ESG Assessment Of Sector ESG is gaining global prominence as stakeholders integrate it into their business models and risk frameworks. More recently listed healthcare companies will need to dedicate themselves to and embrace sustainability more holistically, which will increasingly impact their ESG reputation and success in the longer term. Duopharma, IHH and KPJ are ESG standouts in the healthcare sector, based on our study. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply New credit jumps in June, but annual credit growth edges lower. Trade June data above expectations. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Maintain BUY on Crystal for its strong order growth momentum in 1H25; long-term wallet share gains intact. In...
Upgrade Premised On Earnings Momentum And Diminished Policy Risk We upgrade the healthcare sector to OVERWEIGHT. Sector earnings are highly defensive yet attractive at 15.1% against a backdrop of diminishing policy risk. The sector is also supported by structural positives, robust rollouts and resilient domesticated demand. KPJ and Duopharma stand out as top picks, driven by the former’s multitude of levers to drive robust earnings growth and Duopharma's expected cost-led recovery in 2025.
A director at IHH Healthcare Bhd sold 1,000,300 shares at 6.901MYR and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
1Q25: Decent Performance Despite Ramadan Effect Within expectations. IHH Healthcare (IHH) posted a 1Q25 core profit of RM425m (34.1% qoq, 5.5% yoy). This is within our and consensus expectations, accounting for 22% of both our and consensus forecasts respectively. One-offs amounted to RM89m for the quarter, which is primarily attributed to the monetary gain from hyperinflationary economy (RM103m). The absence of Ramadan effects coupled with the completion of Mount Elizabeth Hospital should shore...
4Q24: Earnings Sidelined By Spike In Tax Rate Below expectations. IHH Healthcare (IHH) posted a 4Q24 core profit of RM317m (-40% qoq, +19% yoy), bringing 2024 core profit to RM1,685m (+31.6%). This is below both our and consensus expectations, accounting for 91% and 87% of our and consensus forecasts respectively. One-offs amounted to RM434m for the quarter, which is primarily attributed to the change in fair value of properties (RM239m) and monetary gain from hyperinflationary economy (RM166). ...
Raising Its Claim Against Daiichi Sankyo Raising the stakes. IHH Healthcare's (IHH) subsidiary, Northern TK Venture (NTK), has increased its legal claim against Daiichi Sankyo (Daiichi) in the Tokyo District Court. Initially seeking ¥20b (RM634m) in damages back in Nov 23, NTK has now raised its claim to ¥199.8b (RM5.7b) based on an expert report. The claim is linked to NTK’s blocked open offer for Fortis Healthcare. NTK may further amend its claim, including legal costs
Policy Overhang But Sector Offers Other Jewels Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the healthcare sector due to limited upside in the hospital segment, with forecasted earnings growth at 7.6% amid elevated valuations. Despite structural positives from IHH’s and KPJ's brownfield focus, these are balanced by policy overhang. Alpha IVF and Duopharma stand out as top picks, driven by Alpha IVF's regional expansion and Duopharma's expected cost-led recovery in 2025.
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI A strong rebound for non-manufacturing PMI. Sector Macau Gaming Dec 24 GGR below expectations; expect 2025 GGR to recover to 82% of 2019’s level. INDONESIA Update Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat (MIKA IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target: Rp3,300) Expect a double-digit earnings growth in 2025 MALAYSIA Sector Heal...
3Q24: Healthy Prognosis; IHH Delivers Robust Growth Above our but within consensus expectations. IHH Healthcare (IHH) posted a 3Q24 core profit of RM528m (20.8% qoq, 49.7% yoy), bringing 9M24 core profit to RM1,368m (+34.9%). This is above our but within consensus expectations, accounting for 83% and 72% of forecasts respectively. One-offs were minimal for the quarter at RM6m. The positive deviation is attributed to better-than-expected revenue and EBITDA margins.
Highly Visible And Attainable Growth Appears Priced In IHH’s ACE framework drives growth through three pillars: align, challenge and empower. It focuses on aligning operations with its mission, challenging the organisation to innovate and improve efficiencies, and empowering localised growth in each key market. Earnings growth appears decent but valuations do not appear attractive to other non-cyclical stocks. Maintain HOLD. Target price: RM6.95.
