Q3 not a trigger, but buybacks likely in 2026

Inks SEK 12.5bn deal with VodafoneThree

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 229 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides. Please follow the link below for more details.

Bible 2Q25 – Enterprise IT: Broad-based cloud strength, SaaS stable, ...

Today, we are publishing the Enterprise IT section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Legacy IT spending is moderating after a strong 2H24, while public-cloud growth accelerated slightly on broad-based strength across AI and traditional workloads. SaaS revenue growth remains in the lo...

Bible 2Q25 – Hyperscale & Cloud: 2026 capex expectations up 19%, $3-4t...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Enterprise IT and Foundry. Hyperscale capex grew 70% YoY. Most raised 2025 guides, and confirmed sustained spending in 2026, lifting expectations....

Losing China - winning Europe

Bible 2Q25 – Telecom Infrastructure: Fixed and semis recover; mobile s...

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Hyperscale & Cloud, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry and Semicap Equipment. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, ...

Is AI meant to absorb legacy or drive redesigns? Conversation with the...

Earlier this summer we had a fantastic conversation with Pankaj Patel, CEO of Nile. Nile provides a fully automated, subscription-based network-as-a-service platform that delivers secure, scalable connectivity without the complexity of legacy infrastructure. Follow the below link for our top thoughts on the back of this conversation.

Spain's stance on Huawei could influence rest of EU

5G in India: some pickup in Aug

The Great Replatforming, Part II – The General Theory. Could Jensen ju...

In a very timely manner, as Jensen just touted a $3-4tn Tech. Infra. market for 2030, we publish the second part of our “Great Replatforming” series, in which we look at how much AI investments the global economy can absorb over time. In the first part of the series, we showed how increasing capex should be analyzed as enablers of revenue growth and productivity improvements, and applied the framework to hyperscalers, showing how pushing capex intensity to new highs is easily financed by contin...

Sale of iconectiv completed - finally

Cisco Systems Inc: 1 director

A director at Cisco Systems Inc sold 7,511 shares at 66.838USD and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...

CoreWeave profitability; DeepSeek’s ASIC try; Semicap; PC pull-forward...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 9 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Was That It?; Downgrading Discretionary and Energy Volatility finally picked up last Friday, and the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) both gapped lower to close below their 20-day MAs for the first time in over three months. With that said, all of the major indexes (SPX, QQQ, DJI, IWM) rallied yesterday to fill their gaps from Friday and SPX and QQQ have reclaimed above their 20-day MAs; this is a bullish signal that suggests any further pullback is likely to be relatively shallow, and should ...

Cisco 4FQ25: Cyclical recovery played out; healthy but slowing outlook...

Cisco reported 3FQ25 (1Q25) on Wednesday. Please click the link below for our take on the print.

Intel's NEX could see Ericsson stake

Traction in the Land of the Rising Sun

2026 AI Capex, HBM Pricing, Auto Semi Recovery, and more.

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 22 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

US capex: fibre grabs more share