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Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating

Refining margins retreated again in April, by USD 1.2/bbl, to USD 12.6/bbl, remaining about 40% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks continued their seasonal rising trend, but diesel weakened more. Polymer margins had a positive month, but olefins and aromatics saw their margins go the other way.

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies in the green in Ap...

EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE SHOPER SA
AIRA BOROUGE
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
GEVORKYAN A.S.
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GEV CP; THYAO TI; GPP PW; MOH GA; ENA PW; TXT PW; BGEO LN;...

HEADLINES: • GEVORKYAN: the power of powder (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Turkish Airlines: 4Q24 – ending a very good year on a strong note POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q23 results – adjusted EBITDA up 18% yoy, 8% above the market consensus POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 4Q23 results NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 4Q23 results POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 4Q23-24 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • Bank of Georgia: finalises Ameria acquisition POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 1Q24 traffic – goo...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TXT PW; PPA GA; AROBS RO; HUG PW; TEN PW; BFT PW; TL Autom...

HEADLINES: • Text: 4Q23-24 (calendar 1Q24) preliminary results – USD 21.7m preliminary cash flow (up 9% yoy, 2% qoq) NEGATIVE • Piraeus Port Authority: conference call takeaways • AROBS Transilvania Software: publishes 2024 budget NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: March bookings estimate at USD 14m, up 8% mom POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: March bookings estimate mom recovery, driven by Hunting Clash POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: 1Q24 update on card base fully in line with recent guidance NEUTRAL • Turkish a...

Amrest Holdings SE: 1 director

A director at Amrest Holdings SE bought 6,754 shares at 6.120EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: January 2024 – refining margins benefit ...

The oil markets were roiled by problems in the Red Sea, and Brent crude prices rose, a reversal of recent trends. Diesel prices followed suit, improving refining margins, although petrol was not affected significantly. European demand looks a little more robust than it did a few months earlier.

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish stocks start the year with...

EME Equity Market – January 2024 Market performance – Turkey off to the races in January. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 4.2% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in the first month of the year. There was a V-shape recovery in the Turkish ISE30, with the index adding 12.6% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE and Hungarian BUX indices also reported strong performances, adding 5.7% and 5.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms. The Czech PX Index advanced by 2.2% mom, while the Romanian BET 0.9% mom in EUR...

BRE MBANK SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
Natalia Svyriadi ... (+2)
  • Natalia Svyriadi
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

Autohellas | Leveraging on tourism drive

Strong 9-month picture with EBIT growing 16% – Autohellas reported a strong set of 9-month results with revenues rising 34% yoy or 20% organic (namely ex Portugal) and EBIT up 16% yoy, despite elevated M&A-related costs (vehicle fleet costs). Net profit grew by a lower 4% yoy due to the impact of higher financial expenses (double last year levels). All three reported segments, namely Greece rentals, International rentals and Auto trade, delivered revenue growth, with the core segment, namely r...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EU Oil & Gas; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; KAP LI; FP RO; GP...

HEADLINES: • European oil & gas: parting from the Red Sea • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (8-14 January) • Kazatomprom: expects 2024E production to miss guidance targets NEUTRAL • Fondul Proprietatea: end-December 2023 NAV per share up 4% mom NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl reach 390,000 in 2H23, down 14% vs. 1H23 NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: 4Q23E preview (due on 30 January) • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q23E preview (due on 31 January) • ING BSK: 4Q23E preview (due on 1 ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBR PW; FP RO; SNP RO; TPE PW; MOL HB; KAP LI; MOH GA; HUG...

• Mo-BRUK: PLN 19m claim against MBR related to Wałbrzych dumping site (2017 case) remains in force • Fondul Proprietatea: calls EGMS to approve new buyback programme, Engie sale NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: acquires 50% of the largest wind power portfolio of projects in Romania POSITIVE • Tauron: agrees to sell Tameh Holding for PLN 598m NEUTRAL • MOL: produces first gas from the Rozhkovskoye field in Kazakhstan POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: fuel assembly manufacturing facility certified for new product NE...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland – strongest performer in De...

EME Equity Market – December 2023 Market performance – Poland outperforms in December. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 1.9% mom in USD in December. The WIG20 Index continues to perform well in the post-elections environment and reported the strongest performance in our core region, adding 5.9% mom in EUR terms. There was also a strong performance from the Romanian BET and Hungarian BUX indices, adding 4.4% and 4.1% mom, respectively, in EUR terms; while there was a relat...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ELPE GA; MOH GA; HU Macro; CZG CP; RBI AV; TRP RO; PCF PW

HEADLINES: • Greek oil refiners: working in a Margin Wonderland (HELLENiQ Energy and Motor Oil Hellas upgraded to BUY) • Hungary macro: MNB signalling more optimism • Colt CZ Group SE: conference call on S&B acquisition POSITIVE • Raiffeisen Bank International: acquires a 27.8% stake in Strabag • TeraPlast: acquires pipe manufacturer Palplast, based in Republic of Moldova POSITIVE • PCF Group: CEO maintains release date plans for Bifrost and Victoria NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, TEN, SNG)

Bram Buring ... (+3)
  • Bram Buring
  • CFA
  • Jonathan Lamb

Greek Oil Refiners: working in a Margin Wonderland (HELLENiQ Energy an...

