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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Virgin Media O2: Deeper dive on the disappointing outlook Liberty Glo...

After the initial results out from Liberty Global last night, we get more detailed results this morning from VMO2, so we are able to further analyse the disappointing guidance given for VMO2 which implies a higher cost base than previously expected to support the current revenue trajectory. In this note, we dive deeper into the implications of this and what it means for Liberty Global and Telefonica.

Liberty Global Plc: 1 director

A director at Liberty Global Plc sold 31,200 shares at 16.196USD and the significance rating of the trade was 65/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...

Liberty Global plc: Update to credit analysis - Large cash balance mit...

Our credit view of Liberty Global plc reflects its good market position in the geographies where it operates, but also its high leverage and structural complexity.

Liberty Global plc: Proposed offer to take Telenet private does not ha...

The transaction will raise modestly Liberty Global's Moody's-adjusted leverage but it will reduce the structural complexity of the group to some extent.

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

LibertyGlobal/ VMO2 to acquire Cityfibre? Our take.

It is being reported that VirginMedia-O2 is exploring a takeover of Cityfibre with a potential price of £3bn being mentioned.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

LIBERTY GLOBAL (BUY): Q4 22 - Strong FCF guide supported by VMO2

The headline grabbing figure is the strong 2023 FCF guide of $1.6bn, ahead of our estimate of $1.4bn – and well ahead of consensus at $1.15bn

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

LIBERTY GLOBAL: Stake in Vodafone announced - our take

Following Etisalat and Xavier Niel, Liberty Global has announced that it is the latest corporate interested in Vodafone, deciding to take a 4.92% stake. In this short note, we review our thoughts and the implications from this.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Buy, $32, +52%) Looking ahead to Q4 and 2023 guidance

Liberty Global is due to report results on the evening of 22 February and we look ahead to what could be expected for Q4 and likely guidance

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

New Street: Liberty Global (Buy, $33, +96%) Q3 22 - The Rise of a Mobi...

Liberty Global has reiterated all guidance and Q3 estimates were slightly ahead of expectations.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

New Street: Liberty Global (Buy, $33, +100%) Q3 lookahead: Extra buyb...

Looking ahead to Liberty Global’s Q3 results, we don’t expect any major operational surprises, but we think the bigger surprise could be the completion of the extra $400m buyback already, and a further increase in the buyback which could reach as high as 16% of share capital for 2022.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

New Street: New Liberty/ TEF FTTH JV announced. Our take. BT (Buy, 27...

Liberty Global and Telefonica have formalized their new FTTH JV in the UK to cover up to 7m homes. We run through our thoughts from this announcement for both companies and for BT.

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

New Street: Liberty Global (Buy, $34, +55%) Q2 22: Ramping up the buyb...

With Telenet and VMO2 having already reported, there is less that is new to analyse in Liberty Global’s release tonight (phew).

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

New Street: Liberty Global (BUY, $37, +60%): What to look out for in Q...

Liberty Global is due to report their Q2 results towards the end of July and following a recent catch-up with the company, we look ahead to these results and we set out what we see as the key moving parts.

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

New Street: European Telecoms Rising rates not yet a material concern

Bond yields are rising fast in Europe. We recently published what this means for the Tower names HERE (rising real rates pose a risk to equity valuations). In this report we look at the sector as a whole.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

New Street: Telenet (Buy, €37, +96%) Liberty Global (Buy, $37, +70%) ...

While a number of recommendations have gone our way this year, sadly Telenet hasn’t with a weak share price performance YTD, and in the last few days it has been especially disappointing since the auction outcome. We therefore revisit our Telenet thesis based on the recent news; the impact on Liberty Global and why a buy-in might now make more sense for Liberty Global.

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