Geopolitical risk has resurfaced, but the nearterm impact on European listed real estate remains contained. Rising energydriven inflation and rates are driving greater dispersion and sharpening the focus on balancesheet quality, while MIPIM 2026 highlighted a pragmatic investor approach. In this report, we adjust target prices and refresh our top picks, removing CTP and adding Irish Residential REIT. Geopolitics and energy: duration matters more than headlines
Xior reported solid operational FY25 results. We remain very supportive of the excellent organic trends: LFL rental growth of +5.4% over FY25, which is expected to reach a minimum of +4% over 2026-27F, still outperforming the broader real estate space. The 4% EPS growth guidance for 2026 and 2027 is strong and we think this is a realistic expectation. LTV is at 49.9% and this limits growth options. Over the next two years the group focus will be on rental growth, operational leverage and the exe...
Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed
On 11/12/25, Xior already gave a heads up on the FY26 expected EPRA EPS of €2.30 and 4% growth yoy. This morning, Xior also issued a FY27e EPRA EPS of €2.40. Xior has stabilised its business and enjoys better visibility. The reported EPRA EPS25 of €2.21 came in line with their guidance and our €2.22 expectation. Xior NRI rose 7.2%, while like-for-like growth remained high at 5.43%. LTV% also fell below 50% at 49.7%. Xior expects growth thanks to a mix of factors: new assets + lfl growth of >4%...
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