reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
WYNN WYNN RESORTS LIMITED
TX. TERNIUM S.A. SPONSORED ADR
QYM SOCIEDAD QUIMICA Y MINERA DE CHILE S.A. SERIES B ADS
PKXN POSCO
PBF PBF ENERGY INC. CLASS A
LVS LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP.
HUBS HUBSPOT INC.
FIVE FIVE BELOW INC.
EL ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC. CLASS A
DVAX DYNAVAX TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
NTNX NUTANIX INC. CLASS A
YUMC YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC.
CELH CELSIUS HOLDINGS INC.
ELAN ELANCO ANIMAL HEALTH INC.
HTHT HUAZHU GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
DUOL DUOLINGO INC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
INFA INFORMATICA INC
BRBR BELLRING BRANDS INC
- Ben Davis
- Tom Price
- Yuen Low
LIBERUM: Commodity snapSHOT - Left-field bear factors
For over a year now, we’ve flagged 3 x bear factors for Commodity World: 1. US Fed’s inflation-rates; 2. China’s growth challenges; 3. Russia’s war. Happily for our big call, most commodity prices have been capped since mid-January, even sliding a bit over recent days/weeks. Just between us, though – the dominant price drags right now seem to be left-field ones we never saw coming: 1. US govt. debt ceiling drama; 2. on-going bank sector anxieties (SVB, SB, FRB, CS). News flow on these two themes...
- Ben Davis
- Tom Price
- Yuen Low
LIBERUM: Commodity snapSHOT - Tactical trading ideas
The epic rally across most metal/steel-related prices, which began last November, has ended. Bear factors? We see three: 1. market’s disappointment with China’s 5% GDP growth target for 2023 (last week’s NPC); 2. US Fed’s undaunted inflation-targeting hawkish pitch (ignores collapse in global energy prices; further hikes support US real rates/currency = drags on demand for no-yield commodities); 3. on-going deterioration in geo-political backdrop (saps investor confidence on growth outlook). Yes...
- Sumeet Singh
BHP Woodside distribution Placement
BHP shareholders received US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger. As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders are being sold by the sales agent, JPM, in a US$823m block. In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.
- Sumeet Singh
BHP Woodside distribution
BHP shareholders will receive US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger. As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders will have to be sold by the sales agent, JPM. Such shares could add up to US$1.5bn in stock sales which will be done in early June. In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and the overall background of the deal.
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