A director at BAE Systems sold 2,527 shares at 1,328p and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing...
‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In the U...
tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...
“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffrent ma...
tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...
>Au 14ème jour de grève - Les 30 000 employés du syndicat International Association of Machinists (IAM 751) entrent dans leur 14ème jour de grève (votée à 96%) après avoir notamment demandé une hausse de salaires de 40% étalée sur 4 années et l’engagement d’une production du prochain avion de Boeing à Seattle. L’acceptation de ces demandes se matérialiserait par une progression de la base de coûts d’environ 1.4 Md$e. De son côté, Boeing avait proposé une hausse de sal...
>On the 14th day of the strike - The c30,000 employees belonging to the International Association of Machinists (IAM 751) are entering their 14th day of the strike (96% of votes in favour) after demanding a wage increase of 40% spread over 4 years and a commitment that Boeing’s next aircraft will be produced in Seattle. Agreeing to these demands would result in an estimated increase in the cost base of around $ 1.4bn. For its part, Boeing had offered a wage increase o...
La prochaine acquisition de Campari pourrait être en Inde et intervenir rapidement, selon nous. Rapidement d’abord pour que le groupe puisse pleinement profiter du dynamisme de ce marché. Rapidement ensuite pour se prémunir du ralentissement actuel des liqueurs et apéritifs (L&A) en Europe, segment dont il est historiquement très dépendant. Malgré l’intérêt stratégique du marché indien, une telle opération de M&A pourrait se révéler risquée en s’ajoutant aux multiples défis opérationn...
Campari’s next acquisition might be in India and could materialise quickly, in our view. Speed is of the essence: first so that the group can take full advantage of the dynamic growth of this market; and second to guard against the current slowdown in liqueurs and aperitifs (L&A) in Europe, a segment on which it has historically been very reliant. Despite the strategic value that the Indian market offers, such an M&A deal could prove risky by adding to the multiple operational challen...
>Des rumeurs de cessez-le-feu en Ukraine qui se multiplient - Un article de Bloomberg a ravivé hier les rumeurs de discussions pouvant amener à une fin négociée du conflit en Ukraine. Sans citer de sources, les journalistes rapportaient que certains alliés commençaient à discuter de la manière dont le conflit pouvait se terminer et que la période entre les élections présidentielles américaines et l’investiture (entre novembre et janvier) pourrait offrir une fenêtre d’...
>Rumours of a ceasefire in Ukraine are multiplying - An article in Bloomberg yesterday revived rumours of talks aimed at negotiating an end to the conflict in Ukraine. Without citing any sources, journalists report that certain allies were beginning to discuss the manner in which the conflict could be brought to an end and that the period between the US presidential elections and investiture (between November and January) could offer a window of opportunity. Last Sund...
>Estimates revised to reach the upper end of guidance - Following the publication (adjusted EBIT 2% > the VA consensus), we have lifted our estimates (+2.3%/+3.6%/+4.5% respectively for FY 2024/25/26) and now stand at the upper end of the guidance range with sales of £ 28,768m (+13.8% vs a range of 12-14%), adjusted EBIT of £ 3,112m (+16% vs a range of 12-14%) and adjusted EPS of 69.6p (+10% vs a range of 7-9%). The revisions are due notably to platforms & service, wh...
>Estimations révisées pour atteindre le haut de la guidance - Suite à la publication (EBIT Ajusté 2% > au css VA), nous avons révisé à la hausse nos estimations (+2.3%/+3.6%/+4.5% respectivement pour FY 2024/25/26) pour nous trouver désormais dans le haut de la guidance avec un CA de 28 768 M£ (+13.8% vs une fourchette de 12% à 14%), un EBIT Ajusté de 3 112 M£ (+16%, vs une fourchette de 12% à 14%) et un BPA Ajusté de 69.6p (+10%, vs une fourchette de 7% à 9%). Les ré...
>Trading in line with expectations with solid order intake momentum - For its AGM, BAE Systems is updating the market with trading so far in line with expectations. In particular, we would highlight i/ solid order intake momentum that will be supported by the recent passing of the US supplemental aid package to Ukraine and the commitment by the UK to spend 2.5% of GDP by 2030; ii/ Ball Aerospace acquisition was completed on 16 February (Space & Mission Systems) and th...
>Trading in line with expectations with solid order intake momentum - For its AGM, BAE Systems is updating the market with trading so far in line with expectations. In particular, we would highlight i/ solid order intake momentum that will be supported by the recent passing of the US supplemental aid package to Ukraine and the commitment by the UK to spend 2.5% of GDP by 2030; ii/ Ball Aerospace acquisition was completed on 16 February (Space & Mission Systems) and th...
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