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Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Benelux Local Champions 27 May 2025

This conference book is your guide to our annual Benelux Local Champions Conference set to take place on Tuesday, 27 May 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or small group meetings with the following Benelux companies and their top management & IR. ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN | AGEAS | AHOLD DELHAIZE | AKZONOBEL | ARCADIS | AZELIS | CORBION | GBL | KBC GROUP | LOTUS BAKERIES | MELEXIS | PROXIMUS | SOFINA | UMIC...

Guy Sips ... (+13)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update May 2025: Removing Fugro – Adding Merus

The ongoing tariff war continues to create uncertainty for investors, with a trade embargo between the US and China. Although Europe has received a temporary reprieve, the prolonged situation could result in significant economic damage. We are maintaining a defensive stance in our Benelux Dynamic Top Pick List, as the Federal Reserve holds steady and the European Central Bank may continue lowering rates. Pessimism regarding the European industry has increased, though some US-based European compa...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : AALB NA, AD NA, ARCAD NA, SMAR BB, WKL NA, AZE BB, CTP...

: AALB NA, AD NA, ARCAD NA, SMAR BB, WKL NA, AZE BB, CTPNV NA, IMCD NA

Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

Azelis The strong undervaluation is the trigger

In this note we lower our organic growth, gross profit margin expectations and increase OpEx expectations, which results in an estimated adj. EBITA of € 471m for FY25e or 8.1% below our prior estimate. We provide a detailed overview for each region on a quarterly basis. Furthermore, we compare the organic growth dynamics between Azelis and IMCD. Azelis is trading at a very attractive valuation not only compared to IMCD but also to the broader market. The recent market developments drive a lower ...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 05/06/2025

Zalando: Q1 results above expectations and guidance confirmed|SoftBank Group : OpenAI abandons its plan to become a for-profit company|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 06/05/2025

Zalando : résultats T1 supérieurs aux attentes et guidances confirmées|SoftBank Group : OpenAI abandonne son projet de devenir une société à but lucratif|

Quirijn Mulder ... (+2)
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Stijn Demeester

Azelis/Adjusting estimates to macro uncertainty/BUY

We trim our Adj. EBITA estimates by c.6% to reflect Azelis' 1Q25 results and increased macro uncertainty. With Azelis' share price down 28% YTD and a 35% discount to its main peer, we reiterate our BUY recommendation.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/24/2025

French retail sales down 2.4% in March + Q1 update|Fnac Darty: decent Q1 sales, strong performance in Southern Europe, guidance confirmed.|Saipem: good set of Q1 2025 results|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 24/04/2025

Baisse de 2,4% des ventes retail en France au mois de mars + point sur le T1|Fnac Darty : un CA T1 correct, bonne performance en Europe du Sud, guidances confirmées|Saipem: good set of Q1 2025 results|

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group plc: 1Q25 Preview. Azelis: 1Q25 EBITA miss on tariff uncertainty, €20m self-help to support margins. Exor: Announces oversubscribed €1bn SBB tender offer, strike at VWAP +2%. Flow Traders: Mike drop. Fugro: 1Q25 as expected but outlook a question mark. IMCD: Breaking with tradition: CEO gone within 15 months. Kinepolis: Weak 1Q25, offset by a strong 2Q25 start. KPN: Small 1Q25 EBITDAal beat, guidance reiterated. Randstad: Capital Markets Event. RELX: 1Q25 trading...

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : FLOW NA, FUR NA, GLPG NA, KIN BB, KPN NA, XFAB FP, AZE...

: FLOW NA, FUR NA, GLPG NA, KIN BB, KPN NA, XFAB FP, AZE BB, IMCD NA, ONWD BB, AUTL US, EXO NA, ZEAL DC, PHVS US

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+12)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update April 2025: Removing Gimv – Adding Adyen

In this April 2025 update of the KBC Securities' Dynamic Top Pick List, we are removing Gimv and adding Adyen. Since adding Gimv to the Dynamic Top Pick List in mid-December 2024, Gimv's performance has remained flat. However, month-to-date, it has increased by nearly 7%, while the indices have all declined. Given the backdrop of a tariff war brewing, we think it's time to remove Gimv from the Dynamic Top Pick List as medium-sized businesses are more likely to feel the pinch of lower demand and...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Short-term uncertainty, long-term continues to look attractive. Coverage change. Results Calendar

Quirijn Mulder ... (+2)
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Stijn Demeester

Azelis/Positive tone, but still some caution/BUY

Post FY24 results, we maintain our BUY recommendation on the back of Azelis' +20% valuation discount to key peer IMCD and continued appeal of the specialty chemicals distribution model. While Azelis' and IMCD's management tone in recent conference calls was overall positive, pointing to strong 1Q25 order books, we are wary of a slow-paced and uneven market recovery in FY25F given limited visibility and order patterns not fully normalised, reflected in our slightly lowered organic growth estimate...

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update March 2025: Removing ABN, Ackermans – Add...

We made 5 changes in this March update of our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List (DTPL): On 26 February we already removed ABN Amro from our DTPL, after a strong 24.4% return since the announcement of our 2025 Dynamic Top Pick List on 13 December 2024, far outpacing our financial sector coverage. Although we remain positive on the longer term, we believe most of the short-term revaluation is behind us. Today, we remove Ackermans & van Haaren as the stock just hit an all-time high and crossed...

Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thibault Leneeuw

Azelis A deep dive in to organic and acquisitional growth

Azelis proved its resilience over the past years with organic revenue CAGR of 6.6% (2020-2024) combined with robust margin expansions. Therefore, Azelis could be a safe haven in volatile times, supported by their strong geographical and end-market diversification. Nevertheless, we believe that CSS's organic revenue growth expectations are too optimistic. On the other hand, the upside from acquisitions is undervalued. We provide a detailed overview on the acquisitional revenue growth, which we lo...

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