reports
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: Update for the Lone Star State
We have updated our BEAD analysis to include the proposal from Texas which was allocated the largest amount of BEAD funding. We now include BEAD proposals from 52 states & territories in our below analysis. We have also updated the analysis for states that have revised their proposals.
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: Update for 3 More States
In this latest update, we now include BEAD proposals from 51 states & territories. We have updated our analysis for Alaska, Florida and Utah. Comcast, Brightspeed and AT&T remain at the top of the list among wireline operators. Fiber remains the dominant technology both in terms of locations as well as funding.
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: Impact of Price caps on funding
Based on a leaked internal NTIA memo related to BEAD, it seems like the final proposals by the states may not be final and the NTIA may force them to make changes to their plans. We have analyzed all the proposals so far and estimate that Comcast, AT&T and Frontier may be most impacted by these rules. However, the overall impact isn’t material.
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: Another Major Update
We are almost in the home stretch of the BEAD proposal process. In this latest update, we now include BEAD proposals from 48 states & territories. We also incorporate the revisions in some state proposals. Comcast and Brightspeed are at the top of the list among wireline operators. Fiber’s share of locations remained unchanged from our last update. Satellite and FWA together account for close to a third of the locations awarded.
- Blair Levin
VZ/FYBR California Timing
Last week we published a note on the status of the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) review of the VZ/FYBR deal. While noting that the risk of rejection had gone down, we also noted that the timing was unlikely to be as quick as what VZ was pushing for. Last Friday, the CPUC confirmed that the decision will be later than what VZ was hoping for. In this note we quickly review the Friday order and its implications.
- Blair Levin
VZ/FYBR Deal Makes Progress in California
Recently, VZ reached a settlement with three groups who had opposed or had reservations about the VZ/FYBR deal in the current California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) review. In this note we provide what we understand to be the state of play for the deal approval.
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: Update for 7 more proposals
In this latest update, we now include BEAD proposals from 39 states & territories. Comcast and AT&T remain at the top of the list among wireline operators. Fiber’s share of locations has stabilized with small share shifts in either direction with each update (fiber’s share increased slightly after this update). Satellite and FWA together account for close to a third of the locations awarded.
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: Funding wins and investments by operator
In this note on BEAD, we summarize the funding wins so far for each operator along with the matching investment they are expected to make based on the cost estimates of each state. Based on the state estimates, they are contributing 63% of the estimated build costs and the operators are expected to invest 37% of the cost. The share of investments needed varies depending on the operator, and in some cases may be lower than estimated.
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: NTIA Deadline is here
Today is the deadline for all states to submit their final proposals. We now include proposals from 32 states in this latest update on BEAD. Fiber’s share of locations has nearly stabilized with small share shifts in either direction with each update (fiber’s share declined slightly after this update). Satellite and FWA together account for a third of the locations awarded.
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: Half-time report
Our latest BEAD update includes proposals from 25 states. Fiber remains the preferred technology with its share improving slightly from our last update. In this note, we analyze the results, compare them with estimates from our Broadband Insights database, and its implications for broadband companies. We also update our summary for BEAD proposals so far.
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: More state proposals; Fiber share nearly stable
24 states have now reported their BEAD proposals. Fiber remains the preferred technology, and their share of locations slipped only slightly in this latest round of updates. In this note, we analyze the results, compare them with estimates from our Broadband Insights database, and its implications for broadband companies. We also update our summary for BEAD proposals so far.
- Vikash Harlalka
BEAD: Fiber slips further; FWA gains some ground
Georgia, New Mexico and Oklahoma have reported their BEAD proposals. We are also including the numbers released by Washington yesterday. While fiber remains the dominant technology, its share slipped further. FWA and satellite increased their share of locations. In this note, we analyze the results, compare them with estimates from our Broadband Insights database, and its implications for broadband companies.
- Vikash Harlalka
Frontier Post 2Q25 Model Update
This note focuses on changes to the model following 2Q25 results. Earlier this week, we published a comprehensive review of results. The price at close is fixed. We don’t have a view on the current deal spread. We see no impediments to closing of the transaction. Stock is rated neutral with a price target of $38.50 (same as deal price).
- Vikash Harlalka
- Blair Levin
VZ/FYBR Faces Pushback from California on DEI
The VZ/FYBR deal obtained approval from the FCC by providing a letter modifying its DEI efforts. That letter, however, has raised issues with the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), which also must approve the deal. In a prior note, we analyzed the interplay of the demands of the FCC and CPUC, the political challenge for VZ, and how we think the situation may be resolved. In this note, we review a new ruling from the CPUC and how that affects the situation.
- Blair Levin
- Jonathan Chaplin
Mobile and broadband pair trades to consider this summer
While we have been intensively focused on such things as a Presidential intervention to prevent a Chapter 11, we admit that our mind occasionally drifts to thoughts of summer. So to help others who may have similar thoughts, we thought, in honor of summer beginning, we should provide our thoughts as to which alcohols pair best with the purchase of the stocks we cover (actually, we just asked ChatGPT and, given its attitude about intellectual property, we have no fears about just cutting and pas...
- Blair Levin
VZ/FYBR Faces California Trump Transaction Trap
The VZ/FYBR deal obtained approval from the FCC by providing a letter modifying its DEI efforts. That letter, however, has raised issues with the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), which also must approve the deal. In this note we analyze the interplay of the demands of the FCC and CPUC and how we think the situation may be resolved.
- Blair Levin
What Does VZ/FYBR Tell Us About Convergence Deal Reviews?
As expected, the FCC approved the VZ/FYBR deal once VZ filed a letter disavowing its DEI programs. But the FCC also provided clarification about a critical issue that will be central to deals involving both wireless and wired assets. In this note, we describe what the FCC did and how it might affect future reviews.
- Jonathan Chaplin
- Blair Levin
BEAD Data Shows CMSCA Active in Many States
With all but four states having started and/or completed their prequalification process for eligibility for BEAD funding, there is new data showing high levels of participation by CMSCA and CHTR, with significant levels of participation by T and FBYR (to be acquired by VZ.) In this note we discuss that data and state of play as the states move forward and the Department of Commerce aims for a decision in about a month (which we think is likely to be delayed) for resolving how the BEAD should be...
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