reports
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen
- David Vagman
- CFA
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Francesca Ferragina
- Jason Kalamboussis
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Maxime Stranart
- Michiel Vereycken
- Quirijn Mulder
- Reg Watson
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
- Tijs Hollestelle
ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...
We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...
- David Vagman
- CFA
- Maxime Stranart
Lotus Bakeries/Unconstrained organic growth ahead/BUY
We reiterate our BUY rating on Lotus Bakeries and increase our target price from €10,300 to €11,100. Lotus Bakeries remains on the ING Benelux Favourites List. We expect Lotus Bakeries' unique organic volume growth story to accelerate over 2026-28F, thanks to the company's new factory in Thailand as well as a continued double-digit growth for its Natural Foods division. We model organic growth CAGR of 11.7% over 2026-28F, c.100bp above Visible Alpha consensus. We believe such a growth rate, comb...
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Basic-Fit: The Gym Group pre-close trading update / Fastned: 4Q25 preview / KPN: Vodafone new unlimited subscriptions with 1Gbps speed / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Lindt & Sprüngli FY25 sales / Ontex: Change in CEO brought forward and launch of a strategic review / Staffing sector: Page Group 4Q25 trading update / Zabka: Another miss on like-for-like growth.
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update
We update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from the 19 September 2025, while historical performance is included on the second page. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune.
Lotus Bakeries: 1 director
A director at Lotus Bakeries bought 64 shares at 7,706.640EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
- MarketLine Department
ARYZTA AG - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances
Summary Marketline's ARYZTA AG Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by ARYZTA AG - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments reports offer a...
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Adyen: 3Q25 results – solid net revenue, FY25 guidance reiterated. Aedifica: Guidance raised, positive tenant trends and good portfolio valuation. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q25 Solvency much lower, remains solid. Allfunds Group PLC: Strong flows. ASM International: 3Q25 results - disappointing orders, much better margins. Corbion: Iron wills and nerves of steel. Lotus Bakeries: peer Mondelez 3Q25 results. Melexis: 3Q25 results, ongoing gross margin pressure. Staffing: Dutch figs...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Allfunds Group PLC: 3Q25 Preview. Ahold Delhaize: Amazon to invest €1.4bn in the Netherlands. ASM International: 3Q25 preview – derisked estimates. Basic-Fit: Acquires low-cost franchise operator Clever Fit; now Germany market leader. JDE Peet's: Ad hoc progress update. Lotus Bakeries: Product recall for waffles in Belgium. Melexis: 3Q25 preview, slow cyclical recovery
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ahold Delhaize: 3Q25 preview - USD headwind to take centre stage. Basic-Fit: 3Q25 results preview, new consensus, we expect strong membership ingrowth. Fagron: 3Q25 growth hiccup in N America, strong organic performance in EMEA, Latam. Lotus Bakeries: UK VAT conflict for Näkd negatively impacts 2024 profitability. Ontex: 3Q25 preview: consensus implies a second profit warning for FY25F. Randstad: Preview 3Q25F results due 22 October; consensus released. Staffing: French revenue impro...
- ING Helpdesk
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
ING Benelux Favourites/ASM, Basic-Fit, dsm-firmenich, Lotus Bakeries, ...
We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks that provide the best (relative) upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Besides this, we screen the ING Benelux coverage on key investment themes that are topical and which provide insights into the relative risk-reward of the individual stocks, which could affect earnings potential and thus a stock's share price performance: (1) we screen ou...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Alfen: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. ASR: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. BAM: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Basic-Fit: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. CTP: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. DEME Group: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Fugro: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Heijmans: Highlights ING Bene...
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
RAND RANDSTAD NV
PNL POSTNL NV
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
LOTB LOTUS BAKERIES NV
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
ARCAD
ARCADIS NV
ASRNL ROYAL VOPAK NV
TWEKA ASR NEDERLAND NV
ALFEN TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
FUR ALFEN NV
CTPNV FUGRO NV
DEME CTP NV
DEME GROUP NV
- David Vagman
- CFA
- Maxime Stranart
Lotus Bakeries/1H25 results: factory to open ahead of schedule/BUY
We reiterate our BUY on Lotus Bakeries but lower our target price from €12,000 to €10,300 on the back of lower short-term estimates, due to the deconsolidation of ice cream and chocolate sales, as well as a higher WACC. We believe that Lotus Bakeries has underperformed key peers Mondelez and Lindt & Sprüngli this year due to investor concerns on constrained volume growth for Lotus Biscoff and to a potential slowdown in Natural Foods growth. We note that both those concerns have been put to rest ...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
bpost: 2Q25 results beat 22%, outlook raised further, room for another upgrade at 3Q25. Lotus Bakeries: APAC factory ahead of schedule. NN Group: 1H on track with May CMD, longevity deal a positive surprise (Sol 2 PF 205%). Talabat: 2Q25 Preview. Vopak: AVTL's FID on Mumbai expansion
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
Lotus Bakeries FIRST LOOK : maintaining our € 10750 TP and increasing ...
In view of the significant volume growth Lotus Bakeries realised in FY24, the y/e consecutive volume increase of both Biscoff and Natural Foods was a testament to the strength of the different brands. The y/y increase of 1H25 REBITDA and REBIT of 11.7% and 12.6% respectively, outpace the top-line growth (9.7%) and confirms again the strength of Lotus Bakeries' operating model. The international growth engines of Biscoff and Natural Foods generate solid volume increases allowing to leverage its o...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica: Strong results, guidance reiterated; dsm-firmenich: Symrise 1H25 results; IMCD: Stagnating gross profit leads to disappointing 2Q25 EBITA; JDE Peet's: Full of beans; Just Eat Takeaway: 1H25 results, weak update no impact on takeover; Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results; Melexis: 2Q25 results, gross margin under pressure; Solvay: 2Q25 in line, subdued outlook no surprise after pre-release; TKH Group: Preview: Under a magnifying glass; Universal Music Group: Spotify 2Q25 ...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Allfunds Group PLC: Ready to Spring forward. Basic-Fit: 1H25 ahead of INGF, membership ingrowth, outlook reiterated, FCF a bit light. Lotus Bakeries: Preview 1H25. NN Group & ASR: Dutch Pension Reform not an issue at 29 October Dutch elections. Philips: 2Q25 results, much lower tariff impact. Proximus: New BICS CEO and Global CRO laid off. Vastned: Good results, EPRA EPS guidance up by 2.5%. Zabka: 2Q25 Preview
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