG
BEKB BEKAERT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
MF WENDEL SE
INF INFOTEL SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
FAGR FAGRON SA
NTG NETGEM SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
CSM CORBION NV
SPIE SPIE SA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
MEDCL MEDINCELL SA
HAG HENSOLDT AG
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
HGEA HGEARS AG
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
IVG IVECO GROUP
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
ORP ORPEA
PLNW PLANISWARE
EXENS EXOSENS
LOCAL SOLOCAL GROUP
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Carole Braudeau
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
CEC CECONOMY AG
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AC ACCOR SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
MF WENDEL SE
SCR SCOR SE
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
DEC JCDECAUX SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
SPIE SPIE SA
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
DUFN DUFRY AG
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Jerôme Bodin
CLN CLARIANT AG
BEKB BEKAERT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
MF WENDEL SE
INF INFOTEL SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
FAGR FAGRON SA
NTG NETGEM SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
CSM CORBION NV
SPIE SPIE SA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
DUFN DUFRY AG
ALD ALD SA
MEDCL MEDINCELL SA
HAG HENSOLDT AG
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
HGEA HGEARS AG
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
IVG IVECO GROUP
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
ORP ORPEA
PLNW PLANISWARE
EXENS EXOSENS
LOCAL SOLOCAL GROUP
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
AB InBev: 2Q25 results. Air France-KLM: Nice beat, let's see how FY25 finishes. AMG: Uptrend continues in 2Q25 with 23% EBITDA beat and guidance up to +US$200m. Aperam: Slight 2Q25 EBITDA beat, 3Q25 seen down QoQ. Arcadis: EBITA margin held up well in 2Q25, order intake mixed. Ayvens: 2Q25 results. Azelis: Soft but largely in-line 2Q25 with EMEA offsetting weaker APAC. Bekaert: 1H25 miss and lowered outlook to result in c.5% consensus downside. Corbion: Taking it to the wire. dsm...
APAML APERAM SA
FAGR FAGRON SA
UCB UCB S.A.
AF AIR FRANCE-KLM SA
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
CSM CORBION NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ALD ALD SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Thibault Leneeuw
Azelis Weak results are anticipated, limited downside risk
Since our last update, the market has experienced a wave of profit warnings and significant FX volatility. As a result, we find it necessary to revise our estimates. We are lowering our adjusted EBITA forecast from €471m to €451m, primarily due to adverse FX movements. Furthermore, we decrease our GPm expectations for the Americas. We anticipated that improvements in the F&F segment would support margin expansion in 2Q25, the combination of FX headwinds, macroeconomic uncertainty, and unfavourab...
- Quirijn Mulder
- Stijn Demeester
Azelis/2Q25 preview: Don't expect a trend change yet/BUY
We lower expectations ahead of Azelis' 2Q25 results, driven by the prevailing uncertainty regarding trade and tariffs, especially in North America, and adverse FX trends. Our BUY stands, on a revised target price of €22 (previously €25), given Azelis's compelling valuation discount of c.30% relative to IMCD for a broadly similar medium-term growth dynamic and margin profile.
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ahold Delhaize: 2Q25 pre-close call feedback. Azelis: Attractive acquisition in personal care Italy. Econocom: Two UK/Ireland AV acquisitions disclosed. Staffing: Better French volumes in May even with easier comps, June outlook sluggish. Staffing: Dutch figs Period 6 volume and revenues weaker on tougher comps. UCB: Trump threatens a 200% tariff on pharmaceutical products
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Adrien Frachette
NDX1 NORDEX SE
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
CVVTF COVESTRO AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GIVN GIVAUDAN SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
LXS LANXESS AG
VIRP VIRBAC SA
FII LISI SA
SDF K+S AG
BAS BASF SE
SOLB SOLVAY SA
ELIS ELIS SA
SY1 SYMRISE AG
GLB GLANBIA PLC
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
ENG ENAGAS SA
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
BNR BRENNTAG SE
INX IMCD N.V.
MAU ETABLISSEMENTS MAUREL & PROM SA
RUI RUBIS SCA
SANT S&T AG
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
ALHGR HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
PLX PLUXEE NV
ARYN ARYZTA AG
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