GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
We are still positive on CPF’s earnings momentum for 1Q25. The key drivers will be from strong domestic and Vietnam livestock prices. However, it will be partially offset by a fluctuation in China swine prices. There are some positive developments on the company’s plan to spin-off its Vietnam business as authorities plan to resume the overall IPO process in the Vietnam stock market. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt31.00.
Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.90/Target: Bt35.00) 4Q24: Net income misses expectations but still robust yoy and qoq. AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.70/Target: Bt11.30) 4Q24: Earnings in line; aggressive strategy for 2025. Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB/BUY/Bt183.50/Target: Bt232.00) 4Q24: Strong 4Q24 earnings attributable to tax benefit. Hana Microelectronics (HANA TB/HOLD/Bt20.10/Target: Bt22.00) 4Q24: Net loss from high impairment. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt19.30/Target: Bt30.00)...
We expect CPF to report unexciting 4Q24 core earnings of Bt3.8b, down 38% qoq following softer ASPs. However, we are still positive on CPF’s 2025 earnings outlook. The key drivers in 2025 will come from strong Vietnamese swine prices and lower raw material costs. The company will also benefit from the divestment of loss-making companies in 2024. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt31.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...
A director at Charoen Pokphand Foods Plc bought 50,000 shares at 24.100THB and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...
CPF reported 3Q24 core profit of Bt6.1b, up 12.3% qoq. 3Q24 results were 7% higher than our expectation, but 9% below consensus estimate. The key drivers of 3Q24 profit were higher share of profits, especially from the China swine business. We expect 4Q24 earnings to decline qoq due to lower ASPs of China swine; however, 4Q24 earnings are expected to remain high at Bt5.5b. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt31.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.50/Target: Bt35.00) 3Q24: Net income missed expectations but still skyrocketed yoy and qoq. Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB/BUY/Bt16.10/Target: Bt20.00) 3Q24: Mild growth. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt60.00/Target: Bt84.00) 3Q24: Results in line; well-positioned to close 2024 with a new record high. Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/SELL/Bt33.00/Target: Bt47.00) 3Q24: Better-than-expect...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales dip wow while PEV market share increases. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao Glass and Desay SV. Results Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK/BUY/HK$4.04/Target: HK$5.00): 1HFY25: Results in line; expect strong earnings growth momentum in FY25-26. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$13.90/Target: HK$23.00): 3Q24: Core earnings up 81% yoy and 29% qoq, beating estimates. Maintain BUY. Raise target price from HK$21.50 to HK$23.00. J...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Charoen Pokphand Foods (CPF TB/BUY/Bt25.00/Target: Bt31.00) Less exciting qoq earnings momentum. Asian Gems Corporate Highlights Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt157.50/Target: Bt190.00) "3+1" strategy aims for double-digit ROE by 2026.
We expect CPF to report 3Q24 core profit of Bt5,725m, up 5% qoq vs a core loss of Bt3.8b in 3Q23. The key drivers were the better China swine business and domestic swine business. We revised up our 2024-25 profit forecasts to reflect the strong profitability level. We foresee less exciting qoq earnings momentum, but expect a 15- 20% consensus earnings upside. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt31.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 4.8% yoy, missing estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,850/Target: Rp12,000) Strong loan growth continues; asset quality remains solid. MALAYSIA Update SD Guthrie (SDG MK/HOLD/RM4.88/Target: RM4.75) Plantatio...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We expect an improving operating performance among selected companies in September, and add AIA, COLI, Desay SV, Galaxy Entertainment, Meituan, Ping An and TUL to our BUY list and add Li Auto as a SELL. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Trailing The JCI’s Strong Performance In Aug 24: Our picks are ICBP, TOWR, BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Adapting To A Bipolar Market: Our Al...
CPF reported core earnings of Bt5.5b for 2Q24, up from a core loss in 2Q23 and a breakeven in 1Q24, driven by strong gross profit margin and a higher share of profit. Looking forward, we are still positive on 2H24 earnings momentum given a recovery in domestic swine prices and the ASF outbreak in China. We also expect an upward revision in consensus earnings forecast. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt30.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Uncertainties Arise as Court Removes PM from Office The court’s verdict raises concerns for the equities market and sector regarding policy continuity and economic stimulus, especially commerce. Results Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/SELL/Bt32.75/Target: Bt46.00) 2Q24: Weaker-than-expected results. CH Karnchang PCL (CK TB/BUY/Bt18.00/Target: Bt26.50) 2Q24: In line with expectations; expect volatility from polit...
GREATER CHINA Results Nexteer (1316 HK/SELL/HK$2.89/Target: HK$1.50) 1H24: Earnings miss estimates on revenue. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from HK$2.20 to HK$1.50. Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$373.80/Target: HK$490.00) 2Q24: Solid margin expansion; reaccelerated online games revenue growth. Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb21.38/Target: Rmb30.00) AI business continues to accelerate, GB200 scheduled to ship i...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Jul 24: Our picks are BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Raising The M&A And Monetisation Bets: Our Alpha Picks marginally beat the KLCI. Jul 24 picks: Ekovest, Gamu...
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity 2Q24 growth below expectations. Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Sharper property price decline in 1H24 weighing on margins of Chinese developers; upcoming interest rate cut to support value of Hong Kong retail landlords. Update Kingmed Diagnostics (603882 CH/BUY/Rmb38.10/Target: Rmb35.00) 1H24 and 2024 results under pressu...
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