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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/07/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK52 per share: About to commence drilling in EG – The drilling rig has arrived in EG. The drilling campaign is about to commence. It will include two development wells plus an exploration well at the high impact Akeng Deep prospect. Serica Energy (SQZ LN)C: target price of £2.90 per share: RBL redetermination – Reflecting the increased reserves, the borrowing base has been increased from US$...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 05 JULY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, REPSOL. The market continues to recover There were moderate gains on European stock markets, which continued the rally started on Wednesday. In the STOXX 600, Banks and Energy led the gains, while Real Estate and Utilities were the worst-performing sectors. On the macro side, in Germany May’s industrial orders shrank unexpectedly for the fifth straight month. In the euro zone, June’s construction PMI fell to a low since Feb’24. The ECB released its meeting minutes, showi...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 05 JULIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, REPSOL. Prosigue la recuperación del mercado Subidas moderadas en las bolsas Europeas que continuaron con el rebote del miércoles. En el STOXX 600 lideraron las revalorizaciones Bancos y Energía (nuevas subidas del Brent) mientras que Inmobiliario seguido por Utilities fueron los peores sectoriales. Por el lado macro, en Alemania los pedidos industriales de mayo se contrajeron inesperadamente por quinto mes consecutivo. En la Eurozona el P...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 07/04/2024

Sartorius is set to outperform the underlying biopharmaceutical market based on higher exposure to novel biologics and its focus on single-use components. Destocking is likely to end soon but the changing ordering pattern could distort order intake as KPI and organic growth should recover faster. In our view, the expected cut to its FY 2024 guidance is already largely reflected in the share price. Based on the expected turnaround, we have upgraded to Outperform with a new target price...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 04/07/2024

Sartorius is set to outperform the underlying biopharmaceutical market based on higher exposure to novel biologics and its focus on single-use components. Destocking is likely to end soon but the changing ordering pattern could distort order intake as KPI and organic growth should recover faster. In our view, the expected cut to its FY 2024 guidance is already largely reflected in the share price. Based on the expected turnaround, we have upgraded to Outperform with a new target price...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Trump / Biden: Drill Baby Drill vs IRA? Not such a clear-cut eq...

>Elections for the no.1 oil producer on 5 November - The first debate between Trump and Biden on CNN last week did not address the questions/challenges surrounding energy. At the end of this very unique year (almost half of the global population will go to, or has already been to, the ballot box), all eyes will be on the US elections (5 November 2024), a country that has become the world’s no.1 oil producer (production growth of 19% under the Biden mandate, see char...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+3)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Trump / Biden : Drill Baby Drill versus IRA ? Une équation pas ...

>Elections chez le premier producteur de pétrole le 5 novembre - Le premier débat entre Trump et Biden qui s’est déroulé sur CNN la semaine dernière n’a pas abordé les questions/ enjeux énergétiques. En cette fin d’année si particulière (près de la moitié de la population mondiale passera ou est passée par les urnes), les yeux seront rivés sur les élections américaines (5 novembre 2024) qui est devenu le premier producteur mondial de pétrole (croissance de la product...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 01 JULY (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: REPSOL. Caution ahead of French election It was a volatile week on European stock markets, where the political uncertainty in France continued to weight after a first round of legislative elections that leave LePen’s party as the winner with 33.2% of the votes. Thus, the French CAC fell -1.65% on the week, compared to the DAX’s gains (+0.80%). By sectors, in the STOXX 600 Banks and Energy had the biggest gains, with Retail and Household Goods falling the most. On the macro side, ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 01 JULIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: REPSOL. EUROPA: AIRBUS Cautela ante las elecciones francesas Semana de volatilidad en los índices europeos donde la incertidumbre política en Francia siguió pesando tras una primera vuelta de las elecciones legislativas que dejaron al partido de Le Pen como ganadora con 33,2% de los votos. Así, el CAC francés se dejó en la semana un -1,65% frente a las ganancias del Dax (+0,80%). Por sectores, en el STOXX 600 Bancos y Energía presentaron las mayores...

Airbus SE: Revised 2024 earnings guidance is credit negative

The announcement highlights operating challenges, as well as the complexity of the company's business model.

Alvaro del Pozo
  • Alvaro del Pozo

AIRBUS: PROFIT WARNING (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

AIR cae con fuerza tras la revisión a la baja de su guidance ante: (i) La degradación del entorno operativo y los problemas en la cadena de suministros (motores, estructuras y equipamiento de cabina),

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/06/2024

Peu de secteurs polarisent autant que le luxe automobile sportif. A la pointe de l’innovation technologique et artistique pour les uns, il est le reflet d’inégalités excessives pour les autres. Nous estimons que le secteur a un rôle prépondérant à jouer sur l’atténuation du changement climatique, mais aussi l’économie circulaire ou la transition juste. Considérant les impacts, risques et opportunités matériels, nous plaçons Ferrari en Best-in-Class ESG, Porsche en Neutre ESG, et Aston...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 06/25/2024

Few sectors are as polarising as luxury sports cars. At the cutting edge of technological and artistic innovation for some, they reflect excessive inequality for others. We believe the sector has a key role to play in climate change mitigation, as well as in the circular economy and just transition. Taking into account material impacts, risks and opportunities, we see Ferrari as ESG Best-in-Class, Porsche as ESG Neutral and Aston-Martin Lagonda as ESG Not Recommended. - ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Airbus Group : A welcome re-set

>Warning on FY 2024 results and production rate of 75 pushed back to 2027 - Airbus has revised down its targets for FY 2024, now anticipating the delivery of around 770 aircraft (vs around 800 previously), adjusted EBIT of € 5.5bn (vs a range of € 6.5bn to € 7bn previously) and adjusted FCF of c.€ 3.5bn (vs c.€ 4bn previously). The Visible Alpha consensus was forecasting 804 deliveries, adjusted EBIT of € 6,720m and FCF of € 4,306m (i.e. a delta of -4.2%, -18.2% and ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Airbus Group : Un re-set bienvenu

>Avertissement sur les résultats FY 24 et décalage de la cadence 75 à 2027 - Airbus révise à la baisse ses objectifs FY 24 pour désormais anticiper la livraison d’environ 770 avions (vs environ 800 précédemment), un EBIT Ajusté de 5.5 Md€ (vs une fourchette de 6.5 à 7 Md€ précédemment) et un FCF Ajusté de c3.5 Md€ (vs c4 Md€ précédemment). Le consensus Visible Alpha anticipait de son côté 804 livraisons, un EBIT Ajusté de 6 720 M€ et un FCF de 4 306 M€ (i.e. un delta...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 25 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IAG, INDRA, FLUIDRA, REDEIA, ROVI. EUROPA: AIRBUS Las bolsas toman aire Las bolsas comenzaron la semana rebotando tras las caídas del viernes pasado, sin catalizadores reseñables y a la espera del deflactor subyacente del consumo el viernes y la primera vuelta de las elecciones en Francia el domingo. Así, en el STOXX 600 todos los sectores menos tecnología presentaron ganancias, lideradas por Autos (tras el inicio de conversaciones entre la UE y Chi...

Repsol S.A. - March 2024 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 14 JUNIO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: COLONIAL, REPSOL. Europa en rojo después de la Fed Resaca fuerte en Europa con una atmósfera enturbiada por la política europea, las posibles represalias de china a los aranceles del VE y la reunión de la Fed. Se registraron así pérdidas superiores al -2,0% en la mayoría de los índices y algo más contenidas en el Ibex, que perdió en cualquier caso los 11.100 puntos. En el STOXX 600 a excepción de Hogar (Distribución) todos los sectores presentaron ...

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