Xior explained that patching up the balance sheet takes priority over EPS growth. Despite rising debt costs, the EPRA EPS stabilised with new deliveries, strong lfl growth and some exceptionals. Thanks to a strong underlying market, Xior opts not to take low-ball bids for its large assets/projects. It also extended the bridge loan to 3Q24. Selling smaller non-core assets takes more time, but will eventually push the LTV% below 50%. The next 2 years will show slow EPS growth, but the LTV% decline...
A director at Xior Student Housing Nv bought 4,000 shares at 26.470EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 74/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...
1Q24 operating performance was strong. All attention was on disposals which accelerated to a cumulative total of €220m and are approaching the €340m initial ambition. The c.10% discount to FV on the sales was surprising but we think the size and speed of the disposals is more important and key in managing a still high LTV. The option of a JV now looks less likely, another positive sign of confidence about further disposals to come. Valuations are expected to stabilise for coming quarters. We con...
Deutz is a leading non-captive engine manufacturer for a wide range of customer industries with a strong and very well-known brand. The company will enter a profitable growth period soon (CAGR 2023-26e sales 8%, EPS 18%). We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 7.9, reflecting >40% upside from here. - ...
Deutz is a leading non-captive engine manufacturer for a wide range of customer industries with a strong and very well-known brand. The company will enter a profitable growth period soon (CAGR 2023-26e sales 8%, EPS 18%). We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 7.9, reflecting >40% upside from here. - ...
>Additional disposals of €110m in Q1 2024, all debt maturities until Q2 2025 extended/repaid, outlook reiterated - Of the €340m disposal program €220m is now fully sold/closed, of which €100m in funds are already received and the remaining €120m will be received in cash before 30-06-2024 (YE 2023: €66m fully sold/closed; €44m under agreement/ exclusivity). All loans have been refinanced for the coming 12 months, where the (expensive) bridge loan has now been rep...
Basic-Fit: 1Q24 update in line, FY24 outlook in line with consensus at mid-point. bpost: Agreement on Flemish newspaper delivery; risk of provisions largely removed. Cofinimmo: Q1 results in line. Corbion: Tail wags the dog. IMCD: The last hurdle was a harsh clip. Proximus: Strong start to the year, guidance unchanged ahead of Digi arrival. Recticel: Kingspan 1Q24 trading update. Signify: 1Q24 results; revenue decline accelerates. Umicore: Confirms FY 2024 EBITDA guidance range. ...
Xior 1Q24 EPRA EPS came far above our expectations at EUR 0.52 vs. 0.42 expected, thanks to a mix of factors: new assets + lfl growth, rental guarantees, cost savings and permitted hedging results. All these factors combined compensated the cost of debt increase to 3.18% (+88bps, bridge loan). The LTV came slightly below our expectation at 52.4% vs. 52.7% exp. The asset sale disposals advance with 100m closed and 220m committed, but Xior abandoned the route of a JV deal. The large asset sales l...
LfL rental growth continues to accelerate and is now at 6.9% YoY, with occupancy remaining stable at 98%.Portfolio value stood at EUR 3.2bn, with -0.25% revaluation vs December end.Divestments – committed divestments increased to EUR 220m from EUR 110m. The closing is anticipated at the end of June 2024. The sales were committed at a 10% discount on average. To date, the company completed EUR 100m of disposals (funds received). LTV stable at 52.4%, with cost of debt rising to 3.18% (+49bps).Xior...
This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the break-out sessions. In total 23 companies presented in group meetings and/or break-out sessions. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue and some more followed virtual meetings. Physical attendance is clearly on the rise after the COVID disruption. Investing remains a people's business. The 4 break-out sessions made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Tuesday morning concentrate...
Xior share price reflects 2022 and 2023 problems, which included a share overhang, high leverage and muted EPS growth prospects, as a result of its efforts to reduce its high leverage. We see all of these issues being solved in 2024, while it is the only stock providing access to the booming continental European student housing segment. We expect Xior’s total shareholder returns to return to similar levels to other high-growth stocks within our coverage as of 2024, while Xior tra...
We update our estimates with the FY results, and we roll over our model by one year. We confirm our BUY rating and lower our target price from €36.5 to €35.5 on the back of our reduced EPRA EPS estimates (by -2.2% in FY24 and -5.6% for FY25). LTV is high but we think that news on disposals or the announcement of a JV will contribute to the re-rating on the stock. 2023 was slow when it comes to transactions, but we expect that 2024 might surprise for the very healthy student housing niche market.
This conference book is your guide to the KBCS Real Assets Conference 2024. It offers a program, an intro to the break-out sessions and company profiles with financial data and some useful info. The break-out sessions aim to educate and contemplate on certain trends. Last year we hosted “Energy as a business”. This year, we offer 4 break-outs on hot topics.
We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
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