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply: Generally below market expectations. Trade: Trade surplus narrows on weaker exports growth. Strategy China Construction And Property: Key beneficiaries of improved local government finances and an enhanced destocking policy. Sector Logistics: The logistics sector may stand to benefit should China successfully bolster its domestic consumption through fiscal stimulus. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT with JDL as our top pick. Initiate Coverage JD Logistics Inc (2618 HK/B...
SPA For Island Hospital Acquisition of Island Hospital. IHH Healthcare (IHH) announced that it has entered into a share purchase agreement (SPA) with Comprehensive Care to acquire a 100% equity interest in Island Hospital for a total consideration of RM3,923.7m.
2Q24: Growth Across All Markets Above our but disappointed consensus expectations. IHH Healthcare (IHH) posted a 2Q24 core profit of RM437m (8.5% qoq, 38.7% yoy), bringing 1H24 core profit to RM840m (+27.1%). This is above our but below consensus expectations, accounting for 58% and 46% of forecasts respectively. One-offs amounted to RM551m, largely attributed to deferred tax credits (RM379m) and net monetary gain from hyperinflationary economies (Acibadem) (RM273m). The positive deviation is at...
Defensive Position Is Unappealing For Now Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the healthcare sector. Despite tepid inpatient volume growth, hospitals' positive operating leverage is expected to boost earnings by 12.4% and 10.9% in 2024-25 respectively, though current valuations are lofty at 32.5x PE. Alpha IVF, with its impressive regional expansion, and Duopharma, poised for recovery after a challenging 2023, present more alluring prospects. However, amid a risk-on environment, we TACTICALLY UNDERWEIGHT ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Plover Bay Technologies. Sector Automobile Weekly: Sales of top 12 EV brands up 38% wow last week, in line. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL and Tuopu. Top SELL: XPeng. INDONESIA Update Sarana Menara Nusantara (TOWR IJ/BUY/Rp745/Target: Rp890) Number of towers to jump 10% on a...
1Q24: Growth Across All Markets Largely within expectations. IHH Healthcare (IHH) posted a 1Q24 core profit of RM402.8m (51.7% qoq, 16.4% yoy). One-offs amounted to RM365m, largely attributed to deferred tax credits (RM293m) and net monetary gain from hyperinflationary economies (Acibadem) (RM146m). Core profit is within our and consensus expectations, with earnings accounting for 27% and 24% of full-year earnings respectively.
4Q23: Quiet End To The Year Within our expectations. IHH Healthcare (IHH) posted a 4Q23 core profit of RM266m (-24.8% qoq, -22.0% yoy). This brought 2023 core profit to RM1,279m (-7.4% yoy). One-offs amounted to RM1,673m, largely attributed to gain on disposal of subsidiaries (RM992m), RM704m of net monetary gain from hyperinflationary economies (Acibadem) and deferred tax credits (RM256m). Core profit is within our but below consensus expectations, with earnings accounting for 99% and 77% of fu...
Framework Outlines Future Growth IHH unravels its ACE framework to deliver medium-term growth. The primary pillar of growth will be organic growth through 33% bed additions over the next five years. Expansion across the healthcare continuum in mature markets and development of other emerging core segments will supplement growth as IHH seeks out inorganic opportunities and turns around underperforming assets. IHH’s prospects appear priced-in at this juncture. Maintain HOLD and target price of RM6...
GREATER CHINA Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$71.90/Target: HK$128.00): Confident about achieving full-year sales targets; positive tone for 2024. iFlytek (002230 CH/BUY/Rmb49.66/Target: Rmb62.00): Launch of iFlytek Spark V3.0 model and personalised AI assistants. INDONESIA Update AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,400/Target: Rp1,920): Upbeat guidance for 2024. MALAYSIA Sector Banking: The sector delivered a 3Q23 earnings growth of 14% yoy, but this was largely driven by lower tax expenses. M...
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