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Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

More Downside to Lead to Buying Opportunity? Market dynamics remain largely bearish and unchanged, and we are sticking with our call that breaks of supports (3910 on S&P 500, $177.50 on IWM, and $279 on QQQ, all broken on Dec. 15) are likely to result in a test of the 2022 lows. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is already testing its 2022 lows, but the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (IWM) are still 6-9% above their 2022 lows. Depending on how the market responds to its 2022 lows, that could be a better area to i...

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks

Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Morningstar | Placing Coca-Cola Femsa Under Review

We are placing Coca-Cola Femsa under review as we transfer coverage to a new analyst. We expect to publish updated reports and valuations by the end of the third quarter.

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Placing Coca-Cola Femsa Under Review

We are placing Coca-Cola Femsa under review as we transfer coverage to a new analyst. We expect to publish updated reports and valuations by the end of the third quarter....

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Morningstar | Coca-Cola Femsa Should Be Able to Leverage Its Pricing P...

Coca-Cola Femsa is the largest franchise bottler by volume of Coca-Cola, with operations in Mexico, Central America, and South America. We believe the firm benefits from Coca-Cola’s substantial brand equity and the vast distribution network of parent company Femsa, which have allowed it to generate returns on invested capital averaging in the low double digits over the past decade, above our 9% cost of capital estimate. While we think the firm’s exposure to macroeconomic uncertainty in these...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Coca-Cola Femsa Should Be Able to Leverage Its Pricing Power to Mitiga...

Coca-Cola Femsa posted solid top-line performance in the first quarter, with revenue up 4.8% (versus our 4.6% full-year estimate) on a 2.5% increase in average price per unit case. The firm's ability to flex pricing in most regions to help offset ongoing macroeconomic and currency headwinds suggests that its brand equity, which forms the basis of our narrow moat rating, remains healthy. However, profitability remains hampered by cost pressures, including an increase in concentrate costs in Mexic...

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.: Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V.: Update to credit analysis- Operations...

Coca-Cola FEMSA’s stable rating outlook reflects its strong liquidity and adequate credit metrics despite economic and consumer challenges in its territories.

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Morningstar | Coca-Cola Femsa's Pricing Strong in 1Q, but Macroeconomi...

Coca-Cola Femsa posted solid top-line performance in the first quarter, with revenue up 4.8% (versus our 4.6% full-year estimate) on a 2.5% increase in average price per unit case. The firm's ability to flex pricing in most regions to help offset ongoing macroeconomic and currency headwinds suggests that its brand equity, which forms the basis of our narrow moat rating, remains healthy. However, profitability remains hampered by cost pressures, including an increase in concentrate costs in Mexic...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Coca-Cola Femsa's Pricing Strong in 1Q, but Macroeconomic Challenges P...

Coca-Cola Femsa posted solid top-line performance in the first quarter, with revenue up 4.8% (versus our 4.6% full-year estimate) on a 2.5% increase in average price per unit case. The firm's ability to flex pricing in most regions to help offset ongoing macroeconomic and currency headwinds suggests that its brand equity, which forms the basis of our narrow moat rating, remains healthy. However, profitability remains hampered by cost pressures, including an increase in concentrate costs in Mexic...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Morningstar | Coca-Cola Femsa’s Brand Strength Should Help It Endure...

Coca-Cola Femsa is the largest franchise bottler by volume of Coca-Cola, with operations in Mexico, Central America, South America, and the Philippines. We believe the firm benefits from Coca-Cola’s substantial brand equity and the vast distribution network of parent company Femsa, which have allowed it to generate returns on invested capital averaging in the low double digits over the past decade, above our 9% cost of capital estimate. While we think the firm’s exposure to macroeconomic unc...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Coca-Cola Femsa’s Brand Strength Should Help It Endure Near-Term Cos...

Narrow-moat Coca-Cola Femsa ended its year on solid footing, with full-year comparable revenue growth of 5.9% (slightly above our roughly 5% estimate) driven by continued strength in the firm’s core Mexico and Central America region (55% of sales). Profitability outpaced our expectations, with gross margin expanding 40 basis points to 46% and operating margin holding steady around 13.5%, versus our estimates of 45% and 11.8%, respectively. This was largely due to pricing ahead of inflation in ...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Morningstar | Coca-Cola Femsa Maintains Solid Pricing and Stable Margi...

Narrow-moat Coca-Cola Femsa ended its year on solid footing, with full-year comparable revenue growth of 5.9% (slightly above our roughly 5% estimate) driven by continued strength in the firm’s core Mexico and Central America region (55% of sales). Profitability outpaced our expectations, with gross margin expanding 40 basis points to 46% and operating margin holding steady around 13.5%, versus our estimates of 45% and 11.8%, respectively. This was largely due to pricing ahead of inflation in ...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Coca-Cola Femsa Maintains Solid Pricing and Stable Margins in 4Q; Shar...

Narrow-moat Coca-Cola Femsa ended its year on solid footing, with full-year comparable revenue growth of 5.9% (slightly above our roughly 5% estimate) driven by continued strength in the firm’s core Mexico and Central America region (55% of sales). Profitability outpaced our expectations, with gross margin expanding 40 basis points to 46% and operating margin holding steady around 13.5%, versus our estimates of 45% and 11.8%, respectively. This was largely due to pricing ahead of inflation in ...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Morningstar | We think Coca-Cola Femsa's brand strength should help it...

Coca-Cola Femsa is the largest franchise bottler by volume of Coca-Cola, with operations in Mexico, Central America, South America, and the Philippines. We believe the firm benefits from Coca-Cola’s substantial brand equity and the vast distribution network of parent company Femsa, which have allowed it to generate returns on invested capital averaging in the low double digits over the past decade, above our 9% cost of capital estimate. While we think the firm’s exposure to macroeconomic unc...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

We think Coca-Cola Femsa's brand strength should help it endure near-t...

In our view, Coca-Cola Femsa's third-quarter results provided further evidence of its strong brand equity (which underpins our narrow-moat rating), as cola volumes grew across all of its geographies (transactions up 3% in total), and pricing in the core Mexico and Central America segment (nearly 60% of revenue this quarter) remained robust. While the challenging macroeconomic environment in parts of South America remains a source of uncertainty, with inflation in Argentina amounting to 29% year-...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Morningstar | Coca-Cola Femsa's 3Q Results Reflect Brand Strength in C...

In our view, Coca-Cola Femsa's third-quarter results provided further evidence of its strong brand equity (which underpins our narrow-moat rating), as cola volumes grew across all of its geographies (transactions up 3% in total), and pricing in the core Mexico and Central America segment (nearly 60% of revenue this quarter) remained robust. While the challenging macroeconomic environment in parts of South America remains a source of uncertainty, with inflation in Argentina amounting to 29% year-...

Sonia Vora
  • Sonia Vora

Coca-Cola Femsa's 3Q Results Reflect Brand Strength in Core Mexico Mar...

In our view, Coca-Cola Femsa's third-quarter results provided further evidence of its strong brand equity (which underpins our narrow-moat rating), as cola volumes grew across all of its geographies (transactions up 3% in total), and pricing in the core Mexico and Central America segment (nearly 60% of revenue this quarter) remained robust. While the challenging macroeconomic environment in parts of South America remains a source of uncertainty, with inflation in Argentina amounting to 29% year-...

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