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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral, $11.5, +5%) CFO call feedback – new M&A optio...

We attended a call yesterday with Charlie Bracken, Liberty Global CFO. This gave some new insights into some of their next potential M&A moves and how the spin (or really a private market sale) might play out.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

3Q25 results: Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, Virgin Media O2/Better than fear...

VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2 presented mixed results over 3Q25. Fortunately, KPIs are improving somewhat. Given the competitive end markets, our conviction to buy or sell the notes of any of the three companies remains low. Leverage remained stable QoQ. Nevertheless, we still see upside to the VMED and ZIGGO notes if either Vodafone or Telefonica were to acquire full ownership of their joint ventures or if the businesses where to IPO.

Haidje Rustau
  • Haidje Rustau

Liberty Global - Earnings Flash - Q3 FY 2025 Results - Lucror Analytic...

Liberty Global has reported weak Q3/25 results, with revenues for consolidated entities up 1.0% in reported terms to USD 1.21 bn, and adjusted EBITDA declining 5.7% in rebased terms to USD 337 mn. We are particularly concerned about the continued reduction in the subscriber base. In our opinion, market conditions remain very difficult in many of the group's markets, and we expect little improvement in the conditions until the altnet consolidation starts in earnest.

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Intrum, Liberty Global, Iliad, International Personal Finance, Nissan Motor, Borr Drilling, Seche Environnement, Adler Pelzer, Ontex, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Paragon, Boparan, Ineos Quattro

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral, $11.5, +2%) Was $10.5 There are better op...

Liberty Global’s Q3 results contained no new strategic announcements – and this suggests none might be forthcoming next Tuesday at Telefonica’s CMD either with regard to VMO2, which we think is concerning for the credit outlook at that business.

Felix Fischer ... (+3)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Peter Low

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Aston Martin, Ahlstrom, International Personal Finance, Liberty Global, Constellium, Selecta, Victoria, Assemblin

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Liberty Global, Banijay, evoke, CEMEX, Ardagh, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Versuni, Boparan, Ontex, Intrum, International Personal Finance, Ineos, Nissan Motor

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - Media & Communications - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book - Media & Communications includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY media & communications coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and a peer table. 

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MasOrange, Victoria, Ardagh Metal Beverage Packaging, Verisure, Playtech, Liberty Global, Crown Holdings, Softbank Group, evoke, Nomad Foods (Iglo)

Haidje Rustau ... (+3)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Altice France (SFR), Liberty Global, Virgin Media O2, Tata Motors, Sammontana Italia

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Inmobiliaria Colonial, Benelux TMT Credits

Real Estate: Inmobiliaria Colonial was back in the market with a green bond; TMT: Benelux TMT Credits - How's it going? Where's the value?

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Benelux TMT Credits: How's it going? Where's the value?

These are exciting times in the Benelux TMT markets. In this new Benelux Credit TMT report we discuss the most attractive corporate bonds in the Benelux and wider TMT space and provide insights into the key developments driving the Dutch broadband market. We also discuss recent developments of the names under our coverage: ASML, SES, KPN, Proximus, VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Wolters Kluwer and RELX. The latter section comes from previously published Flash Notes and have been updated where needed.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

2Q25 Results: Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, Virgin Media O2/A strategic pivo...

The 2Q25 earnings of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2[de] continue to look soft. Interestingly, a network carve-out in the UK now seems off the table, while Liberty Global is working to unlock the intrinsic value of its separate businesses through divestitures, as they have done with Sunrise. Nevertheless, 2Q25 performance was underwhelming and our conviction to buy or sell the notes is low. Despite stable QoQ leverage, we see limited value in current spreads. Nevertheless, there is st...

Haidje Rustau
  • Haidje Rustau

Liberty Global - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2025 Results - Lucror Analytic...

Liberty Global (LG) has released its Q2/25 numbers. Revenues for consolidated entities amounted to USD 1.17 bn, with a 20.0% y-o-y rebased increase. Adjusted EBITDA rose 5.8% in rebased terms to USD 335 mn, supported by improvements at LG and Telenet. Subscriber trends remained weak overall. Reported total debt grew to USD 9.9 bn, and the cash balance dropped to USD 1.8 bn. Reported net senior leverage stood at 3.8x, and total net leverage at 4.2x.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telcos: Telenet small positive net adds, good financials, guidance up. Kinepolis: US Cinemark strong, 5% growth in US tickets, consumption per visitor. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 2Q25 very weak, guidance maintained. PostNL: 2Q25 beats underlying slightly; FY25 guidance reiterated, EU court appeal

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: SIG plc, Playtech, Flos B&B Italia, Liberty Global, Almaviva, Engineering Group, Trivium, Tata Motors, Nissan Motor, Froneri, Modulaire, Clarios, Itelyum Group, Italmatch Chemicals, Synthomer

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Trivium, Applus, Altice France (SFR), Casino Guichard-Perrachon, International Personal Finance, TeamSystem, Aston Martin, Virgin Media O2, Liberty Global, TalkTalk, Recordati, Tata Motors, Nexans, Italmatch Chemicals, Itelyum Group, Teva

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

VirginMedia-O2 (Underweight) Q2 25 – Customer losses and ARPU growth ...

VMO2’s Q2 results show that customer losses and ARPU trends have slipped further in Q2. Although all guidance has been reiterated supported by hopes of a B2B turnaround and near-term cost measures, we think these KPI trends will make it more difficult to sustain organic EBITDA growth into FY26.

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Victoria, Nokia, Telecom Italia, Intrum, CEMEX, Liberty Global, Ineos, Cirsa, Ardagh Metal Beverage Packaging, OPmobility, Rexel, TUI

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