WDP's FY25 results were fully in line but the company surprised in already revealing its 2030 targets. We like such long-term visibility combined with very clear targets: €500m of yearly capex that can be auto-financed, delivering a +6% CAGR. WDP now has pan-European ambitions and aims to establish a presence in Italy and Spain. While the company has not delivered on its entrance into Germany, we think that opening itself to new countries is the right ambition to have at this stage. The plan loo...
After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...
Nous avons sélectionné 10 graphiques afin d’identifier les principaux drivers du secteur. Les Capex sont attendus en repli de 1.5% en 2026 après un rebond de 70% depuis le point bas de 2020. Cette baisse proviendra essentiellement du marché US (plus forte discipline compte tenu de points morts plus élevés). Nous privilégions SBM Offshore (Surperformance, OC 45 €), Vallourec (Surperformance, OC 22 € vs 20.8 €) et Technip Energies (Surperformance, OC 49 €) et adoptons une opinion plus prudente sur...
For the start of 2026, we have selected ten charts to identify the sector's main drivers. Capex is expected to fall by 1.5% in 2026 after a 70% rebound from the low point of 2020. This reduction will mainly come from the US market (greater discipline due to higher breakeven points). At this point in the year, we prefer SBM Offshore (Outperform, target price € 45), Vallourec (Outperform, target price € 22 vs € 20.8) and Technip Energies (Outperform, target price € 49) and have adopted a more caut...
Eurocommercial Properties: 19% stock dividend take up, refinancing completion and leasing update; Ontex: 2H25 consensus release; Signify: 4Q25 results; prepare for a reset; Staffing Sector: Manpower; 4Q25 beat on better revenue trends, 1Q26 outlook positive; WDP: 2030 ambitions revealed, Italy and Spain to come
WDP initiated “BLEND30” strategy with €2.00 EPRA EPS by FY30 at +6% growth yoy. Capex is mainly internally sourced and “gradual” entry in Spain and Italy. FY25 EPRA EPS came in line with their €1.53 guidance and our expectation of €1.54. EPRA EPS yoy growth of 2.3% is still impressive due to the abolition of the Dutch FBI regime. WDP estimates its underlying EPS growth at 7%. Current development pipeline stands at 480k sqm of which 81% is pre-let with an expected NOI yield of 7.3%. The high pre...
Adyen: New Platforms partnership in APAC / Dutch Pension Reform (Wtp): 1/3 transitioned (c.25 funds), 2027 challenging / IBA: Sale of a P1 system to MacKay Memorial Hospital in New Taipei City, Taiwan / KPN: 4Q25 preview / Offshore Wind: North Sea offshore wind pact to develop 300GW by 2050 / Vår Energi: RRR 2P 185% offsets slight pressure on expected production volumes 4Q
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