The season of goodwill in the refining business never seems to come to an end. Strong diesel cracks have driven refining margins all year, and will continue into 2024E, in our view. Refinery capacity utilisations are high and middle distillate yields are down in Europe, due to changes in feedstock availability. Energy costs have been falling, with gas prices in 2023 at just one-third of where they were in 2022. We expect further declines in 2024E. Both companies are investing heavily in renewabl...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CZG CP; ESLT US; EL RO; TEL RO; MTELEKOM HB; MOH GA; MYTIL...

HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group SE: to acquire ammunition producer Sellier & Bellot POSITIVE • Elbit Systems: awarded multiple contracts from Israeli MoD POSITIVE • Electrica/Transelectrica: proposed 2024 tariffs in line with the guidance from the regulator • Magyar Telekom: reaches agreement with trade unions NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: awarded EU grant for carbon capture project • Mytilineos/Titan Cement: coverage UNDER REVIEW • Short News (FP)

Research Team
  • Research Team
MOL MOL NYRT
OMV OMV AG ... (+6)

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – Energy Transition; EU Oil and Gas mon...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro considerations of the energy transition • European oil and gas monthly: November 2023 - winter has arrived • OMV: to sell Malaysian and New Zealand businesses separately

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb
MOL MOL NYRT
OMV OMV AG ... (+6)

European Oil and Gas Monthly: November 2023 – winter has arrived

Try as it might, OPEC cannot stop the gradual decline in oil prices, even with further cuts. Despite this demand red flag, refining margins remain at close to average levels, with diesel still very strong. In fact, were it not for heavy crudes being sold at a premium to Brent, our benchmark would be much higher. Therefore, we expect refiners to outperform the benchmark by optimising crude oil supplies.

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greek stocks in the lead

EME Equity Market – November 2023 Market performance – Greeks in the lead, in a month with only green across the region. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 5.6% mom in EUR terms and 8.7% mom in USD in November. The Greek ASE Index was the top performer in our region (+6.9% mom), followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.5% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom). The Czech PX Index saw the most muted performance, advancing 2.8% mom.

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
AUG1L AGROWILL GROUP AB
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ULKER ULKER BISKUVI SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
BANK OF CYPRUS PCL
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
COTE CONPET SA
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
TEL C.N.T.E.E. TRANSELECTRICA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
FP. FONDUL PROPRIETATEA S.A. GDR (REG S)
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
PTKHY PETKIM PETROKIMYA HOLDING AS
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ADKO ADDIKO BANK
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
ALR ALRO SLATINA
WINE PURCARI WINERIES PCL
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ILRA CZ; CZG CP; ACP PW; TL Macro; GPP PW; HUG PW; MOH GA;...

HEADLINES: • Ilirija d.d.: good times by the sea are back (NOT RATED) • Colt CZ Group SE: 3Q23 miss and Vista bid NEGATIVE • Asseco Poland: 3Q23 review - net profit down 11% yoy, 1% above preliminaries NEUTRAL • Turkey macro: CBT approaching the end of the tightening cycle • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 3Q23 earnings call POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: takeaways - solid short-term earnings outlook maintained, but more litigation recently NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: strategy update POSITIVE ...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

WOOD Flash – Motor Oil Hellas: results and strategy update

Motor Oil Hellas reported a very strong set of results on 21 November, due to a better-than-expected refining margin. Market margins were strong in the quarter, but Motor Oil’s margins were as high as the record levels of a year earlier. The extraordinary contribution from the naphtha complex was the prime reason. Petrol/naphtha differentials in the third quarter averaged USD 295/tonne, or about USD 35/bbl. In the five years prior to 2022, this averaged at just USD 6.8/bbl. A weak petrochemicals...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MOH GA; OPAP GA; FOYRK GA; PGE PW; TEN PW; WPL PW; HU Macr...

HEADLINES: • Motor Oil Hellas: 3Q23 results - stronger than expectations • OPAP: 3Q23 results and FY23 guidance slightly below expectations NEGATIVE • Fourlis: 3Q23 review - slightly weaker quarter, on soft Intersport results NEGATIVE • PGE: 3Q23 results in line with preliminary figures • Ten Square Games: earnings call takeaways - no major surprises, no detailed targets for 2024E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 3Q23 earnings call POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB moves ahead wi...

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