reports
- Francesca Ferragina
Cofinimmo/Just a cloud away/BUY (previously Hold)
We take a fresh look at Cofinimmo, raising our target price to €76.5 (from €71.0) and upgrading from Hold to BUY. We think the strong effort on disposals and the firm stance on dividend over the last 2 years are both shareholder friendly and epitomise “self-help”. We expect LTV to be at c.43-44% by year-end - newsflow on sales will accelerate until December, with many deals currently under negotiation, and the c.€270m disposals ambition has been recently reiterated. Deleveraging is expected to ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALARABIA AB; NOVAL GA; MOH GA; CAR PW; LAMDA GA; MBK PW; C...
HEADLINES: • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: waiting for better times (downgraded to HOLD) • Noval Property: 1H24 – recurring results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: fire at refinery NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: another land plot sales tranche, to lift NAV by 6% POSITIVE • mBank: UniCredit seeks regulator's approval to reach 30% stake in Commerzbank • CTP: raises EUR 300m through an ABB, at EUR 16.0/share • 11...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update September 2024 –Cofinimmo & Kinepolis in;...
In this September update of our Dynamic Top Pick List we make 4 changes. •We include Cofinimmo in our Dynamic Top Pick List after our recent upgrade from Accumulate to Buy. We expect the name to outperform in a decreasing interest rate environment given its relatively high leverage and cheap valuation. We also believe the risk of a dilutive equity raise eased when the FY24 capex decreased from € 320m to € 250m. The management stays disciplined in its capex program and continues to focus on asse...
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
VAN VAN DE VELDE S.A.
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
TINC TINC COMM. VA
FUR FUGRO NV
SYENS SYENSQO
- Lynn Hautekeete
Cofinimmo An interesting interest rate play
In this company note we upgrade Cofinimmo from Accumulate to Buy. We expect the name to outperform in a decreasing interest rate environment given its relatively high leverage and cheap valuation. We also believe the risk of a dilutive equity raise eased when the FY24 capex decreased from EUR 320m to EUR 250m. The management stays disciplined in its capex program and continues to focus on asset rotation. By taking into account similar fair value corrections as 1H24, we forecast the YE24 debt rat...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Czech PX index in positive te...
EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
VGP VGP NV
NSI NSI N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
EBUS EBUSCO HLDG NV
CTPNV CTP NV
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
VGP VGP NV
NSI NSI N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
EBUS EBUSCO HLDG NV
CTPNV CTP NV
- Gerardo Ibanez
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Dutch transfer tax to be reduced to 8%, supporting NAV and LTVs...
>Dutch real estate transfer tax to be reduced from 10.4% to 8% - The Dutch government will reduce the transfer tax for commercial buyers to 8%, according to leaked documents that newspaper De Telegraaf released. This is still more than the 6% it was before 2021, but less than the current 10.4%. The budget has now been sent to the Council of State. On “Prinsjesdag”, September 17, the House of Representatives will officially receive the plans, and the budget will be mad...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- Francesca Ferragina
CTP/Solid results, solid outlook/BUY
CTP's underlying dynamics are very strong: sound tenant demand is driving the solid development pipeline and impressive 1H profitability (YoC >10%). 1H results impressed once again, with strong growth (rental income +14%, LFL +4.8%, earnings +12%, YoC at 10.7%) and good valuation results. NTA per share is up 7% YTD, on the back of new development and positive valuation on the existing portfolio. We are confident about CTP's outlook and the long-term drivers of the Eastern European logistics mark...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
B&S: Preview - chasing growth, battling cost inflation. CTP: 1H24 results call highlights. D'Ieteren: Belron US peer Boyd reports slightly better 2Q24 but outlook still weak. Fastned: Preview 1H24. Lotus Bakeries: Strong volume growth beat. Xior Student Housing: 1H24 results call highlights. Coverage change
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – CTP: 2Q24 top line in line, but stronger EBITDA and reval...
With its full-year FFO guidance reiterated, CTP’s equity story seems to be on track, in our view. We continue to see CTP as one of the highest-quality real estate plays in CEE, with the developments-driven growth of both earnings and BV the key driver of value for shareholders. The key risks include the relatively high leverage (a net LTV of 46% as of 1H24), and any possible softening of demand for logistic assets, which could have repercussions for both rent levels and the viability of the deve...
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; PEO PW; CCC PW; LOGO TI; CEZ CP; CTPNV NA; MTELEK...
HEADLINES: • Trade Estates: Greek retail parks – a dividend growth story (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Wizz Air: thrust issues (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: posts bottom line slightly below expectations, NPL ratio down to below 5%, solid 19%+ ROE intact NEUTRAL • CCC: 12% EBITDA beat in 2Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 2Q24 results – strong margin recovery, FY24E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • CEZ: 2Q earnings beat, EBITDA guidance up 2-3%, but net guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • CTP:...
CEZ CEZ AS
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
PCF PCF GROUP SA
CTPNV CTP NV
SHO SHOPER SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Corbion: Swings and roundabouts. CTP: Good operational trends, guidance reiterated. dsm-firmenich: Another cheque from BASF. Euronav: 2Q beats expectations. KBC: 2Q well above, NII guidance up, ready for 3Q State Bond release of c.€22bn. SBM Offshore: Strong set of 1H24 results, more to come. TKH Group: 2Q is not going to be the quarter. Xior Student Housing: Positive portfolio revaluation
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
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