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Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen

Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Presents supportive three-year Bimzelx data in HS at EHSF

UCB announced that three-year data from the BE HEARD trials for Bimzelx in moderate to severe HS will be presented at the Conference of the European Hidradenitis Suppurativa Foundation EHSF, being held 4–6 February in Malta. The data show high rates of total HS resolution at 3 years, high rates of improvement from moderate or severe HS to mild disease, as well as strong draining tunnel resolution. This continues to highlight Bimzelx' benefit in this patient group, which we believe will further d...

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Model update ahead of FY25 results

Following the second guidance upgrade for FY25 (announced 5 December 2025), we update our UCB model ahead of FY25 results. UCB now expects revenue to exceed €7.6bn, representing +24% y/y (previously at least €7bn). The upgraded guidance reflects - next to the continued growth of Rystiggo, Zilbrysq, Fintepla and Evenity – strong performance of Bimzelx, including a strong momentum in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) and a favourable payer mix in the US. Our model update increases Bimzelx FY25 sales t...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Kygevvi receives positive CHMP opinion in ultra-rare disease TK2d

Friday during trading hours, UCB announced that the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) adopted a positive opinion recommending the granting of marketing authorisation under exceptional circumstances for Kygevvi (doxecitine and doxribtimine) for the treatment of pediatric and adult patients with genetically confirmed thymidine kinase 2 deficiency (TK2d) with an age of symptom onset on or before 12 years. Following the positive CHMP opinion...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Conditional approval for the acquisition of Delfood / Bekaert: Acquires Bridgestone's €80m tyre cord business in China and Thailand / KPN: In-line Q4, 2026 guidance, cash returns / NSI: Results in line, further vacancy weighing on 2026 and cautious tone on new developments / UCB: Cimzia included in Medicare's price negotiations for 2028

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

MaaT Pharma Randomises first patient in MaaT033 phase 2 trial in NSCLC

MaaT announced that the first patient has been randomised in the investigator sponsored multicenter phase 2 (IMMUNOLIFE) trial evaluating MaaT033 (microbiome therapy, oral capsule) in combination with cemiplimab (anti PD-1 antibody) in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who have developed resistance to PD-1/PD-L1 blockade following antibiotic (ATB) exposure and who present ATB-induced gut dysbiosis. Primary results after 1-year follow-up post-treatment could be expected in...

David Vagman ... (+3)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Maxime Stranart

UCB/Bimzelx continues its exceptional launch/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating and raise our target price from €257 to €310. UCB finished the year strongly, after upgrading its guidance for a second time in FY25. This upgraded guidance was mainly driven by an exceptional performance for Bimzelx, the group's key growth engine and which continues to surprise to the upside. This gives us comfort into our peak sales of €8.5bn for Bimzelx by 2032F, especially as the performance of Bimzelx in Hidradenitis Suppurativa remains strong. Alongside Bimzelx,...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+4)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Hela Zarrouk
  • Oliver Metzger
  • Roy Külter
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FRA FRAPORT AG
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
G1A GEA GROUP AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GBF BILFINGER SE
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
ALV ALLIANZ SE
LXS LANXESS AG
GXI GERRESHEIMER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
FAGR FAGRON SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
MRK MERCK KGAA
KER KERING SA
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
VNA VONOVIA SE
EOAN E.ON SE
BOSS HUGO BOSS AG
SDF K+S AG
ZAL ZALANDO SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
BAS BASF SE
RWE RWE AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
BAYN BAYER AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
FIE FIELMANN AG
DEZ DEUTZ AG
AIXA AIXTRON SE
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
BNR BRENNTAG SE
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
RACE FERRARI NV
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
DUE DURR AG
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
STM STABILUS SE
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TUI TUI AG
NCH2 THYSSENKRUPP NUCERA AG & CO.
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
PFSE PFISTERER HOLDING SE
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
TKMS TKMS AG & CO. KGAA
Bruno Cavalier ... (+4)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Hela Zarrouk
  • Oliver Metzger
  • Roy Külter
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FRA FRAPORT AG
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
G1A GEA GROUP AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GBF BILFINGER SE
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
ALV ALLIANZ SE
LXS LANXESS AG
GXI GERRESHEIMER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
KCO KLOECKNER & CO SE
FAGR FAGRON SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
MRK MERCK KGAA
KER KERING SA
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
VNA VONOVIA SE
EOAN E.ON SE
BOSS HUGO BOSS AG
SDF K+S AG
ZAL ZALANDO SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
BAS BASF SE
RWE RWE AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
BAYN BAYER AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
FIE FIELMANN AG
DEZ DEUTZ AG
AIXA AIXTRON SE
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
BNR BRENNTAG SE
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
RACE FERRARI NV
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
DUE DURR AG
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
JEN JENOPTIK AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
HAG HENSOLDT AG
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ZGN ERMENEGILDO ZEGNA NV
STM STABILUS SE
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TUI TUI AG
NCH2 THYSSENKRUPP NUCERA AG & CO.
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
PFSE PFISTERER HOLDING SE
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
TKMS TKMS AG & CO. KGAA
Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

UCB - Highest Conviction Long (BUY, TP EUR300, 13pgs)

Deeper analysis on Bimzelx pricing means UCB is now our highest conviction long (Roche & AZN have had big moves). We show that: 1) Bimzelx ’26 pricing concerns are overdone, 2) 55% US volume growth in 2026 is likely, 3) Consensus is likely too low for H225 on US Bimzelx (pricing is likely +ive vs H125), 4) Guidance is likely in-line with cons. & 5) H225 has 2 upside drivers, with BE-BOLD boosting rheum volumes & one big payor likely unlocking HS access. Our proprietary product-by-product model s...

UCB SA: 2 directors

Two Directors at UCB SA bought/sold after exercising options 3,500 shares at between 254.270EUR and 255.491EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the compa...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Reiterates recently upgraded FY25 guidance

UCB highlighted its 2025 achievements, and reiterated its recently upgraded FY25 guidance (5 December 2025). This was the company's second guidance upgrade in 2025 and shows that UCB's commercial momentum continues its upward trajectory supported by its 5 key growth drivers, including lead product Bimzelx which saw strong momentum in HS. This is further supported by Bimzelx reaching over 100K patients worldwide. Looking ahead, Bimzelx' expanded access in 2026 to include 36m additional covered li...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+4)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Wim Hoste
Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

Thematic - 2026 Outlook - "5 More Years" (55pgs)

For access to the full note, please contact Naresh Chouhan ( ) With EU Pharma (ex-Novo) now having reached decade high valuations vs EuroStoxx600, we believe the sector has broken out & the sustainability of the growth profile will now generate continued strong performance. Consensus 5yr sales & EPS CAGR’s stand at 4% & 7% for 15x 2026 PE. We show there is upside to this from underestimated pipelines where cons. rarely fully models “monster” drugs & from M&A which we expect to be strong at JPM ...

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