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Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Olympic Games and Euro 2024: a limited economic impact but an o...

In the run-up to the 2024 Summer Olympic Games and Euro 2024 football tournament, we have identified six stocks to favour: JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and easyJet. While these two major sporting events are not expected to have a significant impact on the host economies in the medium term, the microeconomic and sectoral impacts should be more marked. The tourism, transport, beverages and consumer goods sectors are expected to be the main winners. Som...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Jeux Olympiques et Euro 2024 : un impact économique limité mais...

En amont des Jeux Olympiques d’été et de l’Euro de football 2024, nous identifions 6 valeurs à privilégier  : JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield et easyJet. Alors que ces deux évènements sportifs majeurs ne devraient pas avoir d’impact significatif sur les économies hôtes à moyen terme, les impacts microéconomiques et sectoriels devraient être plus marqués. Les secteurs du tourisme, des transports, des boissons et des biens de consommation devraient être l...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/16/2024

Lufthansa: profit warning issued due to impact of strikes S&P downgrades Kering one notch to A-/stable Vallourec: new USD issue to refinance its EUR bond maturing in 2026>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 16/04/2024

Kering : S&P a dégradé le rating d’un cran à A-/stable Lufthansa : profit warning lancé en raison de l’impact des grèvesVallourec : nouvelle émission en USD pour refinancer son obligation en EUR à échéance 2026>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 04/12/2024

IMA: successful bond issueKantar: satisfactory operating results in 2023, no change in trends in 2024>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 12/04/2024

IMA : succès de l’émission obligataireKantar : résultats opérationnels satisfaisants en 2023, pas de rupture en 2024>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 03/21/2024

RBI : postponement of AT1 issue and PNC24 tender offer Altice France: steep customer losses in Q4, subdued outlook for 2024, willingness to de-leverage through creditors’ participation to discounted buyback/exchange offers>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 21/03/2024

RBI : postpone de l’émission AT1 et de l’offre de rachat de la PNC24 Altice France : importantes pertes de clients au T4, perspectives 2024 moroses, volonté de réduire le levier en demandant la participation des créanciers à des offres de rachat/d’échange décotées>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 08/03/2024

Telecom Italia : plan 2024-26 ambitieux mais manque de clarté sur les métriques 2026Téléperformance : The Q4 23 call was a mixed bag, but we fear the investor base (equity and credit) is not convincedHelloFresh : profit warning>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 03/08/2024

Telecom Italia: ambitious 2024-26 plan but lack of clarity on the 2026 metricsTeleperformance: the Q4 23 call was a mixed bag, but we fear the investor base (equity and credit) is not convincedHelloFresh: profit warning>...

Salome Charamalet ... (+2)
  • Salome Charamalet
  • Stefano Toffano

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/07/2024

We are initiating coverage of Lonza with a target price of CHF 535 and an Outperform rating. As one of the world's leading contract development and manufacturing organisations (CDMO), Lonza is predestined to benefit from the sustainable drivers of this industry. The group's global presence and strong market positions in the growth areas of biologics and cell and gene therapy (CGT) will fuel double-digit sales growth and >30% EBITDA margins in the medium term. Despite significant growt...

Salome Charamalet ... (+2)
  • Salome Charamalet
  • Stefano Toffano

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 07/03/2024

We are initiating coverage of Lonza with a target price of CHF 535 and an Outperform rating. As one of the world's leading contract development and manufacturing organisations (CDMO), Lonza is predestined to benefit from the sustainable drivers of this industry. The group's global presence and strong market positions in the growth areas of biologics and cell and gene therapy (CGT) will fuel double-digit sales growth and >30% EBITDA margins in the medium term. Despite significant growt...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Lufthansa : Strong FY 2023, guidance over FY 2024 pretty much in line ...

>Better-than-expected FCF performance - Lufthansa has just reported strong FY 2023 earnings pretty much in line with consensus forecasts in terms of adjusted EBITA but well above in terms of adjusted FCF. Adjusted EBIT was € 2,682m (ODDO BHF: € 2,676m, company-compiled consensus: € 2,697m), pretty much in line with consensus expectations. Revenues were up 15% to € 35,442m (versus the company-compiled consensus at € 36,279m) mostly generated by network with a 22.2% in...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Lufthansa : Strong FY 2023, guidance over FY 2024 pretty much in line ...

>Better-than-expected FCF performance - Lufthansa has just reported strong FY 2023 earnings pretty much in line with consensus forecasts in terms of adjusted EBITA but well above in terms of adjusted FCF. Adjusted EBIT was € 2,682m (ODDO BHF: € 2,676m, company-compiled consensus: € 2,697m), pretty much in line with consensus expectations. Revenues were up 15% to € 35,442m (versus the company-compiled consensus at € 36,279m) mostly generated by network with a 22.2% in...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 23/02/2024

Auchan/ELO : La famille Mulliez en soutien après une année 2023 difficileFnac Darty : Levier préservé en 2023 et la surprise Daniel Kretinsky à 29,9% du capital juste sous le seuil d’OPAArdagh : T4 globalement en ligne avec les attentes ; perspectives 2024 peu réjouissantes>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 02/23/2024

Auchan/ELO: The Mulliez family provides support after a difficult FY 2023. Fnac Darty: leverage lowered in 2023 and surprising Daniel Kretinsky 29.9% stake just below takeover threshold>...

Mateo Salcedo
  • Mateo Salcedo

Air France-KLM : Sales up but margins down: focus on unit costs evolut...

We still see some investment opportunities in the European airline sector despite the strong rally experienced at the end of last year. While we see some pressures in operating margins over 2024, fundamentals remain solid. Our top pick is Lufthansa, notably the hybrid bond, as we expect it to continue posting positive cash generation and maintaining a very low net leverage. Finnair’s EUR 2025 is also a strong conviction for us after the rebound in profitability and the capital in...

Mateo Salcedo
  • Mateo Salcedo

Air France-KLM : Sales up but margins down: focus on unit costs evolut...

We still see some investment opportunities in the European airline sector despite the strong rally experienced at the end of last year. While we see some pressures in operating margins over 2024, fundamentals remain solid. Our top pick is Lufthansa, notably the hybrid bond, as we expect it to continue posting positive cash generation and maintaining a very low net leverage. Finnair’s EUR 2025 is also a strong conviction for us after the rebound in profitability and the capital in...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long /Short low-cost carriers vs majors to play the more favour...

At the start of 2024, we are playing low-cost carriers over majors. We think that capacity momentum will remain more favourable on intra-European routes than on long-haul routes, which will lead to a more positive pricing trend for LCCs with greater operating leverage. We are therefore downgrading our recommendation on IAG to Neutral (from Outperform), with a target price of € 2 (vs € 2.3), Lufthansa to Neutral (from Outperform), with a target price of € 8.5 (vs € 10.5) and lastl...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long /Short compagnies Low-cost vs majors pour privilégier l’en...

En ce début d’année 2024, nous privilégions les compagnies low-cost face aux majors. Nous estimons que la dynamique capacitaire restera plus favorable sur l’intra-européen que sur les routes long-courrier, ce qui permettra une évolution plus positive du pricing pour les LCC avec un levier opérationnel plus important. Nous dégradons par conséquent IAG en Neutre (vs Surperformance) avec un OC de 2 € (vs 2.3 €), Lufthansa en Neutre (vs Surperformance) avec un OC de 8.5 € (vs 10.5 €)...

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