reports
- Steffen Evjen
- Steffen Evjen
BW Energy (Buy, TP: NOK33.00) - Dussafu cash flow to fund Maromba
BW Energy reported Q3 EBITDA of USD130m, compared to our USD155m estimate and Bloomberg consensus of USD118m. Due to a successful workover programme for the conventional ESPs and solid operational performance in Gabon, the company has achieved plateau production at Dussafu of 40kboed (gross) before year-end, which is setting the stage for significant cash generation from the Dussafu field into 2025. We reiterate our BUY and NOK33 target price.
- Patrik Ling
Alvotech (Buy, TP: USD21.00) - Yet another strong quarter
Despite another profitable quarter, the YTD performance and Q4 outlook comments, Alvotech reiterated its full-year sales guidance with the Q3 results, which seems slightly conservative to us. The pipeline is evolving as expected, and we believe several new products should reach the market in the coming years, with the biosimilar to Stelara slated for a US launch in late February. We reiterate our BUY and USD21 target price.
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 15/11/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: 1.9 mbbl/d at latest CN well. Water disposal infrastructure operational. High net cash – The fifth horizontal well at Carrizales Norte (CNB HZ-6) is producing 1.9 mbbl/d of oil (0.95 mbbl/d net to Arrow) with a water cut of 31%. The well reached TD ~ one month ago. After ~1 month of production, CNB HZ-1 and CNB HZ-3 were also producing >30% water with ~1 mbbl/d oil produ...
CVX CHEVRON CORPORATION
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
GENL GENEL ENERGY
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
MATD PETRO MATAD
NTOG NOSTRA TERRA OIL & GAS COMPANY
DGOC DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
AOI AFRICA OIL CORP
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
BWE BW ENERGY
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
KIST KISTOS PLC
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
SHELL ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
CDR CONDOR ENERGIES INC
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
Bw Energy: Third Quarter Results 2024
Bw Energy: Third Quarter Results 2024 BW ENERGY: THIRD QUARTER RESULTS 2024 HIGHLIGHTS Q3 EBITDA of USD 130 million and net profit of USD 48.0 million Q3 gross production of 2.9 mmbbls with 2.4 mmbbls net to BW Energy Record operational cash-flow of USD 144.9 million in the quarter Three liftings of 2.5 mmbbls (net BWE) at average realised price of USD ~82/bbl Highest quarterly production since inception from the Dussafu licence Currently producing over 40,000 bbls/day gross at Dussafu On track for completing E...
- Steffen Evjen
US shale: limited revisions and colour on 2025 activity levels
Our Q3 survey of the US shale universe showed limited revisions to guidance for 2024, and we still expect muted 2024 production growth of ~4–5% YOY (+8% YOY in 2023). Our survey also suggests capex down ~2% YOY, as the companies continue to guide for flat activity. Limited colour was provided on 2025 activity levels and associated capex, which we will know more about in the Q4 results season. For Q3, our universe marginally underspent its cash flow, albeit with net debt continuing to build QOQ a...
- Steffen Evjen
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, DNO reported Q3 underlying results fairly in line with our estimates. It also introduced a long-term production guidance for its North Sea operations, which we find a bit too aggressive. Still, we estimate the North Sea net production to increase from 15kboed in 2024 to >20kboed in 2027. In other news, Equinor acquired a 11.8% stake from Sval Energi in the Halten East development, and BlueNord’s preliminary October production figures were at the lower end of its Q4 base production gui...
BW Energy: Invitation to Q3 2024 results presentation 15 November
BW Energy: Invitation to Q3 2024 results presentation 15 November BW Energy: Invitation to Q3 2024 results presentation 15 November BW Energy will release its third quarter 2024 results on Friday, 15 November at 07:30 CET. A conference call followed by Q&A will be hosted by CEO Carl K. Arnet, CFO Brice Morlot and COO Lin G. Espey the same day at 15:00 CET. You can follow the presentation via webcast with supporting slides, available on: Viewer Registration Q3 2024 (webcast.no): Call-in information Participants dial in numbers: DK: ...
- Steffen Evjen
BW Energy Limited: First day of trading of bonds
BW Energy Limited: First day of trading of bonds BW Energy Limited – First day of trading of bonds Reference is made to the stock exchange announcement by BW Energy Limited (the "Company") on 31 October 2024 regarding the approval and publication of the Company's prospectus in connection with the listing of a new senior unsecured bond issue with an initial issue amount of USD 100 million with ISIN NO0013259663 on the Oslo Stock Exchange. As of today, the bonds start trading on Euronext Oslo Børs under the ticker code "BWE01". For further information, please contact: Bric...
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Aker BP reported Q3 results, with underlying figures in line with expectations. We believe operational tailwinds could benefit it going into 2025, with consensus perhaps underestimating the production potential. Meanwhile, although OKEA reported a strong Q3, we believe it was overshadowed by the introduction of production and capex guidance, which we consider soft. In other news, we see several potential share-price catalysts for BlueNord in the coming months, with the Tyra restart se...
BW Energy Limited – Prospectus approved for listing of bonds
BW Energy Limited – Prospectus approved for listing of bonds BW Energy Limited – Prospectus approved for listing of bonds Reference is made to the announcement by BW Energy Limited (the "Company") on 7 June 2024 about the successful completion of a new senior unsecured bond issue with an initial issue amount of USD 100 million with ISIN NO 0013259663 (the "Bonds"). The Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway has today approved a prospectus prepared by the Company in connection with the application for admission to trading and listing of the Bonds on the Euronext Oslo Børs. The admis...
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
BW Energy: Final agreements signed for Niosi and Guduma Marin Explorat...
BW Energy: Final agreements signed for Niosi and Guduma Marin Exploration Blocks Offshore Gabon BW Energy: Final agreements signed for Niosi and Guduma Marin Exploration Blocks Offshore Gabon BW Energy is pleased to announce its signing of production sharing contracts (PSCs) for the exploration blocks Niosi Marin and Guduma Marin (formerly named G12-13 and H12-13) with Gabon’s Petroleum Minister and Minister of Economy. BW Energy holds 37.5% working interest and is the operator of the blocks, which significantly expands the resource base for infrastructure-led exploration in Gabon. ...
- Steffen Evjen
- Steffen Evjen
Potential exploration catalysts
Exploration activity on the NCS has remained high into Q4, with six exploration wells and one appraisal ongoing, and up to 10 more expected by year-end, representing 1.3bn boe in total resource potential. We consider Bounty, Arkenstone, Falstaff, and Kvernbit as key wells to keep an eye on. In our view, OKEA stands out relative to its own size due to its 20% stake in the upcoming Arkenstone well, with substantial upside potential if successful. Meanwhile, we believe Equinor, Aker BP, and Vår Ene...
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Equinor reported Q3 results in line with our estimates. We believe focus among investors remains on the potential for reduced renewable capex at its CMU in February 2025, where we consider the risk/reward attractive and see a reduction to its renewable capex as likely. Also, Vår Energi reported solid Q3 results, with EBITDA 6–5% above expectations. In other news, OKEA reported strong Q3 production, with 2024 production likely to reach the high end of its guidance.
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