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Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Cofinimmo To cut or not to cut

In this note we update our model after the year-end divestment sprint of Cofinimmo. We think the share price did not recover enough after beating the divestment guidance. A dilutive equity raise is now avoided, which was the main fear of the market. Likely the timing of the announcement had influence. With only EUR 100.0m capex in FY25/26 and continued asset divestments, the debt-to-assets ratio will stay close to 43.0% in FY25/26. We expect flat portfolio valuations in FY25 for the healthcare ...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+2)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter

ODDO : La baisse des taux d’intérêt favorise l’immobilier : nos top pi...

Le maintien d’un environnement baissier des taux d’intérêt devrait être porteur pour le secteur immobilier en 2025 et lui permettre de continuer à surperformer. Dans ce contexte, nous privilégions le commerce et le résidentiel allemand , qualifiés de «safe haven» et plus spécifiquement Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing pour un potentiel moyen de +30%. Elles sont les plus à même pour nous d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance / repositionnement. Nous abaisson...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+2)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Roy Külter

ODDO : Interest rate winds favor real estate: Our top picks for 2025

An environment of further interest rate decline is set to underpin the real estate sector in 2025 and see it continue to outperform. On this basis, we prefer retail and the German residential market, which are seen as safe havens, more specifically Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing for an average upside of +30%. They are the best positioned, as we see it, to execute their growth/repositioning strategies. We have downgraded Branicks, Cofinimmo, Icade and Patr...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+3)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Wim Lewi
Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Cofinimmo FY24 divestment plan completed, all office periphery assets ...

Yesterday Cofinimmo announced the completion of its EUR 215.0m FY24 divestment target. 2 offices are divested and 5 healthcare assets in Belgium and The Netherlands. This comes after Cofinimmo announced 85% of its divestment target was completed last week. At the time, the exact projects were however unknown and the share price did not move on the back of the positive news. All 3 Belgian elderly care assets were leased to Armonea and so it could be a package deal. The Parklane campus was the la...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: A large €1.6bn buyout to finish the year on a high. Cofinimmo: Yearly disposals target delivered, we are optimistic on the dividend. SBM Offshore: Liza Destiny to Exxon, as announced earlier

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Floridienne S.A.: 1 director

A director at Floridienne S.A. sold 2,000 shares at 510.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Cofinimmo: Positive update on disposals

Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Cofinimmo 85% FY24 divestment target signed

Yesterday evening Cofinimmo sent out an update regarding its EUR 215.0m divestment plan. It mentions 3 assets (4 buildings) of which the AMCA buildings in Antwerp were already known to the market via a separate press release. There are 2 new healthcare divestments announced of EUR 12.0m. Additionally, its investment outlook is lowered by EUR 40.0m. This brings the carried out divestments to EUR 102.0m (see our tracker below). Moreover, EUR 80.0m additional divestments are already signed and th...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Wim Lewi
Lynn Hautekeete ... (+2)
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Wim Lewi

Real Estate Report December 2024

BE-REITS suffer from macro-worries (logistics) and post-Trump knee-jerk reaction. We believe that especially money flows are pushing stocks down as interest rate fears resurfaced in the US. Our top-picks are Shurgard, WDP and Xior. SHUR and WDP have ample headroom on their balance sheet to continue their growth track record. WDP is also very cheap on cash earnings metrics vs. peers. Xior can grow and fix its balance sheet at the same time through contributions in kind.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: Belgian Nov car registrations down 15.3%, VW down 28% on tough comps. Dutch insurance – maths on buyouts post Achmea Life JV with Sixth Street

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Floridienne Strong 9M24 mainly thanks to successful integration of Bio...

We increased our FY24 numbers substantially as Floridienne recorded strong growth in 9M24 y/y as 9M24 sales came in at € 502.4m (+25% y/y), and 9M24 EBITDA was €84.9m (+€35.9m y/y) and a 9M24 net result came in at € 17.1m (+€8.0m y/y). Floridienne indicated that this was mainly thanks to the dynamism of its historical activities and the successful integration of Biotrop. The Foot Division is succeeding in increasing its profitability. BioFirst is growing significantly on its historical market of...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Circling around Direct Line, Aviva edges ahead. D'Ieteren: TVH distribution footprint restructured in Belgium. Dutch insurance - Achmea Life JV with PE firm, aiming to take 20% of Dutch buyouts. Elia: FY24 guidance up. Prosus: 1H25 Preview. Renewi: Macquarie is back. Sif Group: First monopile rolls out of new factory

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+3)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024

We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...

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