NEWS SUMMARY: N/A. Whether inflation will not rise or whether the Fed will be forced to cut rates in September is not so clear anymore The release of July’s industrial production prices, speeding up significantly more than expected, suggests that companies are indeed seeing the inflationary pressure from tariffs but not yet passed on to final prices, which could also have a negative impact on their margins in the 3Q’25. Following the data release, with weekly jobless claims also easing slightl...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: N/A Igual ya no está tan claro que la inflación no vaya a subir o que la Fed tenga que bajar tipos en septiembre La publicación del Precio de la Producción Industrial de julio en EE.UU., acelerándose sensiblemente más de lo esperado, apunta a que las empresas sí estarían sintiendo ya las presiones inflacionistas de los aranceles, pero que todavía no las han trasladado a los precios finales, lo que además podría incidir negativamente en sus márgenes en 3T’25...
NEWS SUMMARY: N/A. Greater expectations of rate cuts fuel stock markets Following the good inflation data released in the US, the Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Bessent, demanded new rate cuts of more than 150bps this year, starting with -50bps in September (R. Bostic, Fed member, stated he would see a -25bps cut appropriate in 2025 and thanks to the strength of the job market the Fed could still wait before cutting rates). Against this backdrop and in the absence of additional references, th...
NEWS SUMMARY: ROVI, TALGO. A transition session awaiting the US inflation data It was a transition session with flat stock markets or with slight corrections and without practically any volume and macroeconomic references, awaiting the release of July’s inflation in the US today (main reference this week) amid some fears about a rise in inflation as tariffs are passed on to prices, which could delay the rate cuts expected in September in the US. Thus, in Europe in the STOXX 600 defensive sector...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ROVI, TALGO. Sesión de transición a la espera del dato de inflación americana Sesión de transición con bolsas planas o con ligeros retrocesos, sin apenas volumen negociado y sin referencias macro, a la espera de la publicación de la inflación de julio esta tarde en EE.UU. (principal referencia esta semana). Existe cierto temor a un repunte de inflación a medida que se empiezan a trasladar los aranceles a los precios finales, lo que podría volver a ...
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS. Ibex ended last week with daily gains Last week ended without relevant corporate results or macroeconomic data and with the implementation of tariff not entailing market volatility. The focus will now be on the US inflation (Tuesday) and peace talks in Ukraine between the US and Russia (Friday). The Ibex registered the best week in the past 4 months, ending above 14,800 points, returning to annual highs and near 2007 highs. Thus, in the STOXX 600 almost all sectors (16/20) en...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS. EUROPA: VINCI. El Ibex cierra un pleno de subidas semanal Terminó la semana sin datos macro ni resultados empresariales de relevancia, y sin que la entrada en vigor de los aranceles trajera volatilidad a los mercados. Ahora toda la atención estará en la inflación en EE.UU. (martes) y las conversaciones de paz en Ucrania entre EE.UU. y Rusia (viernes). El Ibex cerró su mejor semana en 4 meses, renovando máximos anuales por encima de los 14.800 p...
NEWS SUMMARY: N/A. European markets ignore D. Trump D. Trump’s latest threats to the euro zone through higher tariffs did not have any impact on stock markets, which continued to climb as seen earlier this week, with the Ibex hitting again 2008 highs. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Energy and Real Estate saw the biggest gains vs. Pharma and Technology that were the worst performers. On the macro side, in the euro zone, June’s retail sales climbed more than expected. In Germany, June’s factory orders s...
NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, SANTANDER, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Trump and the job market lead to another market selloff The tariff rise approved by D. Trump to dozens of countries instead of lower tariffs as part of the negotiations under way and the slowdown signs of the US economy led to losses >-2.5% in European stock markets. Thus, in the STOXX 600 last week was marked by the earnings calendar and by Friday’s sell-off where energy was the only sector not ending in negative territory, whereas A...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: SANTANDER, SECTOR BANCARIO, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Trump y el mercado laboral provocan otro sell-off en el mercado El incremento arancelario aprobado por D. Trump a decenas de países en lugar de reduc...
2Q'25 vs. 2Q'24: EBITDA: $ 1.860 Bn (-0.1% vs. +0.3% BS(e) and -0.6% consensus); BDI: $ 1.793 Bn (+255.8% vs. +65.1% BS(e) and +60.9% consensus); 1H'25 vs. 1H'24: EBITDA: $ 3.440 Bn (-9.9% vs. -9.7% BS(e) and -10.2% consensus); BDI: $ 2.598 Bn (+80.2% vs. +13.5% BS(e) and +12.1% consensus).
Feature article: Economic growth: Cry me a river The UK press and politicians are fixated on growth. The Labour Government came into office 12 months ago promising a new dawn. Its top priority was growth. Its manifesto, “Labour Party Manifesto 2024: Our plan to change Britain” devoted an entire chapter to “Kickstart economic growth”. In this article, we cover: ► Why growth is important ► The downside of growth ► What do politicians and markets mean by growth? ► Is growth in aggregate GDP th...
Rdos. 2T'25 vs 2T'24: EBITDA: 1.860 M euros (-0,1% vs +0,3% BS(e) y -0,6% consenso); BDI: 1.793 M euros (+255,8% vs +65,1% BS(e) y +60,9% consenso); Rdos. 1S'25 vs 1S'24: EBITDA: 3.440 M euros (-9,9% vs -9,7% BS(e) y -10,2% consenso); BDI: 2.598 M euros (+80,2% vs +13,5% BS(e) y +12,1% consenso).
NEWS SUMMARY: ARCELOR MITTAL, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, FLUIDRA, MELIA, MERLIN PROPERTIES, NEINOR HOMES, REDEIA, VISCOFAN. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 2Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Growth resisting for now European stock markets ended with slight gains in view of the signs of resistance in the 2Q’25 GDP and ahead of the Fed meeting, w...
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