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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DOC AV; DIA PW; ALR PW; MONET CP; MYTIL GA; 11B PW; MBR PW...

HEADLINES: • DO & CO: the art of the meal (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Diagnostyka: strong 4Q24, in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 1Q25 a little below 1Q25E expectations, but valuation (1Q25 P/BV at 1.2x) still very low NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 1Q25 results almost in line with expectations, ROE of 18% fully priced in by 1Q25 P/BV of 2.2x NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1Q25 sales +31% yoy, to EUR 1.5bn, in line NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: strategy update, expands pipeline to...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBR PW; OPL PW; KTY PW; EMEA Airlines; CEZ CP; MYTIL GA; S...

HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: 4Q24 results miss expectations, on jumping SG&A costs NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: 1Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: 1Q25 results and new strategy presentation call takeaways NEUTRAL • EMEA airlines: 1Q25 traffic; demand concerns vs. cheaper USD and oil • CEZ: ANO promising privatisation and lower fees NEGATIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells Chilean RES for USD 815m (EUR 710m) POSITIVE • Polish banks: Trea...

Metlen Energy & Metals S.A: 1 director

A director at Metlen Energy & Metals S.A sold 13,356 shares at 42.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 92/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again

EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

METLEN Energy & Metals | London calling, with €2bn EBITDA in sight; To...

Capital Markets Day in April to set the tone… – Following another year of sequentially improved results, with FY’24 EBITDA reaching €1.08bn (+8% yoy), 2025 looks poised to be a pivotal year for Metlen, with major announcements expected at the CMD on 28th April, ahead of its planned LSE listing in early Q3’25. During the event, mgmt will unveil the updated 2025-2028 strategy and outline the organic drivers that will lead to the ambitious €2bn EBITDA implied target by 2028 (CAGR: 17%). The above, ...

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

METLEN Energy & Metals | London calling, with €2bn EBITDA in sight; To...

Capital Markets Day in April to set the tone… – Following another year of sequentially improved results, with FY’24 EBITDA reaching €1.08bn (+8% yoy), 2025 looks poised to be a pivotal year for Metlen, with major announcements expected at the CMD on 28th April, ahead of its planned LSE listing in early Q3’25. During the event, mgmt will unveil the updated 2025-2028 strategy and outline the organic drivers that will lead to the ambitious €2bn EBITDA implied target by 2028 (CAGR: 17%). The above, ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (5 March 2025)

HEADLINES: • GEK Terna: it’s a new dawn, it’s a new day, it’s a new GEK (BUY – transfer of coverage) • Alior Bank: solid 4Q24; dividend guidance implies 10% yield; market awaiting strategic update, due on 25 March POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: significant miss in the 4Q24 results NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 4Q24 – better RASK, higher CASKX, decent guidance • OMV: agrees on Borealis, Borouge and Nova Chemicals deal with ADNOC POSITIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: Paulson entity offers 57m share...

Bram Buring ... (+3)
  • Bram Buring
  • CFA
  • George Grigoriou

GEK Terna: it’s a new dawn, it’s a new day, it’s a new GEK (BUY – tran...

We transfer coverage of GEK Terna, with a BUY and a SOTP-derived price target (PT) of EUR 27.0/share, implying 48% upside from the current levels. The group, starting in 2024, has transformed from a fairly stable to an aggressive future earnings growth profile, as it exited renewables and jumped on the concessions bandwagon by clinching two contracts to run Greece’s flagship motorways, the Attiki Odos and the Egnatia Odos. On our estimates, GEK’s EBITDA and net earnings will post CAGRs of 14% an...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland outperforms; Türkiye declin...

EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV CTP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; GSPARK HB; MOL HB; NLBR SV; MYTIL GA; AKCNS TI; T...

HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: knocked out, beat down, black and blue (stays BUY) • Graphisoft Park: 4Q24 results, and another strong year • MOL: 4Q24 results below expectations, posts a net loss NEGATIVE • NLB Group: bottom-line miss in 4Q24, but equity story remains intact NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 2024 EBITDA +7%, to EUR 1.1bn, as expected NEUTRAL • Akcansa: proposed dividend almost in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • Piraeus Financial Holdings: 4Q24E preview (due on 24 February) NEUTRAL • Gr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BFT PW; GE Macro; BIMAS TI; OPAP GA; MYTIL GA; WPL PW; SNP...

HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: 4Q24 headline profit a touch below forecasts, due to the accelerated recognition of the incentive plan POSITIVE • Georgia macro: insights on a Ukraine deal spillover to Georgia • BIM: Competition Authority imposes administrative fine of TRY 1,296m NEGATIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market +6% yoy in December and 11% in 2024 POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: reaches 11-year bauxite supply/alumina offtake agreement with Rio Tinto POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: announces ten...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MOL HB; TOASO TI; OPL PW; ADNOCDRI UH; TBCG LN; ISCTR TI; ...

HEADLINES: • MOL: there’s gain in the mundane (stays BUY) • Tofas: very weak set of results in 4Q24 NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: 4Q24 – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2025E guidance in line with expectations POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: 4Q24 results beat expectations POSITIVE • TBC Bank: 4Q24 results and conference call • Isbank: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Medicover: takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call • 11 bit studios: delays release of The Alters NEGATIVE • ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CCC PW; ADNOCDIS UH; RO Macro; PL Macro; MYTIL GA; CAR PW;...

HEADLINES: • CCC: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA beats our and the market's expectations by c.20% POSITIVE • ADNOC Distribution: 4Q24 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Romania macro: update on the political and fiscal situation • Poland macro: PM Tusk signals shift of policy focus • Metlen Energy & Metals: Canadian Fairfax officially raises stake to 6.4%, as expected NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales growth at 9% yoy NEUTRAL • Budimex: 4Q24E preview – strong gross margin, but headlines down, as...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: starting 2025 on the right foot

EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...

Ellaktor SA: 1 director

A director at Ellaktor SA sold 10,400,000 shares at 1.250EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...

Andreas Souvleros ... (+7)
  • Andreas Souvleros
  • CFA
  • Christiana Armpounioti
  • Marios Bourazanis
  • Natalia Svyriadi
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

Greek Equity Strategy – 2025 outlook | Almost same story, different ye...

Repeat of 2024, with different headwinds – Following a year in which Greek equities performed broadly in line with EU periphery stocks (but better than broad EU indices), 2025 looks somewhat trickier given international headwinds (e.g. tariffs, geopolitics). Easing monetary policy is certainly a positive, in the sense that it could justify higher valuations, but the overriding driver of re-rating would be a resolution of the war in Ukraine, as is the case for the EU as a whole. On the positive s...

Andreas Souvleros ... (+7)
  • Andreas Souvleros
  • CFA
  • Christiana Armpounioti
  • Marios Bourazanis
  • Natalia Svyriadi
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

Greek Equity Strategy – 2025 outlook | Almost same story, different ye...

Repeat of 2024, with different headwinds – Following a year in which Greek equities performed broadly in line with EU periphery stocks (but better than broad EU indices), 2025 looks somewhat trickier given international headwinds (e.g. tariffs, geopolitics). Easing monetary policy is certainly a positive, in the sense that it could justify higher valuations, but the overriding driver of re-rating would be a resolution of the war in Ukraine, as is the case for the EU as a whole. On the positive s...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KRU PW; MYTIL GA; PL Macro; PEO PW; HUG PW; GPP PW; GPP PW...

HEADLINES: • Kruk: 2025-29E strategy – ambitious, and sees further growth of earnings, assisted by high ROEs POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: EUR 0.3bn capex plan to boost alumina capacity by 50% and produce gallium as well POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP keeps rates unchanged, as expected • Bank Pekao: to add PLN 370m of FX mortgage provision charges, shielded by PLN 103m of deferred tax asset recognition; positive change in NPL stock NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: USD 3.5m impairment of investment in ...

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

GREEK ENERGY | Greek Power Play Handbook: 2025 Edition

Charging in a new era; Prefer power companies over refineries – The Greek energy market underwent structural shifts in 2024, with disruptions in Eastern Europe driving high intraday volatility in electricity prices, which is likely to persist as long as Greece remains a net electricity importer. Since regulatory interventions were lifted in 2024, power generation units saw a step-up in their spark spreads, capturing 2-digit premia vs baseload prices amidst daily price spikes, while the retail ma...

Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
  • Nikos Athanasoulias CFA

GREEK ENERGY | Greek Power Play Handbook: 2025 Edition

Charging in a new era; Prefer power companies over refineries – The Greek energy market underwent structural shifts in 2024, with disruptions in Eastern Europe driving high intraday volatility in electricity prices, which is likely to persist as long as Greece remains a net electricity importer. Since regulatory interventions were lifted in 2024, power generation units saw a step-up in their spark spreads, capturing 2-digit premia vs baseload prices amidst daily price spikes, while the retail ma...

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