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Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Strategy - Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebalancing

Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebalancing Our portfolio outperformed the JCI by 10.2%. January volatility hit the JCI after MSCI flagged free float transparency and investability risks, reversing record highs into foreign-led sell-offs and a late-month correction. In response, regulators are shifting from short-term stabilisation toward structural repair, with greater emphasis on transparency and investability. The strategy pivots towards liquid and dividend-paying blu...

Audrey Celia ... (+16)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Joyce Chu
  • Kate Luang
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, February 03, 2026

Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....

BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
WPRTS MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
06088 WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
ICBP FIT HON TENG LIMITED
RATCH INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
UHU RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
CRPU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
SCGP CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP SCG PACKAGING PCL
OXMU LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN PRIME US REIT
CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
BBNI KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
GOTO BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
MXNU PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
DCRU CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
Audrey Celia ... (+5)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Johnny Yum
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Economics | Indonesia Headline Inflation Rises On Low-base Effect, Core Inflation Remains Stable Indonesia's headline inflation rose to 3.55% yoy in Jan 26, primarily driven by temporary base effects from last year's low electricity tariffs and high global gold prices. However, core inflation remained stable at 2.45%, and prices fell mom due to a strong food harvest. This indicates underlying demand pressures are still contained. Consequently, Bank Indonesia is expected to maintain its benchmark...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+2)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Strategy - Positive Sentiment On LQ45

Strategy | Positive Sentiment On LQ45 Following MSCI’s freeze on index inclusions and deletions, the government plans to raise equity investment limits for pension funds and insurance companies from 8% to 20%, broadly in line with OECD practices. Investment allocation is expected to focus on LQ45 constituents. For context, the LQ45 index has underperformed the JCI by approximately 16.0% over the past year. Highlights • JCI declined by -7.2% over the past three trading days after the freeze on ...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+13)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, February 02, 2026

Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+4)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Monday, February 2, 2026

Strategy | Positive Sentiment On LQ45 Following MSCI’s freeze on index inclusions and deletions, the government plans to raise equity investment limits for pension funds and insurance companies from 8% to 20%, broadly in line with OECD practices. Investment allocation is expected to focus on LQ45 constituents. For context, the LQ45 index has underperformed the JCI by approximately 16.0% over the past year. Company Results | Darma Henwa (DEWA IJ/BUY/Rp540/Target: Rp1,500) DEWA delivered in-line ...

Audrey Celia ... (+2)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Willinoy Sitorus

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - 3Q25: Profitability Focus Replaces M&...

Company Results | GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ/BUY/Rp60/Target: Rp78) GOTO’s 3Q25 results showed a continued improvement in adjusted EBITDA. Its key catalyst has shifted from M&A speculation to profitability. Fintech remains the core growth engine, while the on-demand services segment has shown an improvement in profitability. We maintain BUY with a Rp78 target price, rolling our valuation to 2026 with a lower 3.7x price-to-sales multiple. Highlights • GOTO reported another improvement in adju...

Audrey Celia ... (+20)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, November 03, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...

ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
QH QUALITY HOUSES
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
ENRG ENERGI MEGA PERSADA
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
1155 MALAYAN BANKING BHD.
C61U CAPITALAND COMMERCIAL TRUST
ADRO PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
AP AP THAILAND
M4B CHINA MERCHANTS BANK CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
LPN LPN DEVELOPMENT PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
PSH PRUKSA HOLDING PCL
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
CRPU SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
VST VSTECS BHD
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
002050 CH ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (002050 CH)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
002747 CH ESTUN AUTOMATION
EREIT ESR REIT
Audrey Celia ... (+4)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Johnny Yum
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Monday, November 3, 2025

Strategy | Alpha Picks: Another Outperformance In October In Oct 25, our portfolio outperformed the JCI by 11.1%. All of our stock picks saw positive gains, with ASSA seeing the most at +26.8%. Events to look out are the MSCI rebalancing announcement on 5 November, and BI’s rate decision on 19 Nov 25. We maintain exposure to gold and US dollar earners, and add JPFA for its solid 2H25 growth. Our Alpha Picks: AADI, ASSA, ADRO, ARCI ENRG, JPFA and MDKA. Company Results | GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (G...

