GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call: Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In A Bear Market: Our picks are BSDE, TLKM, ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, JSMR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Well-Positioned For 1Q Results Season: Our April picks again beat the KLCI. May 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MYEG, Press Meta...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
The HSI and MSCI China rose 7.4% and 6.4% mom respectively in April, lifted by news of a stock connect scheme expansion and further easing of restrictions on property purchases in China. With the July Politburo likely to see further supportive policy rollout, we are adding beneficiaries of improving domestic consumption − CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou and Tencent − to our BUY list, and closing out our SELL calls.
In this report, we have summarised what we read from consumer companies’ 2023 results, the 2024 outlook and recent updates. We think companies: a) with overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) that have upside potential of improving operating efficiency, c) that will benefit from near-term catalysts (eg event-driven), and d) have increasing dividend payout will outperform. Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou are our most preferred stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
CR Beer reported 2023 net profit of Rmb5.2b (+19% yoy), beating consensus forecast by 1% and in line with our expectation. Sales volume of the sub-premium and above beer segment increased 19% yoy, with Heineken delivering a strong yoy growth of about 60%. CR Beer remains our top pick in the beer sector, given its competitive product mix, strong channel management and undemanding valuation. Maintain BUY and reduce target price slightly by 2% to HK65.50.
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: 2M24 data a mixed bag; property FAI remains a drag. Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$37.95/Target: HK$65.50): 2023: Results in line; ambitious premiumisation targets. Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK/HOLD/HK$6.21/Target: HK$6.10): 2023: Earnings slightly above profit warning; stimulus may give upside to 2024. Xtep (1368 HK/BUY/HK$4.54/Target: HK$7.00): 2023: Results miss; conservative outlook for 2024. INDONESIA ASEAN Gems Conference Highlights ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Economic Activity 2M24 data a mixed bag; property FAI remains a drag. Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$37.95/Target: HK$65.50) 2023: Results in line; ambitious premiumisation targets. Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK/HOLD/HK$6.21/Target: HK$6.10) 2023: Earnings slightly above profit warning; stimulus may give upside to 2024. Xtep (1368 HK/BUY/HK$4.54/Target: HK$7.00) 2023: Results miss; conservative outlook for 2024. TRADERS’ CORNER Alibaba Health Information...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
The HSI and MSCI China rose 6.6% and 8.2% mom respectively in Feb 24, mainly contributed by heavy-weighted IT and consumer discretionary stocks amid strongerthan- expected policy easing, which led to improved market sentiment. We expect sentiment to remain positive in March, as further macro supportive measures should be unveiled during the Two Sessions. We are adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list and closing out the SELL ideas.
The independent financial analyst theScreener just awarded an improved star rating to CHINA RESOURCES BEER HOLDINGS (HK), active in the Food Retailers & Wholesalers industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title receives an improved star rating and now shows 2 out of 4 possible stars. With regard to its market behaviour, it remains unchanged and can be qualified as moderately risky. theScreener considers that these elements allow slightly upgrading its rating to Neutral. As of the ana...
A director at China Resources Beer Holdings Co Ltd bought 50,000 shares at 39.350HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the...
We are lowering our fair value estimate for no-moat China Resources Beer to HKD 23 per share from HKD 25, after taking account into worse-than-expected 2018 net profitsthat were dragged by two nonrecurring provisions for production capacity optimization and for the new employment annuity plan. Management expects the company’s profitability will be improved from the factory consolidation in the long term. However, we don’t expect to see a meaningful positive impact over the next five years. W...
We are lowering our fair value estimate for no-moat China Resources Beer to HKD 23 per share from HKD 25, after taking account into worse-than-expected 2018 net profitsthat were dragged by two nonrecurring provisions for production capacity optimization and for the new employment annuity plan. Management expects the company’s profitability will be improved from the factory consolidation in the long term. However, we don’t expect to see a meaningful positive impact over the next five years. W...
We are lowering our fair value estimate for no-moat China Resources Beer to HKD 23 per share from HKD 25, after taking account into worse-than-expected 2018 net profitsthat were dragged by two nonrecurring provisions for production capacity optimization and for the new employment annuity plan. Management expects the company’s profitability will be improved from the factory consolidation in the long term. However, we don’t expect to see a meaningful positive impact over the next five years. W...
We are lowering our fair value estimate for no-moat China Resources Beer to HKD 23 per share from HKD 25, after taking account into worse-than-expected 2018 net profitsthat were dragged by two nonrecurring provisions for production capacity optimization and for the new employment annuity plan. Management expects the company’s profitability will be improved from the factory consolidation in the long term. However, we don’t expect to see a meaningful positive impact over the next five years. W...
China Resources Beer, formerly known as China Resources Enterprise, disposed all of its nonbeer businesses in September 2015 to become a pure beer player. Through a series of merger and acquisition activities, the company retains its leadership position in China’s beer industry, with market share by sales volume expanding from 18% in 2008 to 27% in 2017, versus 18.1% for Tsingtao, 15.9% for ABI China, and 10.3% for Yanjing. Like its rivals, CR Beer enjoyed prolonged growth of sales volume and ...
We lower our 2018 full-year earnings forecast for no-moat China Resources Beer, or CRB, by 7% to CNY 1.94 billion to reflect the weaker beer consumption demand in the second half due to slowing economic growth. However, our fair value estimate is unchanged at HKD 25 per share, as our five-year profit growth CAGR remains at 27% driven by its collaboration with Heineken. By leveraging CRB’s strong nationwide distribution network, we expect to see a meaningful contribution from the Heineken brand...
We lower our 2018 full-year earnings forecast for no-moat China Resources Beer, or CRB, by 7% to CNY 1.94 billion to reflect the weaker beer consumption demand in the second half due to slowing economic growth. However, our fair value estimate is unchanged at HKD 25 per share, as our five-year profit growth CAGR remains at 27% driven by its collaboration with Heineken. By leveraging CRB’s strong nationwide distribution network, we expect to see a meaningful contribution from the Heineken brand...
We lower our 2018 full-year earnings forecast for no-moat China Resources Beer, or CRB, by 7% to CNY 1.94 billion to reflect the weaker beer consumption demand in the second half due to slowing economic growth. However, our fair value estimate is unchanged at HKD 25 per share, as our five-year profit growth CAGR remains at 27% driven by its collaboration with Heineken. By leveraging CRB’s strong nationwide distribution network, we expect to see a meaningful contribution from the Heineken brand...
We lower our 2018 full-year earnings forecast for no-moat China Resources Beer, or CRB, by 7% to CNY 1.94 billion to reflect the weaker beer consumption demand in the second half due to slowing economic growth. However, our fair value estimate is unchanged at HKD 25 per share, as our five-year profit growth CAGR remains at 27% driven by its collaboration with Heineken. By leveraging CRB’s strong nationwide distribution network, we expect to see a meaningful contribution from the Heineken brand...
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