reports
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Thomas Vranken
UCB FIRST LOOK: Fintepla scores Phase 3 win in third epileptic indicat...
UCB announced positive Phase 3 results for Fintepla in treating CDKL5 deficiency disorder (CDD), a rare and severe early-onset epileptic condition with limited treatment options. The randomized, placebo-controlled study in patients aged 1–35 met its primary and secondary endpoints, showing a significant reduction in countable motor seizures and a favourable safety profile. UCB plans to announce the full dataset at an upcoming conference and seek regulatory approval promptly. This marks Fintepla'...
- Dominic Rose
- Naresh Chouhan
UCB - Bimzelx Consensus for 2025 Too Low
We are 28% above cons. US Bimzelx sales for H125 with Bimzelx sales momentum being the most important factor for the UCB investment thesis. Unlike the early days for US obesity, this is one of the most complex dynamics we have contended with when forecasting sales. There are multiple unknowns that we have sought to model (net price per scrip, net avg. price by indication, 2024 volume, volume growth by payer & incremental discounts to unlock that volume growth). As a result of our analysis, we in...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Thomas Couvreur
- Jacob Mekhael
MaaT Pharma Business update highlights upcoming priorities, final ARES...
MaaT provides a business update, which reiterated the company's progress with respect to its pipeline, and following the previously announced EU regulatory submission for MaaT013 in aGvHD, the company continues to search for a commercialisation partner in Europe ahead of a potential approval in 2H26. Timeline for MaaT013 US trial launch shifts to 2026 (from 4Q25) to focus resources on the European opportunity. Looking ahead, data updates for MaaT013 in aGvHD (final results incl. 12-month OS), as...
- Guy Sips
- Michiel Declercq
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Quirijn Mulder
- Tijs Hollestelle
Utilities and offshore wind supply chain sector/Mind the gaps
In this report we present our view on the long-term growth prospects for offshore wind in Europe, implications of the energy transition and the role of TSOs, such as Elia Group. We also focus on supply chain beneficiaries in our Benelux coverage. An increasing number of long-term framework contracts should provide improved risk-rewards to the supply chain, in our view. Furthermore, we take a deep dive into growth drivers and long-term financing for Elia Group, beyond the company's current financ...
- ING Helpdesk
- Jacob Mekhael
MaaT Pharma Updated MaaT013 aGvHD EAP data at EHA shows consistent out...
MaaT reported updated early access program (EAP) results for MaaT013 (microbiome therapy, enema formulation) in aGvHD at EHA, being held 12-15 June. The data, which was previously shared in the abstract last month, shows that the response rates and overall survival observed in the steroid refractory and ruxulitinib resistant subset of patients (n=70) are in line with what was observed in the phase 3 ARES trial. In our view, this points to the consistency of outcomes with MaaT013 in this patient ...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage
In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SIP SIPEF GROUP
SOF SOFINA SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
ROYAL VOPAK NV
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
BAR BARCO NV
FUR FUGRO NV
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
AGN AEGON N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
- Thomas Vranken
UCB FIRST LOOK: Expansion of US biologics manufacturing capacity
UCB has announced plans to build a new state-of-the-art biologics manufacturing facility in the US, which today accounts for 55% of its revenues. The investment, estimated at $ 2bn over 6–7 years, is expected to generate a $ 5bn economic impact, including 300 permanent and > 500 construction jobs. This move aligns UCB with other major pharma players expanding US operations and may help mitigate risks from potential US import tariffs on pharmaceuticals. Additionally, UCB will strengthen its partn...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- Thomas Vranken
UCB FIRS LOOK: Add'l Phase 3 data support dapirolizumab's potential in...
UCB and Biogen presented additional Phase 3 data showing that dapirolizumab pegol (DZP, anti-CD40L) significantly improves fatigue and disease activity in patients with moderate-to-severe systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Beyond the positive topline readout in Nov '24, DZP showed superior results over standard care in multiple fatigue and disease remission measures. Accumulate/€214 TP confirmed.
- Thomas Vranken
UCB 3-year PsA and axSpA data at EULAR 2025 confirm Bimzelx' efficacy
At EULAR 2025, UCB presented three-year data for Bimzelx, demonstrating sustained efficacy and inflammation control in psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA). In PsA, both biologic-naïve (53.2%) and TNFa-refractory patients (55.2%) maintained strong ACR50 responses and showed high rates of joint and skin symptom resolution. In axSpA, patients with both radiographic and non-radiographic forms sustained ASAS40 responses and low disease activity. These results highlight Bimze...
- Jacob Mekhael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Vranken
- Dominic Rose
- Naresh Chouhan
UCB - “Bim’ Me Up Scotty” – INITIATION (BUY, TP EUR215, 54pgs)
We initiate with a BUY due to our proprietary Contribution Analysis showing that the UCB EBITDA margin should explode by ~1500bps to ~45% by 2030. This leaves us 23% above consensus EBITDA. Interestingly, Cimzia is the biggest driver of our 5% above cons. 2030 sales as a result of our analysis showing that ~80% of TRx’s are women & this cohort is stable. We show that Bimzelx pricing could fall as much as 30% by 2030 due to rebates & mix but we are still in-line with consensus. There are still ma...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Agreement reached to create Europe's leading Healthcare REIT. bpost: CMD press release; #Reshape 2029. D'Ieteren: Belgian new car registrations down 11.7% in May, VW down 13.5% Fugro: Meeting with CEO & IR; 2Q25 also has its challenges. UCB: Peer Moonlake held takeover talks with US Merck, FT reports
- Jacob Mekhael
MaaT Pharma Completes EU regulatory submission for MaaT013 in aGvHD
MaaT announced the submission of the Marketing Authorization Application (MAA) to the European Medicines Agency (EMA) for its lead drug candidate MaaT013 (microbiome therapy, enema formulation) in aGvHD under the brand name Xervyteg. Potential approval could be granted in 2H26, and MaaT is actively exploring strategic partnerships to commercialise MaaT013 in Europe. We believe the solid phase 3 results and good uptake in the early access program will be supportive of MaaT013's commercial launch ...
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