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

GOTO 3Q25 Results: Improving Margin Outlook

What’s New: GoTo revised up its adjusted EBITDA guidance in the range of IDR1.8trn to IDR1.9trn in FY25 amid stronger-than-expected margins in both ODS and fintech. FinTech could remain resilient and ODS GTV growth could bottom out in 3Q25 as segment could start to re-accelerate in 4Q25 and into FY26. We maintain our PT at IDR70. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

GOTO 2Q25 Results: ODS Could Further Decelerate in 2H

What’s New: GoTo reiterated its adjusted EBITDA guidance in the range of IDR1.4trn to IDR1.6trn in FY25. While fintech could remain resilient, ODS GTV could decelerate in 2H partly due to challenging macro and intense competition on the mobility side. We lower our PT from IDR80 to IDR70 partly due to near-term slowdown in ODS. Our updated PT of IDR70 implies 3.1x FY26E EV/Revs (net). We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Willinoy Sitorus
  • Willinoy Sitorus

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - EBITDA Resilience Back In Focus As M&...

We expect some competition in the ODS segment in 2Q25 although this should be offset by the continuous strong growth in the fintech segment. With M&A sentiment easing, we believe that further growth in adjusted EBITDA in 2H25 will serve as a catalyst to monitor (more colors during the 2Q25 analyst meeting). We maintain BUY on GOTO with a lower target price of Rp78. We use the SOTP method, applying EV/Sales multiples to each segment (ODS, fin-tech, e-commerce) — at levels similar to regional peer...

Maskun Ramli ... (+2)
  • Maskun Ramli
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Indonesia Daily - Thursday, June 26, 2025

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ/BUY/Rp59/Target: Rp78): EBITDA resilience back in focus as M&A noise fades. TRADERS’ CORNER PP Persero (PTPP IJ): Technical BUY Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ): Technical BUY

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+6)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, June 26, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Market Strategy: 2H25: A big beautiful deal? INDONESIA Update GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ/BUY/Rp59/Target: Rp78): EBITDA resilience back in focus as M&A noise fades. MALAYSIA Sector REITs: We maintain MARKET WEIGHT as the positives appear largely priced into current share prices, with limited near-term upside potential. Top picks: PREIT and CLMT. SINGAPORE Update CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP/BUY/S$2.15/Target: S$2.42): Organic growth from AEIs and t...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+6)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Singapore Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, May 05, 2025

INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25 Remove ICBP, EXCL, and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. MALAYSIA Sector Property Amid tariff overhang concerns, we favour companies with clear earnings visibility, solid exposure to affordable housing, and clear re-rating catalysts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Update Axiata (AXIATA MK/BUY/RM2.09/Target: RM2.50) ...

Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum

Strategy- Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25

Our portfolio in Apr 25 outperformed relative to the JCI and LQ45 by +2.2%/+1.9% respectively (simple average). We remove ICBP, MIKA and EXCL, and add GOTO and BBTN to our portfolio. Our new alpha picks are BBCA, GOTO, BBTN, BUKA and ERAA.

Johnny Yum ... (+2)
  • Johnny Yum
  • Maskun Ramli

Indonesia Daily - Monday, May 5, 2025

Strategy: Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Apr 25: Remove ICBP, EXCL and MIKA; add BBTN and GOTO. TRADERS’ CORNER Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia (TKIM IJ): Technical BUY Petrindo Jaya Kreasi (CUAN IJ): Technical BUY

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

GOTO 1Q25 Results: Profitability Guide Remains Intact Despite Macro Un...

What’s New: GoTo reiterated its adjusted EBITDA guidance in the range of IDR1.4trn to IDR1.6trn in FY25. ODS GTV and FinTech consumer lending loans outstanding outlook also remain intact despite macro and geopolitical uncertainties. We maintain our PT at IDR80. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

GOTO 4Q24 Results: Profitability to Further Improve in FY25

What’s New: GoTo guided adjusted EBITDA in the range of IDR1.4trn to IDR1.6trn in FY25 partly driven by margin improvement in both ODS and FinTech. ODS GTV could grow low-to-mid teens YoY, while FinTech consumer lending loans outstanding could reach IDR8trn in 2025. We up our PT from IDR70 to IDR80 on improved outlook. Our updated PT of IDR80 implies a 4.1x FY25E EV/Revs (net). We maintain our NEUTRAL rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Johnny Yum ... (+2)
  • Johnny Yum
  • Stevanus Juanda

Strategy - Trade War Begins

Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada. Imports of oil from Canada into the US are subject to a 10% tariff, in addition to an extra 10% tariff on imports from the US, Canada retaliated by imposing a 25% tariff on imports from the US, including beverages, cosmetics and paper products worth US$20b. Mexico and China are also expected to retaliate. The biggest risk is the potential underperformance of the JCI. Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, CMRY, KLBF, SIDO,...

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