reports
- Emmanuel Matot
- Marc Lavaud
- Michael B. Schäfer
- Marc Lavaud
- Michael B. Schäfer
- Michael B. Schäfer
BASF : Feedback from mgmt. dinner - good October volumes, primarily in...
>Make or break € 8bn 2024 EBITDA guidance? 'Tight race', says mgmt; consensus already cautious at € 7.86bn, good 'Verbund' volume trends seen continuing in October - BASF hosted a sell-side/investors dinner with the executive board. BASF’s management confirmed a 'tight race' to make/break its FY 24 guidance, while the good volume trends seen primarily in the core 'Verbund' (Q3 24 +6.8% y-o-y vs 4.9% at group level) continued in October. The CEO indicated that this is ...
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/10/2024
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
ADS ADIDAS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
AENA AENA SME SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
GSK GSK PLC
FER FERROVIAL SA
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/30/2024
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
ADS ADIDAS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
AENA AENA SME SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
GSK GSK PLC
FER FERROVIAL SA
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Michael B. Schäfer
BASF : Q3 EBITDA 3% below cons on weaker Ag but +4% vs cons at 'Verbun...
>Group volumes gain 4.9% y-o-y in Q3 (Q2 24: +1%), +7% at Verbund - Flat group sales in Q3 24 were primarily due to a -2.2% y-o-y drop in prices (Q2 24: -6%) while volumes gained by a good 4.9% (Q2: +1%), +7% y-o-y looking just at Verbund volumes. Group pricing works out as 'slightly positive' excluding precious/base metals.Group EBITDA bsi of €1,622m 3% below consensus of €1,672m on much weaker Ag, +4% above cons at Verbund - EBITDA bsi of €1,622m in...
- Alfonso Mariategui
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 30 0CTUBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, ENCE, ENDESA, FERROVIAL, GREENING, INDRA, METROVACESA, PUIG BRANDS, REDEIA, UNICAJA. EUROPA: BASF, KERING, SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC, VOLKSWAGEN. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El mercado al son de los beneficios empresariales ...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TLGO TALGO SA
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
VOS VOSSLOH AG
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
BAS BASF SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TLGO TALGO SA
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
VOS VOSSLOH AG
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
- Michael B. Schäfer
BASF : CMD review – bringing Sum-of-the-parts back to life. Focus on “...
>Largely volume/ramp-up driven growth baked into 2028-targets - BASF presented its 2028 targets at last week’s CMD, looking for gradual growth to € 10-12bn EBITDA bsi out to 2028 (ODDO BHF: € 10.6bn) from € 7.67bn reported in 2023 and € 9.11bn on average in 2019-23. € 3.3bn EBITDA bsi build-up at mid-point is largely (c. 2/3) driven by volume recovery including ramp-up of its new Chinese Verbund site in Zhanjiang towards reiterated 2030-EBITDA targets of € 1.0-1.2bn ...
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/26/2024
‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In the U...
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
SW SODEXO SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
COLR ETABLISSEMENTEN FRANZ COLRUYT N.V.
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
FII LISI SA
NXT NEXT PLC
BAS BASF SE
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
LDO LEONARDO SPA
SIE SIEMENS AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
HAG HENSOLDT AG
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
AM DASSAULT AVIATION
SHEL SHELL PLC
LAT LATECOERE
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 26/09/2024
“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffrent ma...
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
ORA ORANGE SA
HO THALES SA
SW SODEXO SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
COLR ETABLISSEMENTEN FRANZ COLRUYT N.V.
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
FII LISI SA
NXT NEXT PLC
BAS BASF SE
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
LDO LEONARDO SPA
SIE SIEMENS AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
HAG HENSOLDT AG
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
AM DASSAULT AVIATION
SHEL SHELL PLC
LAT LATECOERE
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
- Michael B. Schäfer
BASF : CMD headlines:€ 2.25/shr (5% yield) minimum div., € 4bn SBB, € ...
>2025-2028: dividend at least € 2.25/share + SBB = € 12bn - The CMD starts today at 12.30 p.m. BASF is targeting total shareholder returns of € 12bn for 2025-2028, including at least € 2.25/share (€ 8bn), a 5% yield at current trading, and around € 4bn in SBB. The dividend compares to € 3.40/share paid out in 2024 for 2023 and dividend futures trading at € 2.64, saving € 1bn in dividends in the coming years.Capex “well below D&A” from 2026 onwards - T...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 26 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ECOENER, GREENING, GRIFOLS, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BASF, UNICREDIT. Freno al optimismo en bolsa Jornada negativa en Europa después de las ganancias de las últimas sesiones que habían lanzado al Ibex por encima de los 11.800 puntos y máximos de 2015. Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y Hogar frente a Energía y Autos que sufrieron las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en EE.UU. la venta de viviendas nuevas cayó menos de lo prev...
- Michael B. Schäfer
- Michael B. Schäfer
- Michael B. Schäfer
BASF : CMD preview – Rightsizing Europe? What’s core? Shareholder retu...
>Rightsizing Europe, focus on “Verbund”, Bridge to 17% EBITDA margin target? - BASF will host its CMD on 26-27 September 2024. We expect more granularity and details to what was presented back in December 2023 when former CEO Martin Brudermüller and his executive team already pointed towards a more focused chemicals company, leveraging its integrated “Verbund” structure. Chemicals, Materials, Industrial Solutions and Nutrition&Care represent the backbone of the Verbun...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 19 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BASF, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, UNICREDIT. Finalmente la Fed se decanta por los 50 puntos de recorte Sesión de transición con leves caídas en las bolsas europeas, que cortó la racha alcista en el Ibex que le llevó a renovar máximos de 2015. Así, en el STOXX 600 tan sólo Autos y Energía esquivaron las caídas que estuvieron lideradas por Media, Alimentación y B. de Consumo. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la inflación mensual...
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