A director at China Resources Beer Holdings Co Ltd sold 300,000 shares at 27.430HKD and the significance rating of the trade was 93/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the ...
During the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May), Macau's visitor arrivals significantly beat the government's expectation. Retail and catering sales showed a modest improvement in terms of yoy growth compared with the Chinese New Year holiday, while home appliance sales continued to benefit from the trade-in programme, with premium products demonstrating robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China consumer sector. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Market watch around May holiday: New-home sales recovery weakens in Apr 25; the trend of Hong Kong resident travelling north remains strong. Sector Consumer Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sales during Labour Day Holiday. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target:...
The HSI and MSCI China index fell 4.3% mom and 5.2% mom respectively in April, driven by Trump’s tariff announcements in early-April and fears of a potential global recession. Due to the ongoing external uncertainties, we will maintain our exposure to domestic policy beneficiaries and defensive sectors. New additions to our BUY list are Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, and Trip.com, and we take profit of CR Land and JBM Healthcare.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
The Politburo meeting held on 25 April emphasised a more detailed focus on improving incomes and boosting service consumption. In the China consumer sector, we prefer companies that: a) demonstrate strong cost control capabilities and are able to enhance operational efficiencies; and b) focus primarily on the domestic market, given the ongoing uncertainties related to the US tariffs. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
The HSI and MSCI China index rose 0.8% mom and 2.0% mom respectively in March, after the DeepSeek fervour passed and investors locked in profits ahead of Trump’s tariff announcement in early-April. In the face of geopolitical uncertainties and potential trade war escalations, we will keep our exposure to companies reliant on domestic demand and beneficiaries of policy support. New additions to our BUY list are CR Beer, Desay SV, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp.
2024 results missed forecasts. However, CR Beer’s ytd performance and management’s tone for 2025 seem positive. With the ongoing consumption recovery, especially in the restaurant channel, a potentially better peak season, a much heathier inventory level and innovative products and partnerships, management expects a single-digit beer volume growth in 2025, with profit expanding much faster than revenue. Dividend payout could increase in 2025. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$39.90.
GREATER CHINA Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$28.50/Target: HK$39.90): 2024: Results miss; a strong start and positive outlook for 2025. KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$67.20/Target: HK$80.00): 4Q24: Solid top-line beat; earnings miss; expecting stabilised outlook in 2025. WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$72.35/Target: HK$90.00): 2024: Results satisfactory; targets continued operations for accelerated revenue growth of 10-15% yoy in 2025. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$57.65/Target: HK$63.90...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$28.50/Target: HK$39.90) 2024 results missed forecasts. However, CR Beer’s ytd performance and management’s tone for 2025 seem positive. With the ongoing consumption recovery, especially in the restaurant channel, a potentially better peak season, a much heathier inventory level and innovative products and partnerships, management expects a single-digit beer volume growth in 2025, with profit expanding much faster than revenue. Dividend...
Consumption during the CNY demonstrated a satisfactory momentum. Daily average sales revenue of consumer-related industries grew 11% yoy, with the home appliances and furnishing category recording the highest growth rate. Domestic tourism per capita spending increased 1% yoy and recovered to 95% of 2019’s level, and Hainan DF per capita spending rose 4% yoy. Macau visitations recovered to 95% of 2019’s level. In the China consumer space, we prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands Ch...
We do not expect a strong consumption momentum for the upcoming CNY holiday, but expect home appliance, Macau gaming, movie and retail to be the bright spots. We prefer Anta, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Sands in China’s consumer space.
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
For Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, tourism, duty-free shopping and home appliance consumption were the bright spots. Domestic tourism and duty-free shopping had the strongest recovery among mini breaks this year. For the home appliance sector, trade-in policies are beginning to stimulate consumer demand. We prefer companies that: a) are disciplined in business operation; b) have good prospects in overseas business; and c) maintain healthy inventories. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea...
After the 2Q24/1H24 results, we are now more cautious on China’s consumer sector. For consumer discretionary, domestic operations were impacted by weak offline traffic. Companies remained concrete on overseas expansion and became more disciplined on cost control to protect the margin level amid the slower top-line growth. For consumer staple, we observed slower product mix upgrade. Companies adopted proactive shipment control to manage channel inventories. Operating efficiency improvement became...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound by 14.7% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. Consumer 2Q24/1H24 results wrap-up: Lowered expectations; disciplined operations matter. INDONESIA Update Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ/BUY/Rp680/Target: Rp900) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
CR Beer’s 1H24 beer sales volume dropped 3% yoy with sales volume of the subpremium beer segment and above recording a single-digit rise. Management has cut its full-year beer sales volume guidance to low single-digit decline (vs a slight positive growth previously), and net profit expectation to positive growth (vs double-digit growth previously). Although management has reiterated the premiumisation strategy, the pace should slow down going forward. Maintain BUY but cut target price by 23% to ...
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