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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Euronext: Fixed income volume growth remains strong; Fastned: Preview 1H25; Talabat: 2Q25 results; beat and raise; TKH Group: Connectivity EBITA margin drops to 1%

Michiel Declercq ... (+2)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Better bottom line, mixed underlying, strong capital, SBB €250m. Ahold Delhaize: 2Q25 profitability beat thanks to insurance results. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC: Fizzing along nicely. Kinepolis: July 2025 box office in US/Canada and France down, on strong comps. Vonovia: Good results, 5.6% guidance increase. UCB: Evenity continues to surprise to the upside. Zabka: Another miss on Adj. Net Income in 2Q25

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview - muddling through? Belgian telcos: Competition Authority investigation on Proximus/Orange Belgium MoU. Brunel International: 2Q25 below, 3Q25 outlook cut, cost savings protect FY25 estimates. Euronext: Another record set of results. Fugro: Sharper V-shape? GBL: Weak NAV performance, as expected. KBC Ancora: Cooperative CERA increasing its stake to 51.24%, using excess cash. UCB: Renewed US threats to cut drug prices. Umicore: 1H25 and guide broadly in-line, new S...

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

UCB - Still Plenty of Upside – PT up to €270 (BUY, TP €270 [250], 8pgs...

We upgrade our 2026 Bimzelx sales to be €0.9bn higher than consensus with conservative assumptions & and are now 11% above consensus on 2026 group sales & 19% on EBITDA. We upgrade our already above-consensus ‘27 EBITDA by 5%. Using our proprietary product-by-product Contribution Analysis, we show that the gross margin is highly sensitive to Bimzelx growth. We analyse the galvokimig data, which looks very strong Vs Dupi. Whilst UCB pipeline readouts & Moonlake risk will dominate specialists’ tho...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB 1H25 conference call feedback

UCB reported 1H25 results this morning with a clear beat on CSS. In this note we summarise our key takeaways from the conference call with management.

Louis Boujard ... (+4)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
Martial Descoutures
  • Martial Descoutures
Martial Descoutures
  • Martial Descoutures
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB 1H25 earnings beat driven by Bimzelx, raises FY25 guidance

UCB's growth continues with 1H25 earnings increasing to € 3.49b, beating CSS expectations by approx. 8%. We note that Bimzelx performed significantly higher vs. expectations bringing in € 799m (CSS: € 615m) continuing its solid growth momentum. The company updated its FY25 guidance to revenue of at least € 7b based on a strong outlook for the remainder of the year. We reiterate our €214 TP and Accumulate.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: 2Q25 results. Air France-KLM: Nice beat, let's see how FY25 finishes. AMG: Uptrend continues in 2Q25 with 23% EBITDA beat and guidance up to +US$200m. Aperam: Slight 2Q25 EBITDA beat, 3Q25 seen down QoQ. Arcadis: EBITA margin held up well in 2Q25, order intake mixed. Ayvens: 2Q25 results. Azelis: Soft but largely in-line 2Q25 with EMEA offsetting weaker APAC. Bekaert: 1H25 miss and lowered outlook to result in c.5% consensus downside. Corbion: Taking it to the wire. dsm...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, F...

: ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, UCB BB, AZE BB, SYENS BB

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Strong results, guidance reiterated; dsm-firmenich: Symrise 1H25 results; IMCD: Stagnating gross profit leads to disappointing 2Q25 EBITA; JDE Peet's: Full of beans; Just Eat Takeaway: 1H25 results, weak update no impact on takeover; Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results; Melexis: 2Q25 results, gross margin under pressure; Solvay: 2Q25 in line, subdued outlook no surprise after pre-release; TKH Group: Preview: Under a magnifying glass; Universal Music Group: Spotify 2Q25 ...

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