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Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

US Tariffs Navigating the impact on Benelux equities

Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.

Floridienne S.A.: 4 directors

Four Directors at Floridienne S.A. bought/sold 920 shares at 510.000EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...

Guy Sips ... (+12)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update April 2025: Removing Gimv – Adding Adyen

In this April 2025 update of the KBC Securities' Dynamic Top Pick List, we are removing Gimv and adding Adyen. Since adding Gimv to the Dynamic Top Pick List in mid-December 2024, Gimv's performance has remained flat. However, month-to-date, it has increased by nearly 7%, while the indices have all declined. Given the backdrop of a tariff war brewing, we think it's time to remove Gimv from the Dynamic Top Pick List as medium-sized businesses are more likely to feel the pinch of lower demand and...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ackermans & van Haaren: Banks & Batteries. Colruyt: New acquisition in eCommerce. D'Ieteren: March car registrations down 10%, VW down 13%. IBA: IBA to supply P1 system to Tri-Service General Hospital in Taiwan

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: Confirms it looking into strategic options for its French activity. D'Ieteren: State Farm officially switches to Safelite Solutions for claim administration. dsm-firmenich: Billion Buyback Begins

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Further in German rail. CVC Capital Partners: They beat, they score. D'Ieteren: US Belron peer Boyd 4Q24 a bit ahead, weak 2025 early outlook. Fastned: Preview FY24. IBA: 2H24 better REBIT, net cash but outlook on the low side. Proximus: Interim leadership announced. UCB: Peer Immunovant reports mixed results in gMG Zabka: Peer Jeronimo Martins FY24 results

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

D'Ieteren Growth drivers remain intact

Following the publication of the FY24 results on Monday, we have slightly tweaked our estimates to the downside, partially driven by the depreciation of the USD and softer sales growth outlook at Belron. After applying a 20% discount to our new SOTP valuation of € 275ps (prev. € 281ps), we reiterate our Buy rating but lower our TP from € 225 to € 220ps.

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

D'Ieteren FY24: good results, outlook slightly disappoints

D'Ieteren reported good FY24 results, with the adj. PBT (gs) up 9.6% and 12.7% at ccy and excluding the financing impact to € 1065m (kbcse: € 1018m, css: € 1006m). The better than expected performance was largely driven by Auto, while Belron performed broadly in line. However, the outlook slightly disappointed with the group banking on a slight increase in Adj. PBT (gs) from € 924m on a comparable basis (kbcse: € 995m, css: € 974m). On a reported basis, the adj. PBT (gs) is expected to decline f...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: 2H24 beat on Auto, 2025 PBT guidance 2-4% below on fin exp, Auto. Sif Group: All eyes on FY25 EBITDA outlook. Staffing: French staffing - Jan better, Feb outlook indicating further improvement

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Acomo: A game of two halves. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Kroger FY24 results. Belgian telecoms: Telenet 2.9% price increase. D'Ieteren: FY24 results preview. Elia: Strong results and 2025 outlook, €2.2bn equity financing. Eurocommercial Properties: Sound results, positive revaluations, lighter LTV. Melexis: Attractive bid on direct peer Allegro. Universal Music Group: Much better Q4 - on strong subscription, DSP catch-up payment.

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

D'Ieteren FY24 earnings preview

Running up to the publication of D'Ieteren's FY24 result on March 10th after market close, we have summarized our expectations below. While we expect the group to meet its adj. PBT (gs) ambitions for 2024, focus will again be concentrated towards Belron, which should face easier margin comps in 2H24. Additionally, we will also pay attention on FCF generation at Belron following the increased leverage after the refinancing. Buy and € 225.0 TP.

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update March 2025: Removing ABN, Ackermans – Add...

We made 5 changes in this March update of our KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List (DTPL): On 26 February we already removed ABN Amro from our DTPL, after a strong 24.4% return since the announcement of our 2025 Dynamic Top Pick List on 13 December 2024, far outpacing our financial sector coverage. Although we remain positive on the longer term, we believe most of the short-term revaluation is behind us. Today, we remove Ackermans & van Haaren as the stock just hit an all-time high and crossed...

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - February 2025 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns 3.7% Du...

1M Performance - Absolute: During Feb'25 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of +3.7% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (+11.1%) while multi-asset holdings posted a modest return of +0.5%. The 3 top performers during the period were Heineken Holding (+21.3%), KBC Ancora (+6.9%) and Ackermans & van Haaren (+4.4%) while the 3 worst performers were Financière de Tubize (-6.3%), Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (TINC; -6.6%) and Whitestone Group (-6.8%). YTD Performance...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group plc: Joining the buyback club. D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 8%, VW down 9.5%. Recticel: Miss on FY24 Adj. EBITDA, but solid order book. TKH Group: In line numbers, sees a weak 1Q25

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Texaf FY24: RE Business Shines; New Growth Accretive Projects Being St...

During FY24, the RE business achieved a record top line of €27.3m, up 18% YoY and up 3% YoY on a like-for-like basis. The top line growth was mainly driven by the letting of 94 apartments (Promenade des Artistes) and the letting of office space (Silikin Village). Occupancy rate of residential business stands at 99%. During Oct'24, Texaf sold 49% of the building ‘Petit Pont” for €5.5m, generating a capital gain of €2.7m which is not reflected in the financials since the building continues to rema...

 PRESS RELEASE

Texaf: COMMERCIAL SUCCESS OF THE 3 MAJOR NEW PROJECTS SUPPORTING GROWT...

Texaf: COMMERCIAL SUCCESS OF THE 3 MAJOR NEW PROJECTS SUPPORTING GROWTH OF RECURRING OPERATING PROFIT (+12% in 2024) REGULATED INFORMATION Attachment

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